Thu 5 Nov0-2Finished

Ferencváros

⚽ UEFA Europa League

AC Milan vs Ferencváros Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for AC Milan vs Ferencváros in the UEFA Europa League. Kick-off Thursday 05 November 2026, 17:45 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: AC Milan 0-2 Ferencváros

AC Milan vs Ferencváros finished 0-2. Ferencváros won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, under 3.5 goals at 1.57, landed.

AC Milan face Ferencváros in the upcoming UEFA Europa League tips, kicking off Thursday 05 November 2026, 17:45 UTC. Recent form: AC Milan have 1 win from their last 3, while Ferencváros have 5 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an AC Milan win the most likely result at 43%, projecting a 2.1-1.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for AC Milan vs Ferencváros with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.57

61%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.14 – 1.01 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.3%	4.3%	2.2%	0.7%	0.2%
1	9.2%	9.3%	4.7%	1.6%	0.4%
2	9.8%	9.9%	5.0%	1.7%	0.4%
3	7.0%	7.1%	3.6%	1.2%	0.3%
4	3.7%	3.8%	1.9%	0.6%	0.2%

Projected score: 2-1

AC Milan winDrawFerencváros win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for AC Milan vs Ferencváros comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.57, with a 61% model probability. On the match result, the model rates an AC Milan win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 43%. Goals lean over 2.5 (61%), both teams to score points yes (54%).

📊 Key numbers

AC Milan 43%Draw 23%Ferencváros 34%

43%23%34%

43%

AC Milan Win

61%

Over 2.5 goals

54%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

AC Milan

AC Milan come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Inter. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at home to Ferencváros.

LAC Milan 0-2 FerencvárosUEFA Europa League
WAC Milan 3-1 InterSerie A
LAC Milan 2-4 BolognaSerie A
WUdinese 0-2 AC MilanSerie A
LBournemouth 3-0 AC MilanUEFA Europa League

Ferencváros

Ferencváros come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 13 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at Bicskei. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WAC Milan 0-2 FerencvárosUEFA Europa League
WBicskei 1-4 FerencvárosMagyar Kupa
WFerencváros 4-1 TorreenseUEFA Europa League
DKisvarda FC 1-1 FerencvárosNB I
WFerencváros 2-1 PlzenUEFA Europa League

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 13 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

AC Milan

W. BondoOff the roster
S. ChukwuezeHip Injury
M. GabbiaThigh Injury
R. Loftus-CheekThigh Injury
M. MaignanSuspended (red card)
A. SaelemaekersAnkle Injury
F. TomoriMuscle Injury

Ferencváros

E. BotkaNot in squad
B. NagyOff the roster
B. OtvosKnee Injury
I. PappoeOff the roster
G. SzecsiOff the roster
F. KovacevicInjury

🧩 Line-ups

Ferencvarosi TC 4-3-3

90Dibusz

14Osváth

4Gómez

28Raemaekers

20Cadu

22Bero

6Nagy

17Corbu

16Zachariassen

75Joseph

7Birmančević

9Ramos

12Rabiot

70Cissè

80Musah

30Jashari

20Hutchinson

33Bartesaghi

13Bocoum

5De Winter

42Terracciano

96Torriani

AC Milan 4-4-1-1

Ferencvarosi TC

Official starting XI (4-3-3)

Coach: B. Borbely

Substitutes5Zohoré15Arzani18Bagi11Yusuf8Keïta10Levi72Madarász80Maïga54Nagy88Rommens1Varga68Varga

AC Milan

Official starting XI (4-4-1-1)

Coach: Ruben Amorim

Substitutes41Bouyer35Vladimirov11Pulišić37Pittarella22Moreira14Modrić34Gila2Estupiñán28Comotto73Camarda

Official line-ups as announced by the clubs before kick-off.

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices AC Milan at 43% to win and Ferencváros at 34%, with the draw at 23%. Our model makes an AC Milan win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
AC Milan Win	43%	71%	@ 1.33
Ferencváros Win	34%	13%	@ 7.50
Draw	23%	16%	@ 5.75

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is AC Milan or Draw at 1.06 (68% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
AC Milan or Draw	68%	87%	@ 1.06
Ferencváros or Draw	58%	29%	@ 3.75

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.1-1.0 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 61% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	82%	81%	@ 1.17
Under 3.5	61%	59%	@ 1.62
Over 2.5	61%	62%	@ 1.53
Under 2.5	39%	38%	@ 2.50
Over 3.5	39%	41%	@ 2.30
Under 1.5	18%	19%	@ 5.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 54%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	54%	50%	@ 1.91
BTTS No	46%	50%	@ 1.91

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when AC Milan or Ferencváros is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Ferencváros +2	86%	64%	@ 1.45
Ferencváros +1.75	83%	57%	@ 1.64
Ferencváros +1.5	80%	51%	@ 1.86
Ferencváros +1.25	75%	45%	@ 2.05
Ferencváros +1	69%	38%	@ 2.42
Ferencváros +0.75	64%	34%	@ 2.75
AC Milan +0.25	61%	86%	1.10
Ferencváros +0.5	58%	30%	@ 3.08
AC Milan 0	55%	86%	1.11
Ferencváros +0.25	52%	23%	@ 4.10
AC Milan -0.25	48%	77%	1.23
Ferencváros 0	45%	14%	@ 6.60
AC Milan -0.5	42%	70%	1.32
Ferencváros -0.25	39%	14%	@ 6.80
AC Milan -0.75	36%	66%	1.40
AC Milan -1	31%	62%	1.50
AC Milan -1.25	25%	55%	1.69
AC Milan -1.5	20%	49%	1.93
AC Milan -1.75	17%	43%	2.14
AC Milan -2	14%	36%	2.60

📈 How the market moved

AC Milan 68%Draw 19%Ferencváros 13%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for AC Milan vs Ferencváros?

Our model's pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.57, with a 61% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 59%.

Who is the favourite for AC Milan vs Ferencváros?

Our model makes an AC Milan win the most likely result at 43%. It projects an expected 2.1-1.0 scoreline for AC Milan vs Ferencváros.

What is the predicted score for AC Milan vs Ferencváros?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.14 for AC Milan and 1.01 for Ferencváros. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do AC Milan and Ferencváros play?

Kick-off is Thursday 05 November 2026, 17:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.