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⚽ Süper Lig

Samsunspor vs Konyaspor Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Samsunspor vs Konyaspor in the Süper Lig. Kick-off Saturday 07 November 2026, 13:00 UTC.

Samsunspor face Konyaspor in the Süper Lig, kicking off Saturday 07 November 2026, 13:00 UTC. Recent form: Samsunspor have no wins from their last 5, while Konyaspor have 1 win from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Konyaspor win the most likely result at 41%, projecting a 1.5-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find our best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Samsunspor vs Konyaspor with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Market pick
Under 3.5 @ 1.33
71%Bookmaker odds imply 71%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.50 – 1.61 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 4.5% 7.2% 5.8% 3.1% 1.2%
1 6.7% 10.8% 8.7% 4.7% 1.9%
2 5.0% 8.1% 6.5% 3.5% 1.4%
3 2.5% 4.0% 3.3% 1.7% 0.7%
4 0.9% 1.5% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3%
Projected score: 1-1
Samsunspor winDrawKonyaspor win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Samsunspor vs Konyaspor comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.33, with a 71% probability implied by the bookmaker odds. On the match result, the model rates a Konyaspor win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 41%. Goals lean over 2.5 (60%), both teams to score points yes (61%).

📊 Key numbers

Samsunspor 36%Draw 23%Konyaspor 41%
36%23%41%
41%
Konyaspor Win
60%
Over 2.5 goals
61%
BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Samsunspor

Samsunspor come into this game with 5 defeats from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 15. Their most recent defeat was 2-5 at Başakşehir.

  • LBaşakşehir 5-2 SamsunsporSüper Lig
  • LSamsunspor 1-2 AmedSüper Lig
  • LKasımpaşa 4-1 SamsunsporSüper Lig
  • LSamsunspor 0-3 TrabzonsporSüper Lig
  • LErzurumspor FK 1-0 SamsunsporSüper Lig
Konyaspor

Konyaspor come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 2 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Gençlerbirliği. Their most recent defeat was 0-4 at home to Galatasaray.

  • LKonyaspor 0-4 GalatasaraySüper Lig
  • WKonyaspor 2-0 GençlerbirliğiSüper Lig
  • LAmed 1-0 KonyasporSüper Lig
  • DKonyaspor 0-0 BaşakşehirSüper Lig
  • DKasımpaşa 0-0 KonyasporSüper Lig

🧩 Likely line-ups & team news

Konyaspor 4-2-3-1
13Gungordu
17Andzouana
22Baniya
15Awaziem
26Masuaku
8Jevtovic
77Ibrahimoglu
9Turuc
66Toth
91Dompe
11Muleka
18Bayo
10Coulibaly
17Tomasson
42Sekongo
4Watt
5Yuksel
2Mendes
3Drapinski
34Guarino
16Erakovic
25Bayazit
Samsunspor 3-5-2

Konyaspor

Last starting XI (4-2-3-1) vs Galatasaray, 30/10

Unavailable: No reported absences

Coach: Ilhan Palut

Bench last match1Ertas2Oguz5Yazgili3Bosluk10Bardhi42Mohamed19Colley7Goncalves94Destan45Bars

Samsunspor

Last starting XI (3-5-2) vs Başakşehir, 01/11

Unavailable: No reported absences

Coach: Nenad Bjelica

Bench last match1Kocuk29Tan44Yurtsever23Albak20Kayan8Onur19Ohlenschlaeger7Tavsan15Assoumou30Jarju

Expected line-ups are based on each team's last starting XI and the reported absences. Official line-ups are released about an hour before kick-off.

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Samsunspor at 36% to win and Konyaspor at 41%, with the draw at 23%. Our model makes a Konyaspor win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Konyaspor Win 41% 31% @ 3.00
Samsunspor Win 36% 40% @ 2.30
Draw 23% 29% @ 3.20

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Konyaspor or Draw at 1.57 (66% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Konyaspor or Draw 66% 60% @ 1.57
Samsunspor or Draw 61% 69% @ 1.36

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 60% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Over 1.5 82% 73% @ 1.28
Under 3.5 62% 71% @ 1.33
Over 2.5 60% 49% @ 1.95
Under 2.5 40% 51% @ 1.85
Over 3.5 38% 29% @ 3.25
Under 1.5 18% 27% @ 3.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 61%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 61% 54% @ 1.73
BTTS No 39% 46% @ 2.00

📈 How the market moved

24%35%46%11/0211/0311/0411/0511/06

Samsunspor 40%Draw 29%Konyaspor 31%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Samsunspor vs Konyaspor?

Our pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.33, with a 71% probability implied by the bookmaker odds.

Who is the favourite for Samsunspor vs Konyaspor?

Our model makes a Konyaspor win the most likely result at 41%. It projects an expected 1.5-1.6 scoreline for Samsunspor vs Konyaspor.

What is the predicted score for Samsunspor vs Konyaspor?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.50 for Samsunspor and 1.61 for Konyaspor. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Samsunspor and Konyaspor play?

Kick-off is Saturday 07 November 2026, 13:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.