Sun 8 Nov10:30Upcoming

⚽ Süper Lig

Rizespor vs Erzurumspor FK Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Rizespor vs Erzurumspor FK in the Süper Lig. Kick-off Sunday 08 November 2026, 10:30 UTC.

Rizespor face Erzurumspor FK in the Süper Lig, kicking off Sunday 08 November 2026, 10:30 UTC. Recent form: Rizespor have no wins from their last 5, while Erzurumspor FK have 3 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Rizespor win the most likely result at 41%, projecting a 1.6-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Rizespor vs Erzurumspor FK with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Over 1.5 @ 1.25
81%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.59 – 1.45 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 4.8% 6.9% 5.0% 2.4% 0.9%
1 7.6% 11.0% 8.0% 3.9% 1.4%
2 6.0% 8.8% 6.4% 3.1% 1.1%
3 3.2% 4.6% 3.4% 1.6% 0.6%
4 1.3% 1.8% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
Projected score: 1-1
Rizespor winDrawErzurumspor FK win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Rizespor vs Erzurumspor FK comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.25, with a 81% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Rizespor win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 41%. Goals lean over 2.5 (59%), both teams to score points yes (60%).

📊 Key numbers

Rizespor 41%Draw 23%Erzurumspor FK 36%
41%23%36%
41%
Rizespor Win
59%
Over 2.5 goals
60%
BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Rizespor

Rizespor come into this game with no wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 11. Their most recent defeat was 3-4 at home to Trabzonspor.

  • DKocaelispor 0-0 RizesporSüper Lig
  • LRizespor 3-4 TrabzonsporSüper Lig
  • LÇorum FK 2-1 RizesporSüper Lig
  • LRizespor 0-3 FenerbahçeSüper Lig
  • DGöztepe 2-2 RizesporSüper Lig
Erzurumspor FK

Erzurumspor FK come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at Gaziantep FK. Their only defeat in that run was 1-3 at home to Çorum FK.

  • LErzurumspor FK 1-3 Çorum FKSüper Lig
  • WGaziantep FK 1-3 Erzurumspor FKSüper Lig
  • WErzurumspor FK 2-0 EyüpsporSüper Lig
  • DAlanyaspor 0-0 Erzurumspor FKSüper Lig
  • WErzurumspor FK 1-0 SamsunsporSüper Lig

🧩 Likely line-ups & team news

Erzurumspor FK 5-3-2
1Taskiran
53Ovacikli
4Gerxhaliu
3Kirtay
18Mujakic
15Giorbelidze
6Baiye
42Owusu
65Rodriguez
20Cardoso
10Tozlu
29Borrelli
99Bulut
20Laci
10Olawoyin
11Mebude
6Diakite
17Ariss
93Sagnan
21Bakayoko
54Pala
30Gorgen
Rizespor 4-1-4-1

Erzurumspor FK

Last starting XI (5-3-2) vs Çorum FK, 31/10

Unavailable: No reported absences

Coach: Serkan Ozbalta

Bench last match31Orbanic2Ebosele23Bayrak25Kara8Akgun77Agyekum99Fettahoglu19Diabate90Akhundzade9Kerk

Rizespor

Last starting XI (4-1-4-1) vs Kocaelispor, 31/10

Unavailable: No reported absences

Coach: Recep Ucar

Bench last match97Dogan4Mocsi5Sanuc37Sahin14Antalyali8Varesanovic79Doicaru9Sowe23Kutucu7Mihaila

Expected line-ups are based on each team's last starting XI and the reported absences. Official line-ups are released about an hour before kick-off.

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Rizespor at 41% to win and Erzurumspor FK at 36%, with the draw at 23%. Our model makes a Rizespor win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Rizespor Win 41% 49% @ 1.85
Erzurumspor FK Win 36% 23% @ 3.90
Draw 23% 28% @ 3.30

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Rizespor or Draw at 1.22 (66% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Rizespor or Draw 66% 77% @ 1.22
Erzurumspor FK or Draw 60% 51% @ 1.80

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 59% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Over 1.5 81% 75% @ 1.25
Under 3.5 64% 69% @ 1.36
Over 2.5 59% 51% @ 1.85
Under 2.5 41% 49% @ 1.95
Over 3.5 36% 31% @ 3.00
Under 1.5 19% 25% @ 3.75

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 60%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 60% 54% @ 1.73
BTTS No 40% 46% @ 2.00

📈 How the market moved

20%37%53%11/0311/0411/05

Rizespor 49%Draw 27%Erzurumspor FK 24%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Rizespor vs Erzurumspor FK?

Our model's pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.25, with a 81% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.

Who is the favourite for Rizespor vs Erzurumspor FK?

Our model makes a Rizespor win the most likely result at 41%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.4 scoreline for Rizespor vs Erzurumspor FK.

What is the predicted score for Rizespor vs Erzurumspor FK?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.59 for Rizespor and 1.45 for Erzurumspor FK. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Rizespor and Erzurumspor FK play?

Kick-off is Sunday 08 November 2026, 10:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.