Thu 5 Nov1-2Finished

⚽ UEFA Europa League

AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus in the UEFA Europa League. Kick-off Thursday 05 November 2026, 20:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: AZ Alkmaar 1-2 Juventus

AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus finished 1-2. Juventus won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, over 1.5 goals at 1.25, landed.

AZ Alkmaar face Juventus in the upcoming UEFA Europa League tips, kicking off Thursday 05 November 2026, 20:00 UTC. Recent form: AZ Alkmaar have 2 wins from their last 3, while Juventus have 2 wins from their last 3. The bookmaker market makes a Juventus win the most likely result at 49%, implying a 1.2-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.25

80%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.16 – 1.63 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.1%	10.0%	8.1%	4.4%	1.8%
1	7.1%	11.6%	9.5%	5.1%	2.1%
2	4.1%	6.7%	5.5%	3.0%	1.2%
3	1.6%	2.6%	2.1%	1.2%	0.5%
4	0.5%	0.8%	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

AZ Alkmaar winDrawJuventus win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.25, with a 80% model probability. On the match result, the model rates an AZ Alkmaar win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 56%. Goals lean over 2.5 (57%), both teams to score points yes (53%).

📊 Key numbers

AZ Alkmaar 56%Draw 23%Juventus 22%

56%23%22%

56%

AZ Alkmaar Win

57%

Over 2.5 goals

53%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

AZ Alkmaar

AZ Alkmaar come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at Ararat-Armenia. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Juventus.

LAZ Alkmaar 1-2 JuventusUEFA Europa League
LAjax 1-0 AZ AlkmaarEredivisie
LAZ Alkmaar 0-2 TwenteEredivisie
WArarat-Armenia 0-4 AZ AlkmaarUEFA Europa League
DCambuur 2-2 AZ AlkmaarEredivisie

Juventus

Juventus come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Napoli. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at Genoa.

WAZ Alkmaar 1-2 JuventusUEFA Europa League
WJuventus 2-0 NapoliSerie A
LGenoa 2-0 JuventusSerie A
WLecce 0-2 JuventusSerie A
DJuventus 2-2 RennesUEFA Europa League

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 16 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

AZ Alkmaar

J. HornkampInjury
S. ResinkKnee Injury
K. SmitInjury
H. VerhulstOff the roster
J. ZoetNot in squad

Juventus

Z. CelikMuscle Injury
F. ConceicaoShoulder Injury
N. GonzalezCalf Injury
K. GrabaraKnee Injury
M. LocatelliKnee Injury
W. McKennieGroin Injury
A. MilikNot in squad
D. RuganiOff the roster

🧩 Line-ups

Juventus 4-2-3-1

25Vicario

15Kalulu

4Gatti

26Lucumí

6Kelly

8Koopmeiners

29Sarr

20Cambiaso

27Woltemade

17Alajbegović

9Kolo Muani

11Daal

9Meerdink

14Stengs

6Koopmeiners

17Byskov

21Kwakman

34de Wit

4Schouten

3Goes

30Kasius

28De Busser

AZ Alkmaar 4-3-3

Juventus

Official starting XI (4-2-3-1)

Coach: L. Spalletti

Substitutes13Boga3Bremer32Cabal12Luiz18Ekhator48Elimoghale51Merola33Neto41Owusu43Pagnucco23Pinsoglio

AZ Alkmaar

Official starting XI (4-3-3)

Coach: L. Echteld

Substitutes8Clasie5Chávez22Dijkstra29Hoedt31Ichihara18Kovacs2Maikuma24Oufkir1Owusu-Oduro10Smit12Verhulst27bouziane

Official line-ups as announced by the clubs before kick-off.

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices AZ Alkmaar at 56% to win and Juventus at 22%, with the draw at 23%. Our model makes an AZ Alkmaar win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
AZ Alkmaar Win	56%	26%	@ 3.60
Draw	23%	25%	@ 3.75
Juventus Win	22%	49%	@ 1.95

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is AZ Alkmaar or Draw at 1.80 (79% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
AZ Alkmaar or Draw	79%	51%	@ 1.80
Juventus or Draw	45%	74%	@ 1.28

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.2-1.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 57% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	80%	76%	@ 1.25
Under 3.5	66%	68%	@ 1.40
Over 2.5	57%	53%	@ 1.80
Under 2.5	43%	47%	@ 2.00
Over 3.5	34%	32%	@ 3.00
Under 1.5	20%	24%	@ 4.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 53%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	53%	55%	@ 1.70
BTTS No	47%	45%	@ 2.05

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when AZ Alkmaar or Juventus is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
AZ Alkmaar +2	95%	86%	@ 1.11
AZ Alkmaar +1.75	94%	79%	@ 1.20
AZ Alkmaar +1.5	92%	–	@ 1.28
AZ Alkmaar +1.25	89%	71%	@ 1.34
AZ Alkmaar +1	86%	67%	@ 1.42
AZ Alkmaar +0.75	82%	59%	@ 1.61
AZ Alkmaar +0.5	79%	52%	@ 1.84
AZ Alkmaar +0.25	73%	45%	@ 2.10
AZ Alkmaar 0	67%	36%	@ 2.62
AZ Alkmaar -0.25	61%	31%	@ 3.04
Juventus +1	58%	86%	1.11
AZ Alkmaar -0.5	55%	27%	@ 3.48
Juventus +0.75	51%	79%	1.20
AZ Alkmaar -0.75	49%	21%	@ 4.40
Juventus +0.5	45%	73%	1.31
AZ Alkmaar -1	42%	14%	@ 6.60
Juventus +0.25	39%	69%	1.39
Juventus 0	33%	64%	1.50
Juventus -0.25	27%	55%	1.74
Juventus -0.5	21%	48%	2.03
Juventus -0.75	18%	41%	2.31
Juventus -1	14%	33%	2.90
Juventus -1.25	11%	29%	3.27
Juventus -1.75	6%	21%	4.40
Juventus -2	5%	14%	6.60

📈 How the market moved

AZ Alkmaar 27%Draw 26%Juventus 48%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus?

Our model's pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.25, with a 80% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 76%.

Who is the favourite for AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus?

Our model makes an AZ Alkmaar win the most likely result at 56%. It projects an expected 1.2-1.6 scoreline for AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus.

What is the predicted score for AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.16 for AZ Alkmaar and 1.63 for Juventus. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do AZ Alkmaar and Juventus play?

Kick-off is Thursday 05 November 2026, 20:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.