⚽ Major League Soccer
Austin vs Portland Timbers Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Austin vs Portland Timbers in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Sunday 08 November 2026, 00:00 UTC.
Austin face Portland Timbers in the Major League Soccer, kicking off Sunday 08 November 2026, 00:00 UTC. Recent form: Austin have 1 win from their last 5, while Portland Timbers have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Austin won 2, Portland Timbers won 2, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Austin win the most likely result at 35%, projecting a 1.8-1.7 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Austin vs Portland Timbers with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| 1 | 5.6% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| 2 | 5.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| 3 | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| 4 | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Austin vs Portland Timbers comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is both teams to score at odds 1.44, with a 67% model probability. On the match result, the model rates an Austin win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 35%. Goals lean over 2.5 (67%), both teams to score points yes (67%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Austin and Portland Timbers. Wins shown from Austin’s perspective: Austin 2 · 1 drawn · Portland Timbers 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Portland Timbers | 1 – 2 | Austin | W |
| 2024-10-03 | Portland Timbers | 0 – 1 | Austin | W |
| 2024-05-30 | Austin | 0 – 2 | Portland Timbers | L |
| 2023-09-18 | Austin | 1 – 2 | Portland Timbers | L |
| 2023-05-07 | Portland Timbers | 2 – 2 | Austin | D |
📈 Recent form
Austin come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 12. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Sporting Kansas City. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-4 at Los Angeles Galaxy.
- LLos Angeles Galaxy 4-1 AustinMajor League Soccer
- LAustin 1-2 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
- WSporting Kansas City 1-2 AustinMajor League Soccer
- LAustin 1-2 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
- LLos Angeles FC 3-1 AustinMajor League Soccer
Portland Timbers come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Houston Dynamo. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at Los Angeles Galaxy.
- WPortland Timbers 3-1 Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer
- WSt. Louis City 2-3 Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer
- WPortland Timbers 3-2 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
- DPortland Timbers 0-0 Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer
- LLos Angeles Galaxy 2-0 Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer
🧩 Likely line-ups & team news
Portland Timbers
Unavailable: No reported absences
Coach: Martí Cifuentes
Austin
Unavailable: No reported absences
Coach: D. Arnaud
Expected line-ups are based on each team's last starting XI and the reported absences. Official line-ups are released about an hour before kick-off.
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Austin at 35% to win and Portland Timbers at 35%, with the draw at 30%. Our model makes an Austin win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Win | 35% | 21% | @ 4.50 |
| Portland Timbers Win | 35% | 57% | @ 1.62 |
| Draw | 30% | 23% | @ 4.10 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Austin or Draw at 2.25 (63% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Austin or Draw | 63% | 43% | @ 2.25 |
| Portland Timbers or Draw | 63% | 79% | @ 1.18 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.8-1.7 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 67% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 86% | @ 1.10 |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 67% | @ 1.40 |
| Under 3.5 | 55% | 51% | @ 1.80 |
| Over 3.5 | 45% | 49% | @ 1.91 |
| Under 2.5 | 33% | 33% | @ 2.88 |
| Under 1.5 | 14% | 14% | @ 7.00 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 67%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 67% | 65% | @ 1.44 |
| BTTS No | 33% | 35% | @ 2.62 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Austin vs Portland Timbers?
Our model's pick is both teams to score at odds 1.44, with a 67% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 65%.
Who is the favourite for Austin vs Portland Timbers?
Our model makes an Austin win the most likely result at 35%. It projects an expected 1.8-1.7 scoreline for Austin vs Portland Timbers.
What is the predicted score for Austin vs Portland Timbers?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.76 for Austin and 1.68 for Portland Timbers. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Austin and Portland Timbers play?
Kick-off is Sunday 08 November 2026, 00:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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