⚽ UEFA Europa League
Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg in the UEFA Europa League. Kick-off Thursday 05 November 2026, 17:45 UTC.
Result: Anderlecht 2-0 Red Bull Salzburg
Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg finished 2-0. Anderlecht won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
The model's best bet on this page, Anderlecht or Draw at 1.28, landed.
Anderlecht face Red Bull Salzburg in the upcoming UEFA Europa League tips, kicking off Thursday 05 November 2026, 17:45 UTC. Recent form: Anderlecht have 3 wins from their last 5, while Red Bull Salzburg have 3 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Anderlecht win the most likely result at 52%, projecting a 1.9-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 8.6% | 10.3% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| 2 | 8.1% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| 3 | 5.1% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 2.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is Anderlecht or Draw at odds 1.28, with a 78% model probability. On the match result, the model rates an Anderlecht win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 52%. Goals lean over 2.5 (60%), both teams to score points yes (58%).
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
Anderlecht come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to KVC Westerlo. Their most recent defeat was 0-4 at Gent.
- WAnderlecht 2-0 Red Bull SalzburgUEFA Europa League
- WAnderlecht 4-1 KVC WesterloJupiler Pro League
- LGent 4-0 AnderlechtJupiler Pro League
- WJagiellonia 0-3 AnderlechtUEFA Europa League
- LBeerschot VA 2-1 AnderlechtCup
Red Bull Salzburg come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 13 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 5-1 at home to Austria Lustenau. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at Anderlecht.
- LAnderlecht 2-0 Red Bull SalzburgUEFA Europa League
- WRed Bull Salzburg 5-1 Austria LustenauBundesliga
- WSchwarz-Weiß Bregenz 2-3 Red Bull SalzburgCup
- WLask Linz 1-3 Red Bull SalzburgBundesliga
- DCelje 2-2 Red Bull SalzburgUEFA Europa League
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 16 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- I. CamaraFoot Injury
- L. HeyBroken Leg
- I. KoutsoupiasOff the roster
- K. SardellaNot in squad
- M. WinklerNot in squad
- E. AguilarMuscle Injury
- A. ChaseOff the roster
- S. KitanoAnkle Injury
- F. MatijasevicOff the roster
- J. MellbergMuscle Injury
- J. MoserOff the roster
- J. OmoregieAchilles Tendon Injury
- D. RedzicMuscle Injury
🧩 Line-ups
Red Bull Salzburg
Coach: D. Röhl
Anderlecht
Coach: Vítor Bruno
Official line-ups as announced by the clubs before kick-off.
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Anderlecht at 52% to win and Red Bull Salzburg at 21%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes an Anderlecht win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht Win | 52% | 49% | @ 1.95 |
| Draw | 28% | 25% | @ 3.75 |
| Red Bull Salzburg Win | 21% | 26% | @ 3.70 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Anderlecht or Draw at 1.28 (78% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht or Draw | 78% | 74% | @ 1.28 |
| Red Bull Salzburg or Draw | 47% | 51% | @ 1.80 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.9-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 60% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 81% | 81% | @ 1.17 |
| Under 3.5 | 63% | 60% | @ 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 59% | @ 1.62 |
| Under 2.5 | 40% | 41% | @ 2.30 |
| Over 3.5 | 37% | 40% | @ 2.38 |
| Under 1.5 | 19% | 19% | @ 5.00 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 58%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 61% | @ 1.53 |
| BTTS No | 42% | 39% | @ 2.38 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Anderlecht or Red Bull Salzburg is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht +1.25 | 88% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Anderlecht +1 | 85% | 85% | 1.12 |
| Anderlecht +0.75 | 81% | 79% | 1.20 |
| Red Bull Salzburg +2 | 79% | 84% | 1.13 |
| Anderlecht +0.5 | 78% | 73% | @ 1.30 |
| Red Bull Salzburg +1.75 | 75% | 77% | 1.23 |
| Anderlecht +0.25 | 72% | 70% | 1.36 |
| Red Bull Salzburg +1.5 | 71% | 72% | 1.32 |
| Anderlecht 0 | 65% | 65% | 1.47 |
| Red Bull Salzburg +1.25 | 65% | 69% | 1.38 |
| Anderlecht -0.25 | 59% | 55% | @ 1.72 |
| Red Bull Salzburg +1 | 59% | 65% | 1.46 |
| Anderlecht -0.5 | 53% | 49% | @ 1.99 |
| Red Bull Salzburg +0.75 | 53% | 57% | 1.66 |
| Anderlecht -0.75 | 47% | 43% | @ 2.23 |
| Red Bull Salzburg +0.5 | 47% | 51% | 1.89 |
| Anderlecht -1 | 41% | 35% | @ 2.73 |
| Red Bull Salzburg +0.25 | 41% | 45% | 2.13 |
| Anderlecht -1.25 | 35% | 31% | @ 3.07 |
| Red Bull Salzburg 0 | 35% | 35% | 2.70 |
| Anderlecht -1.5 | 29% | 28% | 3.40 |
| Red Bull Salzburg -0.25 | 28% | 30% | 3.12 |
| Anderlecht -1.75 | 25% | 23% | @ 4.10 |
| Red Bull Salzburg -0.5 | 22% | 27% | 3.52 |
| Anderlecht -2 | 21% | 16% | @ 5.90 |
| Red Bull Salzburg -0.75 | 19% | 21% | 4.40 |
| Red Bull Salzburg -1 | 15% | 15% | 6.40 |
| Red Bull Salzburg -1.25 | 12% | 14% | 7.00 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg?
Our model's pick is Anderlecht or Draw at odds 1.28, with a 78% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 74%.
Who is the favourite for Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg?
Our model makes an Anderlecht win the most likely result at 52%. It projects an expected 1.9-1.2 scoreline for Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg.
What is the predicted score for Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.89 for Anderlecht and 1.20 for Red Bull Salzburg. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Anderlecht and Red Bull Salzburg play?
Kick-off is Thursday 05 November 2026, 17:45 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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