Sat 19 Sep2-1Finished

⚽ Championship

Stoke City vs Sheffield Utd Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Stoke City vs Sheffield Utd in the Championship. Kick-off Saturday 19 September 2026, 11:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Stoke City 2-1 Sheffield Utd

Stoke City vs Sheffield Utd finished 2-1. Stoke City won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, under 3.5 goals at 1.36, landed.

Stoke City face Sheffield Utd in the upcoming Championship tips, kicking off Saturday 19 September 2026, 11:30 UTC. Recent form: Stoke City have 3 wins from their last 5, while Sheffield Utd have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 3 meetings, Stoke City won 1, Sheffield Utd won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Sheffield Utd win the most likely result at 46%, projecting a 1.0-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Stoke City vs Sheffield Utd with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Sheffield Utd +1 @ 1.28

82%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.04 – 1.45 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.3%	12.0%	8.7%	4.2%	1.5%
1	8.6%	12.5%	9.1%	4.4%	1.6%
2	4.5%	6.5%	4.7%	2.3%	0.8%
3	1.6%	2.3%	1.6%	0.8%	0.3%
4	0.4%	0.6%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Stoke City winDrawSheffield Utd win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Stoke City vs Sheffield Utd comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Sheffield Utd with a +1 start at odds 1.28, the selection our model is most confident in at 82%. On the match result, the model rates a Sheffield Utd win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 46%. Goals lean under 2.5 (55%), both teams to score points yes (50%).

📊 Key numbers

Stoke City 24%Draw 29%Sheffield Utd 46%

24%29%46%

46%

Sheffield Utd Win

55%

Under 2.5 goals

50%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 3 meetings between Stoke City and Sheffield Utd. Wins shown from Stoke City’s perspective: Stoke City 1 · Sheffield Utd 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-09-19	Stoke City	2 – 1	Sheffield Utd	W
2025-04-25	Stoke City	0 – 2	Sheffield Utd	L
2024-10-26	Sheffield Utd	2 – 0	Stoke City	L

📈 Recent form

Stoke City

Stoke City come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Charlton. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WStoke City 2-1 Sheffield UtdChampionship
WWatford 1-2 Stoke CityChampionship
DCardiff 1-1 Stoke CityChampionship
WStoke City 4-0 CharltonChampionship
WStoke City 1-0 NorwichChampionship

Sheffield Utd

Sheffield Utd come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Blackburn. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Stoke City.

LStoke City 2-1 Sheffield UtdChampionship
LFleetwood Town 1-0 Sheffield UtdLeague Cup
LSheffield Utd 0-1 WolvesChampionship
WBlackburn 1-2 Sheffield UtdChampionship
LSheffield Utd 1-3 NorwichChampionship

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 6 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Stoke City

A. CresswellKnee Injury
S. IngelssonInjury
B. LawalMuscle Injury

Sheffield Utd

H. BurrowsInjury
R. OneHamstring Injury
F. SerikiKnee Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Stoke City at 24% to win and Sheffield Utd at 46%, with the draw at 29%. Our model makes a Sheffield Utd win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Sheffield Utd Win	46%	32%	@ 2.90
Draw	29%	27%	@ 3.40
Stoke City Win	24%	40%	@ 2.30

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Sheffield Utd or Draw at 1.57 (74% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Sheffield Utd or Draw	74%	60%	@ 1.57
Stoke City or Draw	52%	68%	@ 1.40

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.0-1.4 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 55% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	76%	70%	@ 1.36
Over 1.5	71%	75%	@ 1.28
Under 2.5	55%	50%	@ 1.91
Over 2.5	45%	50%	@ 1.91
Under 1.5	29%	25%	@ 3.75
Over 3.5	24%	30%	@ 3.20

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 50%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	50%	56%	@ 1.67
BTTS No	50%	44%	@ 2.10

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Stoke City or Sheffield Utd is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Sheffield Utd +1.75	92%	84%	@ 1.13
Sheffield Utd +1.5	90%	79%	@ 1.20
Sheffield Utd +1.25	86%	77%	@ 1.24
Sheffield Utd +1	82%	74%	@ 1.28
Stoke City +1.75	79%	85%	1.12
Sheffield Utd +0.75	78%	66%	@ 1.44
Stoke City +1.5	75%	84%	1.13
Sheffield Utd +0.5	74%	59%	@ 1.62
Stoke City +1.25	70%	83%	1.14
Sheffield Utd +0.25	67%	53%	@ 1.83
Stoke City +1	64%	81%	1.18
Sheffield Utd 0	61%	44%	@ 2.16
Stoke City +0.75	58%	74%	1.28
Sheffield Utd -0.25	54%	38%	@ 2.52
Stoke City +0.5	52%	68%	1.41
Sheffield Utd -0.5	48%	32%	@ 2.94
Stoke City +0.25	46%	62%	1.52
Sheffield Utd -0.75	42%	26%	@ 3.67
Stoke City 0	39%	56%	1.71
Sheffield Utd -1	36%	19%	@ 5.04
Stoke City -0.25	33%	47%	2.04
Sheffield Utd -1.25	30%	17%	@ 5.75
Stoke City -0.5	26%	41%	2.33
Sheffield Utd -1.5	25%	16%	@ 5.90
Stoke City -0.75	22%	34%	2.79
Sheffield Utd -1.75	21%	15%	@ 6.40
Stoke City -1	18%	26%	3.65
Stoke City -1.25	14%	23%	4.12
Stoke City -1.5	10%	21%	4.40
Stoke City -1.75	8%	16%	5.90

📈 How the market moved

Stoke City 41%Draw 28%Sheffield Utd 32%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Stoke City vs Sheffield Utd?

Our model's main pick is Sheffield Utd with a +1 start at odds 1.28, with a 82% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 74%.

Who is the favourite for Stoke City vs Sheffield Utd?

Our model makes a Sheffield Utd win the most likely result at 46%. It projects an expected 1.0-1.4 scoreline for Stoke City vs Sheffield Utd.

What is the predicted score for Stoke City vs Sheffield Utd?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.04 for Stoke City and 1.45 for Sheffield Utd. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Stoke City and Sheffield Utd play?

Kick-off is Saturday 19 September 2026, 11:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.