Sat 7 Nov12:30Upcoming

⚽ Championship

Wrexham vs Wolves Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Wrexham vs Wolves in the Championship. Kick-off Saturday 07 November 2026, 12:30 UTC.

Wrexham face Wolves in the Championship, kicking off Saturday 07 November 2026, 12:30 UTC. Recent form: Wrexham have 1 win from their last 5, while Wolves have 3 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Wrexham win the most likely result at 34%, projecting a 1.5-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find our best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Wrexham vs Wolves with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Market pick
Under 3.5 @ 1.36
70%Bookmaker odds imply 70%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.48 – 1.64 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 4.4% 7.2% 5.9% 3.2% 1.3%
1 6.5% 10.7% 8.8% 4.8% 2.0%
2 4.8% 7.9% 6.5% 3.6% 1.5%
3 2.4% 3.9% 3.2% 1.8% 0.7%
4 0.9% 1.4% 1.2% 0.6% 0.3%
Projected score: 1-1
Wrexham winDrawWolves win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Wrexham vs Wolves comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.36, with a 70% probability implied by the bookmaker odds. On the match result, the model rates a Wrexham win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 34%. Goals lean over 2.5 (60%), both teams to score points yes (62%).

📊 Key numbers

Wrexham 34%Draw 32%Wolves 34%
34%32%34%
34%
Wrexham Win
60%
Over 2.5 goals
62%
BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Wrexham

Wrexham come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to Preston. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Sheffield Utd.

  • WWrexham 2-0 MiddlesbroughChampionship
  • LSheffield Utd 1-0 WrexhamChampionship
  • LBlackburn 2-0 WrexhamChampionship
  • WWrexham 4-1 PrestonChampionship
  • LWrexham 1-2 West BromChampionship
Wolves

Wolves come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Cardiff. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

  • WBristol City 1-2 WolvesChampionship
  • WWolves 3-0 CardiffChampionship
  • WWolves 1-0 WatfordChampionship
  • DWolves 1-1 PortsmouthChampionship
  • WBurnley 1-2 WolvesChampionship

🧩 Likely line-ups & team news

Wolves 4-2-3-1
1Sá
2Trippier
15Mosquera
37Krejčí
3Bueno
7André
5Munetsi
28López
27Bellegarde
19Saïd
10Armstrong
19Moore
27O'Brien
3Ekomié
14Thomason
8Whiteman
15Dobson
12Kaboré
2Doyle
6Worrall
4Cleworth
22Patterson
Wrexham 3-5-1-1

Wolves

Last starting XI (4-2-3-1) vs Bristol City, 04/11

Unavailable: No reported absences

Coach: César Peixoto

Bench last match13Virgínia24Gomes38Tchatchoua14Neave36Mane21Gomes20Doyle34Djiga23Chirewa

Wrexham

Last starting XI (3-5-1-1) vs Middlesbrough, 04/11

Unavailable: No reported absences

Coach: P. Parkinson

Bench last match30Imray11Cadamarteri5Hyam47Longman20Rathbone18Sheaf37James26Vyner21Ward

Expected line-ups are based on each team's last starting XI and the reported absences. Official line-ups are released about an hour before kick-off.

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Wrexham at 34% to win and Wolves at 34%, with the draw at 32%. Our model makes a Wrexham win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Wrexham Win 34% 29% @ 3.20
Wolves Win 34% 43% @ 2.20
Draw 32% 28% @ 3.40

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Wrexham or Draw at 1.67 (63% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Wrexham or Draw 63% 57% @ 1.67
Wolves or Draw 63% 71% @ 1.36

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 60% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Over 1.5 82% 75% @ 1.28
Under 3.5 62% 70% @ 1.36
Over 2.5 60% 50% @ 1.91
Under 2.5 40% 50% @ 1.91
Over 3.5 38% 30% @ 3.20
Under 1.5 18% 25% @ 3.75

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 62%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 62% 56% @ 1.67
BTTS No 38% 44% @ 2.10

📈 How the market moved

23%35%47%11/0311/0411/0511/06

Wrexham 29%Draw 28%Wolves 43%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Wrexham vs Wolves?

Our pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.36, with a 70% probability implied by the bookmaker odds.

Who is the favourite for Wrexham vs Wolves?

Our model makes a Wrexham win the most likely result at 34%. It projects an expected 1.5-1.6 scoreline for Wrexham vs Wolves.

What is the predicted score for Wrexham vs Wolves?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.48 for Wrexham and 1.64 for Wolves. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Wrexham and Wolves play?

Kick-off is Saturday 07 November 2026, 12:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.

Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.