Sat 7 Nov15:00Upcoming

⚽ Championship

QPR vs Lincoln Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for QPR vs Lincoln in the Championship. Kick-off Saturday 07 November 2026, 15:00 UTC.

QPR face Lincoln in the Championship, kicking off Saturday 07 November 2026, 15:00 UTC. Recent form: QPR have 2 wins from their last 5, while Lincoln have 1 win from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a QPR win the most likely result at 41%, projecting a 1.5-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for QPR vs Lincoln with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Over 1.5 @ 1.25
74%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.47 – 1.14 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 7.4% 8.4% 4.8% 1.8% 0.5%
1 10.8% 12.3% 7.0% 2.7% 0.8%
2 7.9% 9.1% 5.2% 2.0% 0.6%
3 3.9% 4.4% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
4 1.4% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
Projected score: 1-1
QPR winDrawLincoln win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for QPR vs Lincoln comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.25, with a 74% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a QPR win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 41%. Goals lean under 2.5 (52%), both teams to score points yes (52%).

📊 Key numbers

QPR 41%Draw 26%Lincoln 33%
41%26%33%
41%
QPR Win
52%
Under 2.5 goals
52%
BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

QPR

QPR come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at home to Swansea. Their most recent defeat was 1-4 at Southampton.

  • DQPR 1-1 BurnleyChampionship
  • LSouthampton 4-1 QPRChampionship
  • WQPR 5-0 SwanseaChampionship
  • LBirmingham 3-0 QPRChampionship
  • WQPR 4-1 DerbyChampionship
Lincoln

Lincoln come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 13. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to Burnley. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Watford.

  • LWatford 1-0 LincolnChampionship
  • LLincoln 1-3 BirminghamChampionship
  • WLincoln 4-1 BurnleyChampionship
  • DMillwall 2-2 LincolnChampionship
  • LLincoln 0-6 West HamChampionship

🧩 Likely line-ups & team news

Lincoln 3-4-2-1
1Wickens
25Elerewe
15Bradley
4Coubiș
33Oyegoke
26Konak
8Bayliss
20Elder
27Ogbene
18House
34Draper
11Smyth
22Kone
14Saito
18Kamara
40Varane
20Vale
19Cirkin
5Edwards
3Dunne
2Adamson
1Charles
QPR 4-4-2

Lincoln

Last starting XI (3-4-2-1) vs Watford, 03/11

Unavailable: No reported absences

Coach: Chris Cohen

Bench last match17Street3Reach19Olaofe22Hamer7Hackett46Gauci6Towler24Varfolomeev16Jefferies

QPR

Last starting XI (4-4-2) vs Burnley, 03/11

Unavailable: No reported absences

Coach: Julien Stéphan

Bench last match4Morrison25Obikwu13Ward17Poku23Alemayehu10Chair7Dembélé12Kemper26Kolli

Expected line-ups are based on each team's last starting XI and the reported absences. Official line-ups are released about an hour before kick-off.

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices QPR at 41% to win and Lincoln at 33%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes a QPR win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
QPR Win 41% 58% @ 1.62
Lincoln Win 33% 18% @ 5.25
Draw 26% 25% @ 3.80

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is QPR or Draw at 1.17 (67% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
QPR or Draw 67% 82% @ 1.17
Lincoln or Draw 59% 42% @ 2.25

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.1 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 52% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Over 1.5 74% 76% @ 1.25
Under 3.5 73% 68% @ 1.40
Under 2.5 52% 47% @ 2.00
Over 2.5 48% 53% @ 1.80
Over 3.5 27% 32% @ 3.00
Under 1.5 26% 24% @ 4.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 52%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 52% 54% @ 1.73
BTTS No 48% 46% @ 2.00

📈 How the market moved

15%38%62%11/0311/0411/0511/06

QPR 58%Draw 23%Lincoln 19%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for QPR vs Lincoln?

Our model's pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.25, with a 74% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 76%.

Who is the favourite for QPR vs Lincoln?

Our model makes a QPR win the most likely result at 41%. It projects an expected 1.5-1.1 scoreline for QPR vs Lincoln.

What is the predicted score for QPR vs Lincoln?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.47 for QPR and 1.14 for Lincoln. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do QPR and Lincoln play?

Kick-off is Saturday 07 November 2026, 15:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

Get free tips, every day

Daily AI-backed football tips in your inbox. Free, no spam, unsubscribe anytime.

Or follow us

18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.

Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.