Sun 20 Sep1-0Finished

⚽ Championship

Wolves vs West Brom Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Wolves vs West Brom in the Championship. Kick-off Sunday 20 September 2026, 11:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Wolves 1-0 West Brom

Wolves vs West Brom finished 1-0. Wolves won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, under 3.5 goals at 1.33, landed.

Wolves face West Brom in the upcoming Championship tips, kicking off Sunday 20 September 2026, 11:00 UTC. Recent form: Wolves have 3 wins from their last 5, while West Brom have 2 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Wolves win the most likely result at 41%, projecting a 1.3-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Wolves vs West Brom with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

West Brom +1.5 @ 1.34

80%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.30 – 1.17 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.5%	9.9%	5.8%	2.3%	0.7%
1	11.0%	12.9%	7.5%	2.9%	0.9%
2	7.1%	8.4%	4.9%	1.9%	0.6%
3	3.1%	3.6%	2.1%	0.8%	0.2%
4	1.0%	1.2%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Wolves winDrawWest Brom win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Wolves vs West Brom comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is West Brom with a +1.5 start at odds 1.34, the selection our model is most confident in at 80%. On the match result, the model rates a Wolves win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 41%. Goals lean under 2.5 (55%), both teams to score points yes (50%).

📊 Key numbers

Wolves 41%Draw 31%West Brom 29%

41%31%29%

41%

Wolves Win

55%

Under 2.5 goals

50%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Wolves

Wolves come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to West Brom. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Everton.

WWolves 1-0 West BromChampionship
LEverton 1-0 WolvesLeague Cup
WSheffield Utd 0-1 WolvesChampionship
DBirmingham 2-2 WolvesChampionship
LWest Ham 4-2 WolvesChampionship

West Brom

West Brom come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 3. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Derby. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at Wolves.

LWolves 1-0 West BromChampionship
DWest Brom 1-1 QPRChampionship
WDerby 0-1 West BromChampionship
WWest Brom 1-0 WatfordChampionship
DWest Brom 1-1 CharltonChampionship

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 6 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Wolves

R. JimenezKnee Injury
L. KrejciCalf Injury
Y. MosqueraAnkle Injury
R. SaidKnee Injury

West Brom

N. GalvesKnee Injury
M. JohnstonBroken Leg

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Wolves at 41% to win and West Brom at 29%, with the draw at 31%. Our model makes a Wolves win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Wolves Win	41%	53%	@ 1.80
Draw	31%	26%	@ 3.70
West Brom Win	29%	22%	@ 4.33

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Wolves or Draw at 1.20 (69% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Wolves or Draw	69%	78%	@ 1.20
West Brom or Draw	57%	47%	@ 2.00

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.3-1.2 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 55% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	76%	72%	@ 1.33
Over 1.5	71%	75%	@ 1.28
Under 2.5	55%	50%	@ 1.91
Over 2.5	45%	50%	@ 1.91
Under 1.5	29%	25%	@ 3.75
Over 3.5	24%	28%	@ 3.40

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 50%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	50%	51%	@ 1.80
BTTS No	50%	49%	@ 1.91

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Wolves or West Brom is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
West Brom +2	86%	83%	1.14
West Brom +1.75	83%	76%	@ 1.25
West Brom +1.5	80%	71%	@ 1.34
West Brom +1.25	74%	68%	@ 1.40
Wolves +0.75	74%	83%	1.15
Wolves +0.5	69%	77%	1.24
West Brom +1	68%	63%	@ 1.52
West Brom +0.75	63%	55%	@ 1.75
Wolves +0.25	62%	74%	1.29
West Brom +0.5	57%	48%	@ 2.02
Wolves 0	56%	70%	1.38
West Brom +0.25	51%	41%	@ 2.37
Wolves -0.25	49%	59%	1.61
West Brom 0	44%	30%	@ 3.13
Wolves -0.5	43%	52%	1.85
West Brom -0.25	38%	26%	@ 3.62
Wolves -0.75	37%	45%	2.11
Wolves -1	32%	37%	2.55
West Brom -0.5	31%	23%	@ 4.16
West Brom -0.75	26%	17%	@ 5.50
Wolves -1.25	26%	32%	2.96
Wolves -1.5	20%	29%	3.29
Wolves -1.75	17%	24%	4.03
Wolves -2	14%	17%	5.75

📈 How the market moved

Wolves 52%Draw 26%West Brom 22%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Wolves vs West Brom?

Our model's main pick is West Brom with a +1.5 start at odds 1.34, with a 80% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 71%.

Who is the favourite for Wolves vs West Brom?

Our model makes a Wolves win the most likely result at 41%. It projects an expected 1.3-1.2 scoreline for Wolves vs West Brom.

What is the predicted score for Wolves vs West Brom?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.30 for Wolves and 1.17 for West Brom. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Wolves and West Brom play?

Kick-off is Sunday 20 September 2026, 11:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.