Sun 20 Sep0-2Finished

⚽ Jupiler Pro League

Antwerp vs Union St. Gilloise Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Antwerp vs Union St. Gilloise in the Jupiler Pro League. Kick-off Sunday 20 September 2026, 11:30 UTC.

Result: Antwerp 0-2 Union St. Gilloise

Antwerp vs Union St. Gilloise finished 0-2. Union St. Gilloise won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, over 1.5 goals at 1.27, landed.

Antwerp face Union St. Gilloise in the upcoming Jupiler Pro League tips, kicking off Sunday 20 September 2026, 11:30 UTC. Recent form: Antwerp have 1 win from their last 5, while Union St. Gilloise have 4 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Antwerp won 1, Union St. Gilloise won 4. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Union St. Gilloise win the most likely result at 64%, projecting a 1.1-2.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Antwerp vs Union St. Gilloise with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Union St. Gilloise 0 @ 1.25
73%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.06 – 2.31 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 3.4% 7.9% 9.2% 7.1% 4.1%
1 3.6% 8.4% 9.7% 7.5% 4.3%
2 1.9% 4.5% 5.2% 4.0% 2.3%
3 0.7% 1.6% 1.8% 1.4% 0.8%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2%
Projected score: 1-2
Antwerp winDrawUnion St. Gilloise win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Antwerp vs Union St. Gilloise comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Union St. Gilloise 0 at odds 1.25, the selection our model is most confident in at 73%. On the match result, the model rates an Union St. Gilloise win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 64%. Goals lean over 2.5 (65%), both teams to score points yes (57%).

📊 Key numbers

Antwerp 18%Draw 19%Union St. Gilloise 64%
18%19%64%
64%
Union St. Gilloise Win
65%
Over 2.5 goals
57%
BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Antwerp and Union St. Gilloise. Wins shown from Antwerp’s perspective: Antwerp 1 · Union St. Gilloise 4.

Date Home Score Away Result
2026-09-20 Antwerp 0 – 2 Union St. Gilloise L
2025-05-17 Antwerp 0 – 4 Union St. Gilloise L
2025-03-29 Union St. Gilloise 5 – 1 Antwerp L
2024-12-01 Union St. Gilloise 2 – 1 Antwerp L
2024-09-15 Antwerp 2 – 0 Union St. Gilloise W

📈 Recent form

Antwerp

Antwerp come into this game with 0 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 14. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at home to Union St. Gilloise.

  • LAntwerp 0-2 Union St. GilloiseJupiler Pro League
  • LClub Brugge KV 3-1 AntwerpJupiler Pro League
  • LStandard Liège 1-0 AntwerpJupiler Pro League
  • LAntwerp 1-4 St. TruidenJupiler Pro League
  • DAntwerp 4-4 GenkJupiler Pro League
Union St. Gilloise

Union St. Gilloise come into this game with 5 wins from their last 5, scoring 16 and conceding 2. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at home to Lommel United. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

  • WAntwerp 0-2 Union St. GilloiseJupiler Pro League
  • WPlzen 0-3 Union St. GilloiseUEFA Europa League
  • WUnion St. Gilloise 5-0 Lommel UnitedJupiler Pro League
  • WCharleroi 2-3 Union St. GilloiseJupiler Pro League
  • WSt. Truiden 0-3 Union St. GilloiseJupiler Pro League

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Antwerp at 18% to win and Union St. Gilloise at 64%, with the draw at 19%. Our model makes an Union St. Gilloise win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Union St. Gilloise Win 64% 59% @ 1.55
Draw 19% 23% @ 4.00
Antwerp Win 18% 18% @ 5.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Union St. Gilloise or Draw at 1.14 (84% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Union St. Gilloise or Draw 84% 82% @ 1.14
Antwerp or Draw 38% 41% @ 2.25

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.1-2.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 65% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Over 1.5 85% 78% @ 1.20
Over 2.5 65% 56% @ 1.67
Under 3.5 56% 65% @ 1.44
Over 3.5 44% 35% @ 2.62
Under 2.5 35% 44% @ 2.15
Under 1.5 15% 22% @ 4.33

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 57%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 57% 52% @ 1.80
BTTS No 43% 48% @ 1.95

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Antwerp or Union St. Gilloise is a clear favourite.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Union St. Gilloise +0.75 86% 85% 1.12
Union St. Gilloise +0.5 84% 80% 1.18
Union St. Gilloise +0.25 78% 78% 1.22
Union St. Gilloise 0 73% 76% 1.25
Antwerp +2 72% 1.23
Union St. Gilloise -0.25 68% 66% 1.43
Antwerp +1.75 67% 70% 1.36
Antwerp +1.5 62% 63% 1.50
Union St. Gilloise -0.5 62% 60% 1.60
Antwerp +1.25 56% 59% 1.61
Union St. Gilloise -0.75 56% 54% 1.75
Antwerp +1 50% 53% 1.82
Union St. Gilloise -1 50% 47% @ 2.04
Antwerp +0.75 44% 46% 2.10
Union St. Gilloise -1.25 44% 41% @ 2.35
Antwerp +0.5 38% 40% 2.38
Union St. Gilloise -1.5 38% 37% 2.60
Union St. Gilloise -1.75 33% 30% @ 3.19
Antwerp +0.25 32% 34% 2.83
Antwerp 0 27% 24% @ 3.94
Antwerp -0.25 22% 22% 4.42
Antwerp -0.5 16% 20% 4.80
Antwerp -0.75 14% 15% 6.40

📈 How the market moved

14%39%63%09/1509/1609/1709/1809/1909/20

Antwerp 18%Draw 23%Union St. Gilloise 59%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Antwerp vs Union St. Gilloise?

Our model's main pick is Union St. Gilloise 0 at odds 1.25, with a 73% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 76%.

Who is the favourite for Antwerp vs Union St. Gilloise?

Our model makes an Union St. Gilloise win the most likely result at 64%. It projects an expected 1.1-2.3 scoreline for Antwerp vs Union St. Gilloise.

What is the predicted score for Antwerp vs Union St. Gilloise?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-2, based on expected goals of 1.06 for Antwerp and 2.31 for Union St. Gilloise. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Antwerp and Union St. Gilloise play?

Kick-off is Sunday 20 September 2026, 11:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

Get free tips, every day

Daily AI-backed football tips in your inbox. Free, no spam, unsubscribe anytime.

Or follow us

18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.

Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.