Wed 7 Oct1-1Finished

⚽ Brazilian Série A

Remo vs Grêmio Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Remo vs Grêmio in the Brazilian Série A. Kick-off Wednesday 07 October 2026, 22:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Remo 1-1 Grêmio

Remo vs Grêmio finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Our pre-match best bet, under 3.5 goals at 1.36, landed.

Remo face Grêmio in the upcoming Brazilian Série A tips, kicking off Wednesday 07 October 2026, 22:30 UTC. Recent form: Remo have no wins from their last 5, while Grêmio have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Remo win the most likely result at 36%, projecting a 1.3-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find our best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Remo vs Grêmio with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Market pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.36

70%Bookmaker odds imply 70%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.32 – 1.19 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.1%	9.7%	5.8%	2.3%	0.7%
1	10.7%	12.8%	7.6%	3.0%	0.9%
2	7.1%	8.4%	5.0%	2.0%	0.6%
3	3.1%	3.7%	2.2%	0.9%	0.3%
4	1.0%	1.2%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Remo winDrawGrêmio win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Remo vs Grêmio comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.36, with a 70% probability implied by the bookmaker odds. On the match result, the model rates a Remo win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 36%. Goals lean under 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points yes (52%).

📊 Key numbers

Remo 36%Draw 31%Grêmio 33%

36%31%33%

36%

Remo Win

54%

Under 2.5 goals

52%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Remo and Grêmio. Wins shown from Remo’s perspective: 2 drawn.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-10-07	Remo	1 – 1	Grêmio	D
2026-04-05	Grêmio	0 – 0	Remo	D

📈 Recent form

Remo

Remo come into this game with no wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 9. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Santos.

DRemo 1-1 GrêmioBrazilian Série A
LRemo 1-2 SantosBrazilian Série A
LBahia 2-1 RemoBrazilian Série A
LRemo 0-1 FlamengoBrazilian Série A
LRemo 2-3 CoritibaBrazilian Série A

Grêmio

Grêmio come into this game with no wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 7. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at Botafogo.

DRemo 1-1 GrêmioBrazilian Série A
DGrêmio 0-0 PalmeirasBrazilian Série A
LBotafogo 3-2 GrêmioBrazilian Série A
LGrêmio 1-2 Vasco da GamaBrazilian Série A
LVitória 1-0 GrêmioBrazilian Série A

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 10 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Remo

Gabriel PovedaSuspended (red card)
JajaCalf Injury
Joao LucasKnee Injury
MaykCalf Injury
Ze WelisonSuspended (cards)

Grêmio

Diego CaitoHealth problems
DodiKnee Injury
Gustavo MartinsSuspended (cards)
MarlonMuscle Injury
E. NoriegaSuspended (cards)

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Remo at 36% to win and Grêmio at 33%, with the draw at 31%. Our model makes a Remo win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Remo Win	36%	40%	@ 2.40
Grêmio Win	33%	31%	@ 3.10
Draw	31%	29%	@ 3.25

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Remo or Draw at 1.36 (65% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Remo or Draw	65%	69%	@ 1.36
Grêmio or Draw	62%	60%	@ 1.53

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.3-1.2 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 54% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	76%	70%	@ 1.36
Over 1.5	72%	75%	@ 1.28
Under 2.5	54%	50%	@ 1.90
Over 2.5	46%	50%	@ 1.90
Under 1.5	28%	25%	@ 3.75
Over 3.5	24%	30%	@ 3.20

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 52%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	52%	56%	@ 1.67
BTTS No	48%	44%	@ 2.10

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Remo or Grêmio is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Grêmio +1.75	85%	85%	1.12
Remo +1.5	85%	84%	1.12
Grêmio +1.5	82%	80%	1.18
Remo +1.25	80%	83%	1.14
Grêmio +1.25	77%	77%	1.23
Remo +1	75%	82%	1.16
Grêmio +1	72%	75%	1.27
Remo +0.75	70%	74%	1.27
Grêmio +0.75	67%	66%	1.44
Remo +0.5	65%	68%	1.41
Grêmio +0.5	62%	59%	1.60
Remo +0.25	58%	63%	1.51
Grêmio +0.25	55%	53%	@ 1.83
Remo 0	52%	56%	1.70
Grêmio 0	48%	44%	@ 2.15
Remo -0.25	45%	47%	2.03
Grêmio -0.25	42%	37%	@ 2.56
Remo -0.5	39%	41%	2.35
Grêmio -0.5	35%	32%	@ 2.94
Remo -0.75	33%	34%	2.83
Grêmio -0.75	30%	26%	@ 3.69
Remo -1	28%	25%	@ 3.75
Grêmio -1	25%	18%	@ 5.25
Remo -1.25	23%	23%	4.20
Grêmio -1.25	20%	17%	@ 5.75
Remo -1.5	18%	20%	4.65
Grêmio -1.5	15%	16%	6.00
Remo -1.75	15%	15%	6.25

📈 How the market moved

Remo 40%Draw 28%Grêmio 31%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Remo vs Grêmio?

Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.36, with a 70% probability implied by the bookmaker odds.

Who is the favourite for Remo vs Grêmio?

Our model makes a Remo win the most likely result at 36%. It projects an expected 1.3-1.2 scoreline for Remo vs Grêmio.

What is the predicted score for Remo vs Grêmio?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.32 for Remo and 1.19 for Grêmio. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Remo and Grêmio play?

Kick-off is Wednesday 07 October 2026, 22:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.