🏆 Competitions

Championship

Championship Betting Tips

Free Championship match analyses with model and market probabilities, built on 1,308 matches from our own database.

Upcoming Championship fixtures

Fri 30 Oct20:00
Sheffield UtdvsWrexham
Sheffield UtdvsWrexham
View prediction
Sat 31 Oct12:30
LincolnvsBirmingham
LincolnvsBirmingham
Prediction on matchday
Sat 31 Oct12:30
NorwichvsWatford
NorwichvsWatford
Prediction on matchday
Sat 31 Oct12:30
Stoke CityvsPreston
Stoke CityvsPreston
Prediction on matchday
Sat 31 Oct15:00
BoltonvsBristol City
BoltonvsBristol City
Prediction on matchday
Sat 31 Oct15:00
BurnleyvsPortsmouth
BurnleyvsPortsmouth
Prediction on matchday
Sat 31 Oct15:00
MiddlesbroughvsCharlton
MiddlesbroughvsCharlton
Prediction on matchday
Sat 31 Oct15:00
MillwallvsDerby
MillwallvsDerby
Prediction on matchday
Sat 31 Oct15:00
SouthamptonvsQPR
SouthamptonvsQPR
Prediction on matchday
Sat 31 Oct15:00
SwanseavsBlackburn
SwanseavsBlackburn
Prediction on matchday
Sat 31 Oct15:00
West HamvsWest Brom
West HamvsWest Brom
Prediction on matchday
Sat 31 Oct15:00
WolvesvsCardiff
WolvesvsCardiff
Prediction on matchday

Most likely picks this week (accumulator)

MatchPickProbability Odd
Sheffield Utd vs Wrexham
England, Championship
Fri 30 Oct
20:00
Under 3.571.5%@ 1.33

Sorted by market probability (highest first). For accumulator-style combination picks. Analytical view, not betting advice. UpcomingStarts soonLiveFinished

Market probabilities

MatchSourceHome%Draw%Away%O1.5U3.5BTTS
Tip: click a match row to see all betting markets. Every probability comes from the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed.
Sheffield Utd vs Wrexham ▼
England, Championship
Fri 30 Oct · 20:00
Market37%@2.4528%@3.3035%@2.6275%@1.2872%@1.3354%@1.73
Over 1.5
75%
@ 1.28
Under 3.5
72%
@ 1.33
DC 1X
65%
@ 1.44
DC X2
63%
@ 1.53
BTTS Yes
54%
@ 1.73
Over 2.5
50%
@ 1.91
Under 2.5
50%
@ 1.91
BTTS No
46%
@ 2.00
Home Win
37%
@ 2.45
Away Win
35%
@ 2.62
Draw
28%
@ 3.30
Over 3.5
28%
@ 3.40
Under 1.5
25%
@ 3.75
How to read this table: For every match we show the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. We do not label any market as value or safe: in our own testing our model did not beat the market, so we show the numbers from the market itself. Analytical view, not betting advice. Bet responsibly.

About the Championship

The Championship is the second tier of English football: 24 clubs play 46 matchdays. The top two are promoted and places three to six play off for the last spot.

We track every match in the Championship in our own database: 1,308 matches since August 2023. The numbers on this page come from that data, not from a generic source, and update as new results come in.

📈 Live competition numbers

Measured from our own settled results, not looked up.

2.79
goals per match on average
56.9%
of matches go over 2.5 goals
62.1%
of matches see both teams score
39.2%
home wins

Based on 232 settled matches since August 2025. Updated after every matchday.

Key facts: the Championship in numbers

Every settled match in our database, 1,308 from August 2023 to October 2026:

⚽
2.59 goals per match
49.7% of matches had over 2.5 goals and 25.9% over 3.5. Below the average of 55.5% across the 16 competitions we cover.
🏠
44.3% home wins
Draws 26.7%, away wins 29.1%. Home sides scored 1.47 goals per match, away sides 1.12. Below the average of 45.4% across the 16 competitions we cover.
🎯
53.0% both teams scored
7.3% of matches ended 0-0. Below the average of 54.2% across the 16 competitions we cover.
📊
1-1 is the most common score
The five most common results: 1-1 (12.5%), 2-1 (10.6%), 1-0 (10.5%), 0-1 (8.5%), 1-2 (8.0%).
🥅
73.7% over 1.5 goals
In 26.3% of matches one goal or none was scored.
🤝
26.7% draws
How often matches ended level. The second highest of the 16 competitions we cover.

By period:

Period Matches Goals Home wins Over 2.5 BTTS
Jul 2023 to Jun 2024 557 2.67 44.5% 52.1% 52.1%
Jul 2024 to Jun 2025 556 2.46 45.7% 44.8% 50.2%
Since Jul 2025 195 2.74 39.5% 56.9% 63.6%

Source: Daily Sport Pick match database, all settled matches in this competition.

How to use these numbers: our guides to over/under, both teams to score and reading odds.

The market against reality

At Pinnacle’s last price before kick-off, the favourite won 43.0% of 107 matches in the Championship, against 48.3% implied by its odds. Pinnacle’s average margin on the match result was 4.0%. Favourites here came in less often than their price suggested.

Our model picked the right result in 35.9% of 195 live matches in the Championship since March 2026, against 33% for a blind guess. The newer v4 model scored 44.0% on 175 matches.

Key point

The bookmaker market is hard to beat. In our own testing across all competitions the odds were a better forecast than our model, which is why every analysis shows both numbers side by side.

