Wed 7 Oct22:30Upcoming

⚽ Brazilian Série A

Remo vs Grêmio Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Remo vs Grêmio in the Brazilian Série A. Kick-off Wednesday 07 October 2026, 22:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Remo face Grêmio in the Brazilian Série A, kicking off Wednesday 07 October 2026, 22:30 UTC. Recent form: Remo have no wins from their last 5, while Grêmio have 1 win from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Remo win the most likely result at 36%, projecting a 1.3-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Remo vs Grêmio with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Market pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.36

70%Bookmaker odds imply 70%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.32 – 1.19 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.1%	9.7%	5.8%	2.3%	0.7%
1	10.7%	12.8%	7.6%	3.0%	0.9%
2	7.1%	8.4%	5.0%	2.0%	0.6%
3	3.1%	3.7%	2.2%	0.9%	0.3%
4	1.0%	1.2%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Remo winDrawGrêmio win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Remo vs Grêmio comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.36, with a 70% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Remo win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 36%. Goals lean under 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points yes (52%).

📊 Key numbers

Remo 36%Draw 31%Grêmio 33%

36%31%33%

36%

Remo Win

54%

Under 2.5 goals

52%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Remo

Remo come into this game with 5 defeats from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 10. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Santos.

LRemo 1-2 SantosBrazilian Série A
LBahia 2-1 RemoBrazilian Série A
LRemo 0-1 FlamengoBrazilian Série A
LRemo 2-3 CoritibaBrazilian Série A
LFluminense 2-1 RemoBrazilian Série A

Grêmio

Grêmio come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Internacional. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at Botafogo.

DGrêmio 0-0 PalmeirasBrazilian Série A
LBotafogo 3-2 GrêmioBrazilian Série A
LGrêmio 1-2 Vasco da GamaBrazilian Série A
LVitória 1-0 GrêmioBrazilian Série A
WGrêmio 3-1 InternacionalCopa Do Brasil

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 10 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Remo

Gabriel PovedaSuspended (red card)
JajaCalf Injury
Joao LucasKnee Injury
MaykCalf Injury
Ze WelisonSuspended (cards)

Grêmio

Diego CaitoHealth problems
DodiKnee Injury
Gustavo MartinsSuspended (cards)
MarlonMuscle Injury
E. NoriegaSuspended (cards)

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Remo at 36% to win and Grêmio at 33%, with the draw at 31%. Our model makes a Remo win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Remo Win	36%	40%	@ 2.40
Grêmio Win	33%	31%	@ 3.10
Draw	31%	29%	@ 3.25

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Remo or Draw at 1.36 (65% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Remo or Draw	65%	69%	@ 1.36
Grêmio or Draw	62%	60%	@ 1.53

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.3-1.2 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 54% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	76%	70%	@ 1.36
Over 1.5	72%	75%	@ 1.28
Under 2.5	54%	50%	@ 1.90
Over 2.5	46%	50%	@ 1.90
Under 1.5	28%	25%	@ 3.75
Over 3.5	24%	30%	@ 3.20

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 52%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	52%	56%	@ 1.67
BTTS No	48%	44%	@ 2.10

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Remo or Grêmio is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Grêmio +1.75	85%	85%	1.12
Remo +1.5	85%	84%	1.12
Grêmio +1.5	82%	80%	1.18
Remo +1.25	80%	83%	1.14
Grêmio +1.25	77%	77%	1.23
Remo +1	75%	82%	1.16
Grêmio +1	72%	75%	1.27
Remo +0.75	70%	74%	1.27
Grêmio +0.75	67%	66%	1.44
Remo +0.5	65%	68%	1.41
Grêmio +0.5	62%	59%	1.60
Remo +0.25	58%	63%	1.51
Grêmio +0.25	55%	53%	@ 1.83
Remo 0	52%	56%	1.70
Grêmio 0	48%	44%	@ 2.15
Remo -0.25	45%	47%	2.03
Grêmio -0.25	42%	37%	@ 2.56
Remo -0.5	39%	41%	2.35
Grêmio -0.5	35%	32%	@ 2.94
Remo -0.75	33%	34%	2.83
Grêmio -0.75	30%	26%	@ 3.69
Remo -1	28%	25%	@ 3.75
Grêmio -1	25%	18%	@ 5.25
Remo -1.25	23%	23%	4.20
Grêmio -1.25	20%	17%	@ 5.75
Remo -1.5	18%	20%	4.65
Grêmio -1.5	15%	16%	6.00
Remo -1.75	15%	15%	6.25

📈 How the market moved

Remo 40%Draw 28%Grêmio 31%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	39%
Dixon-Coles	Home	38%
GradientBoosting	Home	35%

Ensemble verdict on Under 3.5: 70%

Our ensemble puts this selection at 70%. The model table above shows each model’s view of the match winner; this pick is on a different market (goals or handicap), where the ensemble combines all available models into the probability shown.

Our model estimates a 70% chance for this selection, while the odds of 1.36 imply 74%. In our own testing the bookmaker market is a hard benchmark to beat, so treat any gap between the two numbers with caution.

Expected goals: 1.33 for the home side, 1.26 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (11%), 1-0 (10%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Remo vs Grêmio?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.36, with a 70% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 70%.

Who is the favourite for Remo vs Grêmio?

Our model makes a Remo win the most likely result at 36%. It projects an expected 1.3-1.2 scoreline for Remo vs Grêmio.

What is the predicted score for Remo vs Grêmio?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.32 for Remo and 1.19 for Grêmio. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Remo and Grêmio play?

Kick-off is Wednesday 07 October 2026, 22:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.