⚽ Championship
West Brom vs Southampton Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for West Brom vs Southampton in the Championship. Kick-off Tuesday 03 November 2026, 20:00 UTC.
Result: West Brom 1-1 Southampton
West Brom vs Southampton finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
The model's best bet on this page, under 3.5 goals at 1.49, landed.
West Brom face Southampton in the upcoming Championship tips, kicking off Tuesday 03 November 2026, 20:00 UTC. Recent form: West Brom have 2 wins from their last 5, while Southampton have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Southampton won 3, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Southampton win the most likely result at 45%, projecting a 1.1-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for West Brom vs Southampton with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.1% | 11.3% | 7.1% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 10.4% | 13.0% | 8.2% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| 2 | 6.0% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| 3 | 2.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for West Brom vs Southampton comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.49, with a 79% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Southampton win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 45%. Goals lean under 2.5 (57%), both teams to score points no (52%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between West Brom and Southampton. Wins shown from West Brom’s perspective: 2 drawn · Southampton 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-03 | West Brom | 1 – 1 | Southampton | D |
| 2024-05-17 | Southampton | 3 – 1 | West Brom | L |
| 2024-05-12 | West Brom | 0 – 0 | Southampton | D |
| 2024-02-16 | West Brom | 0 – 2 | Southampton | L |
| 2023-11-11 | Southampton | 2 – 1 | West Brom | L |
📈 Recent form
West Brom come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at West Ham. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.
- DWest Brom 1-1 SouthamptonChampionship
- WWest Ham 1-3 West BromChampionship
- DPreston 1-1 West BromChampionship
- WWest Brom 3-2 BlackburnChampionship
- WWrexham 1-2 West BromChampionship
Southampton come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to QPR.
- DWest Brom 1-1 SouthamptonChampionship
- WSouthampton 4-1 QPRChampionship
- WWest Ham 2-3 SouthamptonChampionship
- DSouthampton 0-0 BoltonChampionship
- WNorwich 0-1 SouthamptonChampionship
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 6 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- T. CollyerInjury
- N. GalvesKnee Injury
- M. JohnstonBroken Leg
- M. Roerslev RasmussenNot in squad
- C. JanderNot in squad
- C. LarinHamstring Injury
🧩 Line-ups
Southampton
Coach: Tonda Eckert
West Brom
Coach: J. Morrison
Official line-ups as announced by the clubs before kick-off.
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices West Brom at 27% to win and Southampton at 45%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Southampton win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton Win | 45% | 34% | @ 2.75 |
| Draw | 28% | 28% | @ 3.30 |
| West Brom Win | 27% | 38% | @ 2.50 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Southampton or Draw at 1.50 (72% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton or Draw | 72% | 62% | @ 1.50 |
| West Brom or Draw | 54% | 66% | @ 1.40 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.1-1.2 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 57% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 78% | 64% | @ 1.50 |
| Over 1.5 | 69% | 79% | @ 1.20 |
| Under 2.5 | 57% | 45% | @ 2.10 |
| Over 2.5 | 43% | 55% | @ 1.73 |
| Under 1.5 | 31% | 21% | @ 4.50 |
| Over 3.5 | 22% | 36% | @ 2.62 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 52%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 52% | 39% | @ 2.38 |
| BTTS Yes | 48% | 61% | @ 1.53 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when West Brom or Southampton is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton +1.75 | 91% | 85% | @ 1.12 |
| Southampton +1.5 | 89% | 80% | @ 1.18 |
| Southampton +1.25 | 85% | 78% | @ 1.21 |
| Southampton +1 | 80% | 76% | @ 1.25 |
| West Brom +1.75 | 80% | 86% | 1.10 |
| West Brom +1.5 | 77% | 83% | 1.15 |
| Southampton +0.75 | 76% | 68% | @ 1.40 |
| Southampton +0.5 | 72% | 61% | @ 1.54 |
| West Brom +1.25 | 71% | 81% | 1.17 |
| Southampton +0.25 | 66% | 56% | @ 1.71 |
| West Brom +1 | 65% | 79% | 1.21 |
| West Brom +0.75 | 60% | 71% | 1.33 |
| Southampton 0 | 59% | 48% | @ 2.02 |
| West Brom +0.5 | 54% | 65% | 1.47 |
| Southampton -0.25 | 53% | 40% | @ 2.37 |
| West Brom +0.25 | 47% | 60% | 1.60 |
| Southampton -0.5 | 46% | 35% | @ 2.71 |
| West Brom 0 | 41% | 52% | 1.85 |
| Southampton -0.75 | 40% | 29% | @ 3.31 |
| Southampton -1 | 35% | 21% | @ 4.50 |
| West Brom -0.25 | 34% | 44% | 2.17 |
| Southampton -1.25 | 29% | 19% | @ 5.00 |
| West Brom -0.5 | 28% | 39% | 2.46 |
| West Brom -0.75 | 24% | 32% | 3.00 |
| Southampton -1.5 | 23% | 17% | @ 5.50 |
| West Brom -1 | 20% | 24% | 3.97 |
| Southampton -1.75 | 20% | 14% | @ 7.00 |
| West Brom -1.25 | 15% | 22% | 4.25 |
| West Brom -1.5 | 11% | 20% | 4.65 |
| West Brom -1.75 | 9% | 15% | 6.25 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for West Brom vs Southampton?
Our model's pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.49, with a 79% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 64%.
Who is the favourite for West Brom vs Southampton?
Our model makes a Southampton win the most likely result at 45%. It projects an expected 1.1-1.2 scoreline for West Brom vs Southampton.
What is the predicted score for West Brom vs Southampton?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.15 for West Brom and 1.25 for Southampton. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do West Brom and Southampton play?
Kick-off is Tuesday 03 November 2026, 20:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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