Sun 8 Nov15:30Upcoming

⚽ Primeira Liga

Santa Clara vs Gil Vicente Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Santa Clara vs Gil Vicente in the Primeira Liga. Kick-off Sunday 08 November 2026, 15:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Santa Clara face Gil Vicente in the Primeira Liga, kicking off Sunday 08 November 2026, 15:30 UTC. Recent form: Santa Clara have 3 wins from their last 5, while Gil Vicente have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 4 meetings, Santa Clara won 3, Gil Vicente won 1. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Santa Clara win the most likely result at 40%, projecting a 1.1-0.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Santa Clara vs Gil Vicente with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Santa Clara or Draw @ 1.30

70%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.15 – 0.84 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	13.7%	11.5%	4.8%	1.4%	0.3%
1	15.7%	13.2%	5.5%	1.6%	0.3%
2	9.0%	7.6%	3.2%	0.9%	0.2%
3	3.5%	2.9%	1.2%	0.3%	0.1%
4	1.0%	0.8%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%

Projected score: 1-0

Santa Clara winDrawGil Vicente win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Santa Clara vs Gil Vicente comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is Santa Clara or Draw at odds 1.30, with a 70% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Santa Clara win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 40%. Goals lean under 2.5 (68%), both teams to score points no (62%).

📊 Key numbers

Santa Clara 40%Draw 33%Gil Vicente 26%

40%33%26%

40%

Santa Clara Win

68%

Under 2.5 goals

62%

BTTS no

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 4 meetings between Santa Clara and Gil Vicente. Wins shown from Santa Clara’s perspective: Santa Clara 3 · Gil Vicente 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-03-21	Santa Clara	1 – 0	Gil Vicente	W
2025-11-03	Gil Vicente	1 – 0	Santa Clara	L
2025-03-15	Gil Vicente	0 – 1	Santa Clara	W
2024-10-25	Santa Clara	2 – 1	Gil Vicente	W

📈 Recent form

Santa Clara

Santa Clara come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Marítimo. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at home to Benfica.

WMarítimo 0-2 Santa ClaraPrimeira Liga
LSanta Clara 1-2 BenficaPrimeira Liga
DMafra 2-2 Santa ClaraTaça de Portugal
WCasa Pia 0-1 Santa ClaraPrimeira Liga
DSanta Clara 0-0 SC BragaPrimeira Liga

Gil Vicente

Gil Vicente come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Moreirense. Their most recent defeat was 1-4 at Benfica.

DGil Vicente 0-0 Vitória SCPrimeira Liga
LBenfica 4-1 Gil VicenteTaça da Liga
LGil Vicente 0-1 FC PortoPrimeira Liga
DUnião Santarém 2-2 Gil VicenteTaça de Portugal
WMoreirense 0-1 Gil VicentePrimeira Liga

🧩 Likely line-ups & team news

Santa Clara

Last starting XI (4-2-3-1) vs Benfica, 26/10

Coach: Petit

Bench last match17Vasconcelos99Sorriso19Ythallo80Duarte25Medeiros11Torrão12Neneca73Jacó22Vitinho3Silva18Duarte81Fofana

GIL Vicente

Last starting XI (-) vs Benfica, 29/10

Samuel Portugal, R. Esgaio, A. Espigares, J. Buatu, D. Moreira, Ze Carlos, Guilherme Gomes, Murilo de Souza, S. Garcia, G. Pinto Martins, M. Kaba

Coach: Luis Pinto

Bench last match30Lucao1Picornell2Silva15Gning12Lausen32Fernandez82Maia17Bermejo27Moreira11Fernandes7Toure9Franca

Expected line-ups are based on each team's last starting XI and the reported absences. Official line-ups are released about an hour before kick-off.

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Santa Clara at 40% to win and Gil Vicente at 26%, with the draw at 33%. Our model makes a Santa Clara win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Santa Clara Win	40%	42%	@ 2.25
Draw	33%	30%	@ 3.10
Gil Vicente Win	26%	28%	@ 3.40

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Santa Clara or Draw at 1.30 (70% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Santa Clara or Draw	70%	72%	@ 1.30
Gil Vicente or Draw	56%	58%	@ 1.62

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.1-0.8 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 68% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	86%	81%	@ 1.17
Under 2.5	68%	62%	@ 1.50
Over 1.5	59%	62%	@ 1.50
Under 1.5	41%	38%	@ 2.50
Over 2.5	32%	38%	@ 2.50
Over 3.5	14%	19%	@ 5.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 62%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	62%	56%	@ 1.67
BTTS Yes	38%	44%	@ 2.10

📈 How the market moved

Santa Clara 42%Draw 31%Gil Vicente 27%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Santa Clara vs Gil Vicente?

Our model's pick is Santa Clara or Draw at odds 1.30, with a 70% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 72%.

Who is the favourite for Santa Clara vs Gil Vicente?

Our model makes a Santa Clara win the most likely result at 40%. It projects an expected 1.1-0.8 scoreline for Santa Clara vs Gil Vicente.

What is the predicted score for Santa Clara vs Gil Vicente?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.15 for Santa Clara and 0.84 for Gil Vicente. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Santa Clara and Gil Vicente play?

Kick-off is Sunday 08 November 2026, 15:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.