Sat 19 Sep2-2Finished

⚽ Championship

Portsmouth vs Blackburn Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Portsmouth vs Blackburn in the Championship. Kick-off Saturday 19 September 2026, 14:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Portsmouth 2-2 Blackburn

Portsmouth vs Blackburn finished 2-2. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, under 3.5 goals at 1.28, did not land.

Portsmouth face Blackburn in the upcoming Championship tips, kicking off Saturday 19 September 2026, 14:00 UTC. Recent form: Portsmouth have 2 wins from their last 5, while Blackburn have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 3 meetings, Portsmouth won 1, Blackburn won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Portsmouth win the most likely result at 37%, projecting a 1.3-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Portsmouth vs Blackburn with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.28

77%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.34 – 1.10 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.7%	9.6%	5.3%	1.9%	0.5%
1	11.7%	12.8%	7.1%	2.6%	0.7%
2	7.8%	8.6%	4.7%	1.7%	0.5%
3	3.5%	3.8%	2.1%	0.8%	0.2%
4	1.2%	1.3%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Portsmouth winDrawBlackburn win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Portsmouth vs Blackburn comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.28, the selection our model is most confident in at 77%. On the match result, the model rates a Portsmouth win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 37%. Goals lean under 2.5 (56%), both teams to score points yes (50%).

📊 Key numbers

Portsmouth 37%Draw 34%Blackburn 29%

37%34%29%

37%

Portsmouth Win

56%

Under 2.5 goals

50%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 3 meetings between Portsmouth and Blackburn. Wins shown from Portsmouth’s perspective: Portsmouth 1 · 1 drawn · Blackburn 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-09-19	Portsmouth	2 – 2	Blackburn	D
2025-03-29	Portsmouth	1 – 0	Blackburn	W
2025-01-15	Blackburn	3 – 0	Portsmouth	L

📈 Recent form

Portsmouth

Portsmouth come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Cardiff. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at home to Derby.

DPortsmouth 2-2 BlackburnChampionship
DCharlton 0-0 PortsmouthChampionship
WPortsmouth 2-0 CardiffChampionship
LPortsmouth 0-2 DerbyChampionship
LBristol City 2-1 PortsmouthChampionship

Blackburn

Blackburn come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Millwall. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Sheffield Utd.

DPortsmouth 2-2 BlackburnChampionship
WBlackburn 3-1 MillwallChampionship
LBlackburn 1-2 Sheffield UtdChampionship
LPreston 2-1 BlackburnChampionship
DLincoln 0-0 BlackburnChampionship

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 16 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Portsmouth

K. AndersonMuscle Injury
L. Brooke-SmithAnkle Injury
M. KosznovszkyKnee Injury
MareziCalf Injury
J. MurphyInjury
C. OgilvieKnee Injury
F. UmehHamstring Injury
T. WaddinghamAnkle Injury

Blackburn

A. ForshawInjury
M. JorgensenHamstring Injury
A. KargboMuscle Injury
M. LitherlandMuscle Injury
L. MillerAchilles Tendon Injury
Y. OhashiNot in squad
Y. RibeiroInjury
S. WhartonAchilles Tendon Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Portsmouth at 37% to win and Blackburn at 29%, with the draw at 34%. Our model makes a Portsmouth win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Portsmouth Win	37%	44%	@ 2.15
Draw	34%	27%	@ 3.50
Blackburn Win	29%	29%	@ 3.30

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Portsmouth or Draw at 1.33 (67% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Portsmouth or Draw	67%	71%	@ 1.33
Blackburn or Draw	59%	56%	@ 1.67

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.3-1.1 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 56% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	77%	75%	@ 1.28
Over 1.5	70%	72%	@ 1.33
Under 2.5	56%	55%	@ 1.73
Over 2.5	44%	45%	@ 2.10
Under 1.5	30%	28%	@ 3.40
Over 3.5	23%	25%	@ 3.75

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 50%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	50%	50%	@ 1.83
BTTS No	50%	50%	@ 1.83

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Portsmouth or Blackburn is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Blackburn +1.75	84%	83%	1.15
Portsmouth +1.25	81%	86%	1.10
Blackburn +1.5	81%	77%	@ 1.24
Portsmouth +1	77%	85%	1.12
Blackburn +1.25	76%	75%	1.27
Portsmouth +0.75	72%	78%	1.23
Blackburn +1	70%	72%	1.32
Portsmouth +0.5	67%	71%	1.33
Blackburn +0.75	65%	62%	1.53
Portsmouth +0.25	60%	67%	1.42
Blackburn +0.5	59%	55%	@ 1.72
Portsmouth 0	54%	61%	1.56
Blackburn +0.25	53%	48%	@ 2.00
Portsmouth -0.25	47%	52%	1.86
Blackburn 0	46%	39%	@ 2.44
Portsmouth -0.5	41%	45%	2.14
Blackburn -0.25	40%	33%	@ 2.90
Portsmouth -0.75	35%	38%	2.50
Blackburn -0.5	33%	29%	@ 3.33
Portsmouth -1	30%	28%	@ 3.37
Blackburn -0.75	28%	22%	@ 4.25
Portsmouth -1.25	24%	25%	3.73
Blackburn -1	23%	15%	@ 6.40
Portsmouth -1.5	19%	23%	4.04
Blackburn -1.25	19%	14%	@ 7.00
Portsmouth -1.75	16%	17%	5.50

📈 How the market moved

Portsmouth 44%Draw 27%Blackburn 29%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Portsmouth vs Blackburn?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.28, with a 77% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.

Who is the favourite for Portsmouth vs Blackburn?

Our model makes a Portsmouth win the most likely result at 37%. It projects an expected 1.3-1.1 scoreline for Portsmouth vs Blackburn.

What is the predicted score for Portsmouth vs Blackburn?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.34 for Portsmouth and 1.10 for Blackburn. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Portsmouth and Blackburn play?

Kick-off is Saturday 19 September 2026, 14:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.