Sat 7 Nov15:00Upcoming

⚽ Championship

Preston vs Southampton Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Preston vs Southampton in the Championship. Kick-off Saturday 07 November 2026, 15:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Preston face Southampton in the Championship, kicking off Saturday 07 November 2026, 15:00 UTC. Recent form: Preston have no wins from their last 5, while Southampton have 4 wins from their last 5. In their last 3 meetings, Southampton won 2, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Southampton win the most likely result at 61%, projecting a 1.0-2.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Preston vs Southampton with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.57

63%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.00 – 2.08 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.6%	9.6%	9.9%	6.9%	3.6%
1	4.6%	9.6%	9.9%	6.9%	3.6%
2	2.3%	4.8%	5.0%	3.4%	1.8%
3	0.8%	1.6%	1.7%	1.1%	0.6%
4	0.2%	0.4%	0.4%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 0-2

Preston winDrawSouthampton win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Preston vs Southampton comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.57, with a 63% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Southampton win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 61%. Goals lean over 2.5 (59%), both teams to score points yes (53%).

📊 Key numbers

Preston 18%Draw 21%Southampton 61%

18%21%61%

61%

Southampton Win

59%

Over 2.5 goals

53%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 3 meetings between Preston and Southampton. Wins shown from Preston’s perspective: 1 drawn · Southampton 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-05-02	Preston	1 – 3	Southampton	L
2024-04-16	Southampton	3 – 0	Preston	L
2023-10-25	Preston	2 – 2	Southampton	D

📈 Recent form

Preston

Preston come into this game with no wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 14. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at home to Sheffield Utd.

LPreston 2-3 Sheffield UtdChampionship
LStoke City 2-0 PrestonChampionship
DPreston 1-1 West BromChampionship
LWrexham 4-1 PrestonChampionship
LBirmingham 4-0 PrestonChampionship

Southampton

Southampton come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to QPR.

DWest Brom 1-1 SouthamptonChampionship
WSouthampton 4-1 QPRChampionship
WWest Ham 2-3 SouthamptonChampionship
DSouthampton 0-0 BoltonChampionship
WNorwich 0-1 SouthamptonChampionship

🧩 Likely line-ups & team news

Southampton 4-2-3-1

1Peretz

14Bree

5Stephens

13Schlotterbeck

3Manning

30Ward-Prowse

4Downes

27Matsuki

10Azaz

23Edozie

28Mubama

9Erabi

38Kenny

23Moran

3Vukčević

15Thompson

27Leroy

17Mills

16Hughes

14Storey

24Offiah

1Iversen

Preston 3-4-1-2

Southampton

Last starting XI (4-2-3-1) vs West Brom, 03/11

Unavailable: No reported absences

Coach: Tonda Eckert

Bench last match6Abbott26Bragg11Dobbin40Ehibhatiomhan18Fellows25Long34Welington53Williams15Wood-Gordon

Preston

Last starting XI (3-4-1-2) vs Sheffield Utd, 03/11

Unavailable: No reported absences

Coach: G. Alexander

Bench last match37Burgzorg7Devine10Lang6Lindsay21Nicholls44Potts11Small12Wiley32Nolan

Expected line-ups are based on each team's last starting XI and the reported absences. Official line-ups are released about an hour before kick-off.

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Preston at 18% to win and Southampton at 61%, with the draw at 21%. Our model makes a Southampton win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Southampton Win	61%	57%	@ 1.67
Draw	21%	24%	@ 4.00
Preston Win	18%	20%	@ 4.75

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Southampton or Draw at 1.18 (83% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Southampton or Draw	83%	80%	@ 1.18
Preston or Draw	40%	43%	@ 2.15

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.0-2.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 59% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	81%	81%	@ 1.17
Under 3.5	63%	60%	@ 1.57
Over 2.5	59%	59%	@ 1.62
Under 2.5	41%	41%	@ 2.30
Over 3.5	37%	40%	@ 2.38
Under 1.5	19%	19%	@ 5.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 53%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	53%	58%	@ 1.62
BTTS No	47%	42%	@ 2.20

📈 How the market moved

Preston 20%Draw 23%Southampton 57%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Preston vs Southampton?

Our model's pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.57, with a 63% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 60%.

Who is the favourite for Preston vs Southampton?

Our model makes a Southampton win the most likely result at 61%. It projects an expected 1.0-2.1 scoreline for Preston vs Southampton.

What is the predicted score for Preston vs Southampton?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-2, based on expected goals of 1.00 for Preston and 2.08 for Southampton. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Preston and Southampton play?

Kick-off is Saturday 07 November 2026, 15:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.