⚽ Eredivisie
ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam in the Eredivisie. Kick-off Saturday 07 November 2026, 17:45 UTC.
ADO Den Haag face Sparta Rotterdam in the Eredivisie, kicking off Saturday 07 November 2026, 17:45 UTC. Recent form: ADO Den Haag have 1 win from their last 5, while Sparta Rotterdam have 2 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Sparta Rotterdam win the most likely result at 36%, projecting a 1.6-1.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| 1 | 5.5% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 2.3% |
| 2 | 4.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| 3 | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| 4 | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is both teams to score at odds 1.50, with a 67% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Sparta Rotterdam win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 36%. Goals lean over 2.5 (65%), both teams to score points yes (67%).
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
ADO Den Haag come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to PSV Eindhoven. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at PEC Zwolle.
- LPEC Zwolle 1-0 ADO Den HaagEredivisie
- DExcelsior '31 1-1 ADO Den HaagKNVB Beker
- LADO Den Haag 2-3 HeerenveenEredivisie
- WADO Den Haag 2-1 PSV EindhovenEredivisie
- DTelstar 2-2 ADO Den HaagEredivisie
Sparta Rotterdam come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at Groningen. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at home to Ajax.
- WGroningen 2-3 Sparta RotterdamEredivisie
- DSparta Rotterdam 2-2 Fortuna SittardKNVB Beker
- LSparta Rotterdam 1-2 AjaxEredivisie
- WSparta Rotterdam 3-2 Willem IIEredivisie
- DGo Ahead Eagles 3-3 Sparta RotterdamEredivisie
🧩 Likely line-ups & team news
Sparta Rotterdam
Unavailable: No reported absences
Coach: R. Meijer
ADO Den Haag
Unavailable: No reported absences
Coach: R. Peter
Expected line-ups are based on each team's last starting XI and the reported absences. Official line-ups are released about an hour before kick-off.
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices ADO Den Haag at 34% to win and Sparta Rotterdam at 36%, with the draw at 30%. Our model makes a Sparta Rotterdam win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sparta Rotterdam Win | 36% | 36% | @ 2.62 |
| ADO Den Haag Win | 34% | 37% | @ 2.55 |
| Draw | 30% | 26% | @ 3.60 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Sparta Rotterdam or Draw at 1.50 (64% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sparta Rotterdam or Draw | 64% | 63% | @ 1.50 |
| ADO Den Haag or Draw | 62% | 64% | @ 1.44 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.8 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 65% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 85% | 81% | @ 1.17 |
| Over 2.5 | 65% | 60% | @ 1.57 |
| Under 3.5 | 56% | 61% | @ 1.53 |
| Over 3.5 | 44% | 39% | @ 2.38 |
| Under 2.5 | 35% | 40% | @ 2.35 |
| Under 1.5 | 15% | 19% | @ 5.00 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 67%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 67% | 62% | @ 1.50 |
| BTTS No | 33% | 38% | @ 2.50 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam?
Our model's pick is both teams to score at odds 1.50, with a 67% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 62%.
Who is the favourite for ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam?
Our model makes a Sparta Rotterdam win the most likely result at 36%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.8 scoreline for ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam.
What is the predicted score for ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.60 for ADO Den Haag and 1.77 for Sparta Rotterdam. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do ADO Den Haag and Sparta Rotterdam play?
Kick-off is Saturday 07 November 2026, 17:45 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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