⚽ Major League Soccer
Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FC Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FC in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Sunday 01 November 2026, 21:30 UTC.
Result: Atlanta United FC 3-1 Toronto FC
Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FC finished 3-1. Atlanta United FC won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
The model's best bet on this page, Atlanta United FC or Draw at 1.40, landed.
Atlanta United FC face Toronto FC in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Sunday 01 November 2026, 21:30 UTC. Recent form: Atlanta United FC have 1 win from their last 5, while Toronto FC have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Atlanta United FC won 3, Toronto FC won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Atlanta United FC win the most likely result at 49%, projecting a 1.9-1.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FC with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 6.6% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| 2 | 6.1% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| 3 | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| 4 | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FC comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is Atlanta United FC or Draw at odds 1.40, with a 76% model probability. On the match result, the model rates an Atlanta United FC win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 49%. Goals lean over 2.5 (65%), both teams to score points yes (63%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Atlanta United FC and Toronto FC. Wins shown from Atlanta United FC’s perspective: Atlanta United FC 3 · 1 drawn · Toronto FC 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-01 | Atlanta United FC | 3 – 1 | Toronto FC | W |
| 2026-04-25 | Toronto FC | 1 – 2 | Atlanta United FC | W |
| 2024-06-29 | Atlanta United FC | 2 – 1 | Toronto FC | W |
| 2024-03-23 | Toronto FC | 2 – 0 | Atlanta United FC | L |
| 2023-04-15 | Toronto FC | 2 – 2 | Atlanta United FC | D |
📈 Recent form
Atlanta United FC come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at CF Montreal. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at New York City FC.
- WAtlanta United FC 3-1 Toronto FCMajor League Soccer
- LNew York City FC 2-1 Atlanta United FCMajor League Soccer
- LAtlanta United FC 2-3 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
- LAtlanta United FC 1-3 Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer
- WCF Montreal 0-3 Atlanta United FCMajor League Soccer
Toronto FC come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at New York Red Bulls. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at Atlanta United FC.
- LAtlanta United FC 3-1 Toronto FCMajor League Soccer
- WToronto FC 2-1 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
- LColumbus Crew 4-2 Toronto FCMajor League Soccer
- WNew York Red Bulls 0-2 Toronto FCMajor League Soccer
- DToronto FC 3-3 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 6 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- D. ChicaKnee Injury
- E. MihajHip Injury
- W. ReillyAnkle Injury
- K. FranklinShoulder Injury
- N. PalacioLower-Body Injury
- W. ZimmermanAnkle Injury
🧩 Line-ups
Toronto FC
Coach: R. Fraser
Atlanta United FC
Coach: G. Martino
Official line-ups as announced by the clubs before kick-off.
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Atlanta United FC at 49% to win and Toronto FC at 23%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes an Atlanta United FC win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta United FC Win | 49% | 43% | @ 2.20 |
| Draw | 28% | 24% | @ 4.00 |
| Toronto FC Win | 23% | 33% | @ 2.90 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Atlanta United FC or Draw at 1.40 (76% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta United FC or Draw | 76% | 67% | @ 1.40 |
| Toronto FC or Draw | 49% | 57% | @ 1.67 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.9-1.5 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 65% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 84% | 84% | @ 1.12 |
| Over 2.5 | 65% | 65% | @ 1.44 |
| Under 3.5 | 57% | 56% | @ 1.67 |
| Over 3.5 | 43% | 44% | @ 2.10 |
| Under 2.5 | 35% | 35% | @ 2.70 |
| Under 1.5 | 16% | 16% | @ 6.00 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 63%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 66% | @ 1.40 |
| BTTS No | 37% | 34% | @ 2.75 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Atlanta United FC or Toronto FC is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta United FC +1.75 | 93% | 86% | @ 1.10 |
| Atlanta United FC +1.5 | 91% | 83% | @ 1.15 |
| Atlanta United FC +1.25 | 87% | 82% | @ 1.16 |
| Atlanta United FC +1 | 83% | 79% | 1.19 |
| Toronto FC +2 | 81% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Atlanta United FC +0.75 | 80% | 73% | @ 1.31 |
| Toronto FC +1.75 | 77% | 80% | 1.18 |
| Atlanta United FC +0.5 | 76% | 67% | @ 1.42 |
| Toronto FC +1.5 | 73% | 74% | 1.28 |
| Atlanta United FC +0.25 | 70% | 62% | @ 1.52 |
| Toronto FC +1.25 | 67% | 73% | 1.30 |
| Atlanta United FC 0 | 63% | 57% | @ 1.68 |
| Toronto FC +1 | 61% | 70% | 1.35 |
| Atlanta United FC -0.25 | 57% | 49% | @ 1.95 |
| Toronto FC +0.75 | 55% | 62% | 1.52 |
| Atlanta United FC -0.5 | 51% | 43% | @ 2.19 |
| Toronto FC +0.5 | 49% | 57% | 1.69 |
| Atlanta United FC -0.75 | 45% | 38% | @ 2.51 |
| Toronto FC +0.25 | 43% | 51% | 1.89 |
| Atlanta United FC -1 | 39% | 30% | @ 3.18 |
| Toronto FC 0 | 37% | 43% | 2.21 |
| Atlanta United FC -1.25 | 33% | 27% | @ 3.55 |
| Toronto FC -0.25 | 30% | 38% | 2.52 |
| Atlanta United FC -1.5 | 27% | 26% | 3.63 |
| Toronto FC -0.5 | 24% | 33% | 2.85 |
| Atlanta United FC -1.75 | 23% | 20% | @ 4.80 |
| Toronto FC -0.75 | 20% | 27% | 3.48 |
| Atlanta United FC -2 | 19% | 14% | @ 7.00 |
| Toronto FC -1 | 17% | 21% | 4.50 |
| Toronto FC -1.25 | 13% | 18% | 5.25 |
| Toronto FC -1.5 | 9% | 17% | 5.50 |
| Toronto FC -1.75 | 7% | 14% | 7.00 |
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FC?
Our model's pick is Atlanta United FC or Draw at odds 1.40, with a 76% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 67%.
Who is the favourite for Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FC?
Our model makes an Atlanta United FC win the most likely result at 49%. It projects an expected 1.9-1.5 scoreline for Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FC.
What is the predicted score for Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FC?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.85 for Atlanta United FC and 1.48 for Toronto FC. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Atlanta United FC and Toronto FC play?
Kick-off is Sunday 01 November 2026, 21:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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