⚽ Championship
Portsmouth vs Swansea Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Portsmouth vs Swansea in the Championship. Kick-off Tuesday 03 November 2026, 19:45 UTC.
Result: Portsmouth 3-1 Swansea
Portsmouth vs Swansea finished 3-1. Portsmouth won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
The best bet on this page, under 3.5 goals at 1.30, did not land.
Portsmouth face Swansea in the upcoming Championship tips, kicking off Tuesday 03 November 2026, 19:45 UTC. Recent form: Portsmouth have 3 wins from their last 5, while Swansea have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 3 meetings, Portsmouth won 2, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Portsmouth win the most likely result at 41%, projecting a 1.4-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find our best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Portsmouth vs Swansea with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.0% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 10.9% | 12.7% | 7.3% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| 2 | 7.5% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| 3 | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Portsmouth vs Swansea comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.30, with a 73% probability implied by the bookmaker odds. On the match result, the model rates a Portsmouth win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 41%. Goals lean under 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points yes (51%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 3 meetings between Portsmouth and Swansea. Wins shown from Portsmouth’s perspective: Portsmouth 2 · 1 drawn.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-03 | Portsmouth | 3 – 1 | Swansea | W |
| 2025-01-01 | Portsmouth | 4 – 0 | Swansea | W |
| 2024-11-30 | Swansea | 2 – 2 | Portsmouth | D |
📈 Recent form
Portsmouth come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Swansea.
- WPortsmouth 3-1 SwanseaChampionship
- DBurnley 0-0 PortsmouthChampionship
- WPortsmouth 2-1 MillwallChampionship
- DWolves 1-1 PortsmouthChampionship
- WNorwich 0-1 PortsmouthChampionship
Swansea come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Blackburn. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at Portsmouth.
- LPortsmouth 3-1 SwanseaChampionship
- WSwansea 4-0 BlackburnChampionship
- LQPR 5-0 SwanseaChampionship
- LSwansea 0-1 West HamChampionship
- WMillwall 0-1 SwanseaChampionship
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 12 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- K. AndersonOverload
- B. ArthurBack Injury
- C. BishopKnee Injury
- L. Brooke-SmithAnkle Injury
- M. KosznovszkyNot in squad
- C. OgilvieKnee Injury
- J. SwiftKnee Injury
- C. BurgessAchilles Tendon Injury
- RonaldHamstring Injury
- M. K. YeoInjury
- S. EustaquioNot in squad
- M. StamenicNot in squad
🧩 Line-ups
Swansea
Coach: Vítor Matos
Portsmouth
Coach: John Mousinho
Official line-ups as announced by the clubs before kick-off.
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Portsmouth at 41% to win and Swansea at 28%, with the draw at 32%. Our model makes a Portsmouth win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth Win | 41% | 35% | @ 2.70 |
| Draw | 32% | 29% | @ 3.25 |
| Swansea Win | 28% | 37% | @ 2.55 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Portsmouth or Draw at 1.50 (70% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth or Draw | 70% | 63% | @ 1.50 |
| Swansea or Draw | 57% | 65% | @ 1.44 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-1.2 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 54% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 75% | 75% | @ 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 | 72% | 72% | @ 1.33 |
| Under 2.5 | 54% | 55% | @ 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 | 46% | 45% | @ 2.10 |
| Under 1.5 | 28% | 28% | @ 3.40 |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 25% | @ 3.75 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 51%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 51% | @ 1.80 |
| BTTS No | 49% | 49% | @ 1.91 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Portsmouth or Swansea is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth +1.75 | 90% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Portsmouth +1.5 | 88% | 83% | @ 1.15 |
| Portsmouth +1.25 | 83% | 81% | 1.17 |
| Swansea +1.75 | 82% | 87% | 1.10 |
| Swansea +1.5 | 79% | 83% | 1.14 |
| Portsmouth +1 | 78% | 79% | 1.21 |
| Portsmouth +0.75 | 74% | 70% | 1.35 |
| Swansea +1.25 | 73% | 82% | 1.16 |
| Portsmouth +0.5 | 70% | 64% | @ 1.50 |
| Swansea +1 | 68% | 80% | 1.20 |
| Portsmouth +0.25 | 63% | 58% | @ 1.65 |
| Swansea +0.75 | 62% | 72% | 1.33 |
| Swansea +0.5 | 57% | 64% | 1.49 |
| Portsmouth 0 | 56% | 49% | @ 1.97 |
| Swansea +0.25 | 50% | 59% | 1.62 |
| Portsmouth -0.25 | 50% | 41% | @ 2.33 |
| Swansea 0 | 44% | 51% | 1.91 |
| Portsmouth -0.5 | 43% | 36% | @ 2.67 |
| Portsmouth -0.75 | 38% | 28% | @ 3.34 |
| Swansea -0.25 | 37% | 42% | 2.28 |
| Portsmouth -1 | 32% | 20% | @ 4.67 |
| Swansea -0.5 | 30% | 36% | 2.65 |
| Portsmouth -1.25 | 27% | 18% | @ 5.25 |
| Swansea -0.75 | 26% | 30% | 3.21 |
| Swansea -1 | 22% | 21% | 4.57 |
| Portsmouth -1.5 | 21% | 17% | @ 5.75 |
| Portsmouth -1.75 | 18% | 13% | @ 7.40 |
| Swansea -1.25 | 17% | 19% | 5.00 |
| Swansea -1.5 | 12% | 17% | 5.50 |
| Swansea -1.75 | 10% | 14% | 7.00 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Portsmouth vs Swansea?
Our pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.30, with a 73% probability implied by the bookmaker odds.
Who is the favourite for Portsmouth vs Swansea?
Our model makes a Portsmouth win the most likely result at 41%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.2 scoreline for Portsmouth vs Swansea.
What is the predicted score for Portsmouth vs Swansea?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.37 for Portsmouth and 1.16 for Swansea. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Portsmouth and Swansea play?
Kick-off is Tuesday 03 November 2026, 19:45 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
Get free tips, every day
Daily AI-backed football tips in your inbox. Free, no spam, unsubscribe anytime.
18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.
More predictions
Obolon'-Brovar
Livyi Bereh
Polessya
Veres Rivne
Cruzeiro
Bahia
Eintracht Braunschweig
Energie Cottbus
Montpellier
Metz
Clermont Foot
RodezAnalytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.