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⚽ Bundesliga

Hoffenheim vs FC Schalke 04 Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Hoffenheim vs FC Schalke 04 in the Bundesliga. Kick-off Sunday 08 November 2026, 18:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Hoffenheim face FC Schalke 04 in the Bundesliga, kicking off Sunday 08 November 2026, 18:30 UTC. Recent form: Hoffenheim have 2 wins from their last 5, while FC Schalke 04 have no wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Hoffenheim win the most likely result at 48%, projecting a 1.7-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Hoffenheim vs FC Schalke 04 with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.67

63%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.71 – 1.36 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.6%	6.3%	4.3%	1.9%	0.7%
1	7.9%	10.8%	7.3%	3.3%	1.1%
2	6.8%	9.2%	6.3%	2.8%	1.0%
3	3.9%	5.3%	3.6%	1.6%	0.6%
4	1.7%	2.2%	1.5%	0.7%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

Hoffenheim winDrawFC Schalke 04 win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Hoffenheim vs FC Schalke 04 comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.67, with a 63% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Hoffenheim win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 48%. Goals lean over 2.5 (59%), both teams to score points yes (61%).

📊 Key numbers

Hoffenheim 48%Draw 27%FC Schalke 04 24%

48%27%24%

48%

Hoffenheim Win

59%

Over 2.5 goals

61%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Hoffenheim

Hoffenheim come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Bayer Leverkusen. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at Werder Bremen.

LWerder Bremen 2-0 HoffenheimBundesliga
DHolstein Kiel 1-1 HoffenheimDFB Pokal
WHoffenheim 3-0 Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga
WHoffenheim 3-0 LyonUEFA Europa League
WBorussia Mönchengladbach 1-2 HoffenheimBundesliga

FC Schalke 04

FC Schalke 04 come into this game with no wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 1 and conceding 7. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at home to RB Leipzig.

LFC Schalke 04 0-2 RB LeipzigBundesliga
LDynamo Dresden 2-0 FC Schalke 04DFB Pokal
D1. FC Köln 0-0 FC Schalke 04Bundesliga
LFC Schalke 04 0-1 FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga
LSC Freiburg 2-1 FC Schalke 04Bundesliga

🧩 Likely line-ups & team news

FC Schalke 04 5-3-2

1Karius

29Dina Ebimbe

43Ayhan

25Katić

4Kuruçay

33Becker

38Vozar

13Tanaka

24Aouchiche

7Hee-Chan

10Džeko

11Asllani

10Hložek

14Daghim

18Burger

7Avdullahu

27Kramarić

29Abraha

39Rots

28Machida

5Kabak

1Baumann

1899 Hoffenheim 3-5-2

FC Schalke 04

Last starting XI (5-3-2) vs Dynamo Dresden, 28/10

Coach: M. Muslić

Bench last match40Gashi19Karaman11Lasme21Ljubičić22Müller35Ndiaye27Porath5Becker20Adamu

1899 Hoffenheim

Last starting XI (3-5-2) vs Werder Bremen, 31/10

Coach: C. Ilzer

Bench last match47Lässig19Lemperle32Lenz37Philipp55Zor Muhammed41Hencke52Gjasula46Fields13Bernardo

Expected line-ups are based on each team's last starting XI and the reported absences. Official line-ups are released about an hour before kick-off.

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Hoffenheim at 48% to win and FC Schalke 04 at 24%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes a Hoffenheim win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Hoffenheim Win	48%	59%	@ 1.62
Draw	27%	22%	@ 4.33
FC Schalke 04 Win	24%	19%	@ 5.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Hoffenheim or Draw at 1.17 (74% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Hoffenheim or Draw	74%	81%	@ 1.17
FC Schalke 04 or Draw	51%	41%	@ 2.25

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 59% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	81%	83%	@ 1.14
Under 3.5	63%	57%	@ 1.67
Over 2.5	59%	64%	@ 1.50
Under 2.5	41%	36%	@ 2.62
Over 3.5	37%	43%	@ 2.20
Under 1.5	19%	17%	@ 5.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 61%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	61%	61%	@ 1.53
BTTS No	39%	39%	@ 2.38

📈 How the market moved

Hoffenheim 59%Draw 22%FC Schalke 04 19%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hoffenheim vs FC Schalke 04?

Our model's pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.67, with a 63% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 57%.

Who is the favourite for Hoffenheim vs FC Schalke 04?

Our model makes a Hoffenheim win the most likely result at 48%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.4 scoreline for Hoffenheim vs FC Schalke 04.

What is the predicted score for Hoffenheim vs FC Schalke 04?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.71 for Hoffenheim and 1.36 for FC Schalke 04. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Hoffenheim and FC Schalke 04 play?

Kick-off is Sunday 08 November 2026, 18:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.