Our record in the Championship

Our published tips in the Championship since 11 May 2026, when our public archive starts: 13 settled. That is far too few to judge a method on; we show it because we show every result.

Tips Settled Won Avg. odds Return
Main tips 9 77.8% 1.36 +5.0%
Extra tips 4 16.7% 2.38 −52.5%
All tips 13 62.5% 1.68 −12.7%

Source: Daily Sport Pick published tips, 1 unit per tip, settled at the odds published.

75.0% of our main tips won 12 settled main tips in this competition since 11 May 2026 (extra tips not included)
See all our published tips →
📅 14 Oct 2026❌ Loss
Norwich vs Southampton
Pick: Norwich Asian Handicap 0.0 @ 1.86
💡 Market consensus puts this at 51.8% (bookmaker margin removed); the odds of 1.86 imply about 54% including margin. Selected by our fixed rules: top competitions only, enough data from this season, same criteria every day, no manual selection.
📅 14 Oct 2026↩️ Void
Portsmouth vs Sheffield Utd
Pick: Sheffield Utd Asian Handicap +1.0 @ 1.30
💡 Market consensus puts this at 73.3% (bookmaker margin removed); the odds of 1.30 imply about 77% including margin. Selected by our fixed rules: top competitions only, enough data from this season, same criteria every day, no manual selection.
📅 14 Oct 2026✅ Win
QPR vs Derby
Pick: Over 2.5 @ 1.80
💡 Market consensus puts this at 53.2% (bookmaker margin removed); the odds of 1.80 imply about 56% including margin. Selected by our fixed rules: top competitions only, enough data from this season, same criteria every day, no manual selection.

Every tip and result in our archive →

How our analysis works

We use the same method for every competition, so you can check it against the results.

1
Three models, one probability
A gradient-boosting model trained on form, expected goals and home/away strength, a Poisson goals model and a Dixon-Coles correction for low scores are combined into one probability for every outcome.
2
Next to the market
Every market shows our model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed, so you can see where they agree and where they don’t.
3
Fixed rules for picks
Picks come from 16 competitions, top leagues first, need enough data from this season, and stay within 10 percentage points of the market at odds up to 4.00. In our own testing, chasing the biggest gap with the market lost money, so we stopped doing that.
4
Every result published
Every pick is published before kick-off and settled on our statistics page, wins and losses.
Our commitment
We show our working, not just a pick: every analysis explains the numbers behind it. Analytical view, not betting advice.

Standings

#ClubPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Middlesbrough Middlesbrough127412717+1025
WDWWD
2Swansea Swansea127231613+323
LLWWW
3West Ham West Ham126423215+1722
LWWDD
4Wolves Wolves126332016+421
WDWLL
5West Brom West Brom126331613+321
DWWLL
6Southampton Southampton127322412+1220
WDWWL
7Birmingham Birmingham125522012+820
LWWWD
8QPR QPR125522012+820
WLWDD
9Stoke City Stoke City126241816+220
DWLWW
10Blackburn Blackburn125341916+318
WLWWD
11Portsmouth Portsmouth125341615+118
WDWWL
12Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd124441615+116
DWLWL
13Millwall Millwall124351920-115
LDLWD
14Bristol City Bristol City124351215-315
DLLDW
15Lincoln Lincoln124351320-715
WDLLL
16Cardiff Cardiff123541917+214
WDWLW
17Wrexham Wrexham123541518-314
LWLDW
18Bolton Bolton124261623-714
LDWLW
19Charlton Charlton123541118-714
LLDDL
20Norwich Norwich124082022-212
WLLLL
21Watford Watford123271020-1011
LWLLL
22Burnley Burnley121561725-88
LLDWD
23Derby Derby121471021-117
DLLDD
24Preston Preston121291025-155
DLLLD
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

Top scorers

#PlayerGoalsTeamAssists
1
L
W. Lankshear11
MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
0
2
G
A. Guðjohnsen8
BlackburnBlackburn
1
3
L
C. Larin7
SouthamptonSouthampton
0
4
B
J. Bowen6
West HamWest Ham
5
5
M
J. Moylan6
CardiffCardiff
3
6
L
Fer López5
WolvesWolves
3
7
M
K. Moore5
WrexhamWrexham
1
8
B
P. Bamford5
Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd
1
9
M
K. Mavropanos5
West HamWest Ham
0
10
T
M. Touré5
NorwichNorwich
0

Top assists

#PlayerAssistsTeam
1
C
Rio Cardines6
Bristol CityBristol City
2
B
J. Bowen5
West HamWest Ham
3
A
F. Azaz5
SouthamptonSouthampton
4
C
A. Cozier-Duberry4
MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
5
T
O. Tanner4
CardiffCardiff
6
C
T. Conway4
MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
7
P
Lucas Pires4
BurnleyBurnley
8
M
J. Moylan3
CardiffCardiff
9
L
Fer López3
WolvesWolves
10
M
L. Millar3
BirminghamBirmingham

Frequently asked questions

How many goals are scored in the Championship?

In our database the Championship averages 2.59 goals per match over 1,308 matches since August 2023. 49.7% of matches had over 2.5 goals and in 53.0% both teams scored.

How often does the home team win in the Championship?

Home sides won 44.3% of 1,308 matches in our database, draws were 26.7% and away wins 29.1%.

How accurate are your predictions in the Championship?

Our model picked the right result in 35.9% of 195 live matches since March 2026, against 33% for a blind guess. Our published tips here since 11 May 2026: 13 settled, with a return of −12.7%.

Are your tips in the Championship free?

Yes. Every analysis and every pick is free, without registration, and every result stays public in our archive.

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