⚽ Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Borussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg in the Bundesliga. Kick-off Saturday 07 November 2026, 14:30 UTC.
Borussia Dortmund face SV Elversberg in the Bundesliga, kicking off Saturday 07 November 2026, 14:30 UTC. Recent form: Borussia Dortmund have 2 wins from their last 5, while SV Elversberg have 2 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Borussia Dortmund win the most likely result at 66%, projecting a 2.6-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find our best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Borussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 5.3% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| 2 | 6.9% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| 3 | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| 4 | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Borussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.36, with a 71% probability implied by the bookmaker odds. On the match result, the model rates a Borussia Dortmund win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 66%. Goals lean over 2.5 (74%), both teams to score points yes (67%).
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
Borussia Dortmund come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Real Betis. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.
- WBorussia Dortmund 2-1 Real BetisUEFA Champions League
- DBayern Munich 2-2 Borussia DortmundBundesliga
- WBorussia Dortmund 3-2 Werder BremenDFB Pokal
- WBorussia Dortmund 1-0 Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga
- WSabah FA 1-2 Borussia DortmundUEFA Champions League
SV Elversberg come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to FSV Mainz 05. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at home to SV Darmstadt 98.
- WSV Elversberg 4-1 FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga
- LSV Elversberg 0-2 SV Darmstadt 98DFB Pokal
- LRB Leipzig 4-0 SV ElversbergBundesliga
- WSV Elversberg 4-3 FC AugsburgBundesliga
- LUnion Berlin 1-0 SV ElversbergBundesliga
🧩 Likely line-ups & team news
SV Elversberg
Unavailable: No reported absences
Coach: V. Wagner
Borussia Dortmund
Unavailable: No reported absences
Coach: N. Kovač
Expected line-ups are based on each team's last starting XI and the reported absences. Official line-ups are released about an hour before kick-off.
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Borussia Dortmund at 66% to win and SV Elversberg at 15%, with the draw at 19%. Our model makes a Borussia Dortmund win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund Win | 66% | 73% | @ 1.30 |
| Draw | 19% | 16% | @ 6.00 |
| SV Elversberg Win | 15% | 11% | @ 8.50 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Borussia Dortmund or Draw at 1.08 (86% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund or Draw | 86% | 89% | @ 1.08 |
| SV Elversberg or Draw | 35% | 27% | @ 3.40 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.6-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 74% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 90% | 86% | @ 1.10 |
| Over 2.5 | 74% | 70% | @ 1.36 |
| Over 3.5 | 54% | 50% | @ 1.91 |
| Under 3.5 | 46% | 50% | @ 1.91 |
| Under 2.5 | 26% | 30% | @ 3.20 |
| Under 1.5 | 10% | 14% | @ 7.00 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 67%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 67% | 58% | @ 1.62 |
| BTTS No | 33% | 42% | @ 2.20 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Borussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg?
Our pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.36, with a 71% probability implied by the bookmaker odds.
Who is the favourite for Borussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg?
Our model makes a Borussia Dortmund win the most likely result at 66%. It projects an expected 2.6-1.3 scoreline for Borussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg.
What is the predicted score for Borussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.59 for Borussia Dortmund and 1.30 for SV Elversberg. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Borussia Dortmund and SV Elversberg play?
Kick-off is Saturday 07 November 2026, 14:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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