Sun 20 Sep2-0Finished

⚽ Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig in the Bundesliga. Kick-off Sunday 20 September 2026, 13:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Bayer Leverkusen 2-0 RB Leipzig

Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig finished 2-0. Bayer Leverkusen won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, Bayer Leverkusen or Draw at 1.30, landed.

Bayer Leverkusen face RB Leipzig in the upcoming Bundesliga tips, kicking off Sunday 20 September 2026, 13:30 UTC. Recent form: Bayer Leverkusen have 1 win from their last 5, while RB Leipzig have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Bayer Leverkusen won 3, RB Leipzig won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Bayer Leverkusen win the most likely result at 51%, projecting a 2.0-1.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

RB Leipzig +1.75 @ 1.25

78%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.03 – 1.46 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.1%	4.5%	3.3%	1.6%	0.6%
1	6.2%	9.0%	6.6%	3.2%	1.2%
2	6.3%	9.2%	6.7%	3.3%	1.2%
3	4.3%	6.2%	4.5%	2.2%	0.8%
4	2.2%	3.2%	2.3%	1.1%	0.4%

Projected score: 2-1

Bayer Leverkusen winDrawRB Leipzig win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is RB Leipzig with a +1.75 start at odds 1.25, the selection our model is most confident in at 78%. On the match result, the model rates a Bayer Leverkusen win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 51%. Goals lean over 2.5 (68%), both teams to score points yes (66%).

📊 Key numbers

Bayer Leverkusen 51%Draw 22%RB Leipzig 27%

51%22%27%

51%

Bayer Leverkusen Win

68%

Over 2.5 goals

66%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Bayer Leverkusen and RB Leipzig. Wins shown from Bayer Leverkusen’s perspective: Bayer Leverkusen 3 · 1 drawn · RB Leipzig 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-09-20	Bayer Leverkusen	2 – 0	RB Leipzig	W
2026-05-02	Bayer Leverkusen	4 – 1	RB Leipzig	W
2025-12-20	RB Leipzig	1 – 3	Bayer Leverkusen	W
2025-01-25	RB Leipzig	2 – 2	Bayer Leverkusen	D
2024-08-31	Bayer Leverkusen	2 – 3	RB Leipzig	L

📈 Recent form

Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Union Berlin. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-3 at SV Elversberg.

WBayer Leverkusen 2-0 RB LeipzigBundesliga
WBayer Leverkusen 2-0 CeljeUEFA Europa League
DFC Augsburg 2-2 Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga
WBayer Leverkusen 4-0 Union BerlinBundesliga
LSV Elversberg 3-2 Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at home to Hamburger SV. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Bayer Leverkusen.

LBayer Leverkusen 2-0 RB LeipzigBundesliga
WRB Leipzig 5-0 Hamburger SVBundesliga
LComo 4-1 RB LeipzigUEFA Champions League
LWerder Bremen 3-1 RB LeipzigBundesliga
WRB Leipzig 3-0 Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 8 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Bayer Leverkusen

M. CulbreathInjury
G. DoueMuscle Injury
K. EichhornIllness
N. TellaInjury

RB Leipzig

C. BaumgartnerThigh Injury
M. GuiuHamstring Injury
A. OuedraogoShoulder Injury
R. ReitzMuscle Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Bayer Leverkusen at 51% to win and RB Leipzig at 27%, with the draw at 22%. Our model makes a Bayer Leverkusen win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Bayer Leverkusen Win	51%	48%	@ 1.95
RB Leipzig Win	27%	29%	@ 3.25
Draw	22%	22%	@ 4.20

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Bayer Leverkusen or Draw at 1.33 (75% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Bayer Leverkusen or Draw	75%	71%	@ 1.33
RB Leipzig or Draw	50%	52%	@ 1.80

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.0-1.5 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 68% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	86%	86%	@ 1.10
Over 2.5	68%	70%	@ 1.36
Under 3.5	54%	50%	@ 1.91
Over 3.5	46%	50%	@ 1.91
Under 2.5	32%	30%	@ 3.20
Under 1.5	14%	14%	@ 7.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 66%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	66%	71%	@ 1.33
BTTS No	34%	29%	@ 3.25

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Bayer Leverkusen or RB Leipzig is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Bayer Leverkusen +1.5	90%	85%	@ 1.12
Bayer Leverkusen +1.25	86%	84%	1.13
Bayer Leverkusen +1	83%	83%	1.15
RB Leipzig +2	82%	82%	1.16
Bayer Leverkusen +0.75	79%	76%	1.24
RB Leipzig +1.75	78%	75%	1.25
Bayer Leverkusen +0.5	75%	71%	1.34
RB Leipzig +1.5	74%	71%	@ 1.35
RB Leipzig +1.25	68%	68%	1.41
Bayer Leverkusen +0.25	68%	67%	1.42
RB Leipzig +1	62%	64%	1.49
Bayer Leverkusen 0	62%	62%	1.53
RB Leipzig +0.75	56%	57%	1.68
Bayer Leverkusen -0.25	56%	54%	1.75
RB Leipzig +0.5	50%	52%	1.88
Bayer Leverkusen -0.5	50%	48%	2.00
RB Leipzig +0.25	44%	46%	2.10
Bayer Leverkusen -0.75	44%	43%	2.22
RB Leipzig 0	38%	38%	2.54
Bayer Leverkusen -1	38%	36%	@ 2.68
Bayer Leverkusen -1.25	32%	32%	2.96
RB Leipzig -0.25	32%	33%	2.89
Bayer Leverkusen -1.5	26%	29%	3.25
RB Leipzig -0.5	25%	29%	3.30
Bayer Leverkusen -1.75	22%	25%	3.80
RB Leipzig -0.75	21%	24%	3.90
Bayer Leverkusen -2	18%	18%	5.25
RB Leipzig -1	17%	17%	5.50
RB Leipzig -1.25	14%	16%	5.90
RB Leipzig -1.5	10%	15%	6.25

📈 How the market moved

Bayer Leverkusen 48%Draw 23%RB Leipzig 29%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig?

Our model's main pick is RB Leipzig with a +1.75 start at odds 1.25, with a 78% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.

Who is the favourite for Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig?

Our model makes a Bayer Leverkusen win the most likely result at 51%. It projects an expected 2.0-1.5 scoreline for Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig.

What is the predicted score for Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.03 for Bayer Leverkusen and 1.46 for RB Leipzig. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Bayer Leverkusen and RB Leipzig play?

Kick-off is Sunday 20 September 2026, 13:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.