⚽ Serie A
Cagliari vs Frosinone Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Cagliari vs Frosinone in the Serie A. Kick-off Saturday 07 November 2026, 14:00 UTC.
Cagliari face Frosinone in the Serie A, kicking off Saturday 07 November 2026, 14:00 UTC. Recent form: Cagliari have no wins from their last 5, while Frosinone have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, Cagliari won 1, Frosinone won 1. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Cagliari win the most likely result at 38%, projecting a 1.6-2.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Cagliari vs Frosinone with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| 1 | 4.5% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 2.9% |
| 2 | 3.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 2.3% |
| 3 | 1.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Cagliari vs Frosinone comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.53, with a 69% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Cagliari win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 38%. Goals lean over 2.5 (69%), both teams to score points yes (64%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 2 meetings between Cagliari and Frosinone. Wins shown from Cagliari’s perspective: Cagliari 1 · Frosinone 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-01-21 | Frosinone | 3 – 1 | Cagliari | L |
| 2023-10-29 | Cagliari | 4 – 3 | Frosinone | W |
📈 Recent form
Cagliari come into this game with no wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 13. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Lazio.
- LLazio 2-1 CagliariSerie A
- LAS Roma 4-2 CagliariSerie A
- LCagliari 0-2 BolognaSerie A
- LMonza 4-0 CagliariSerie A
- DCagliari 1-1 JuventusSerie A
Frosinone come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 15 and conceding 10. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 5-1 at home to Lecce. Their only defeat in that run was 0-3 at Napoli.
- WFrosinone 2-0 TorinoSerie A
- WFrosinone 5-1 LecceSerie A
- DAtalanta 4-4 FrosinoneSerie A
- WFrosinone 4-2 SassuoloSerie A
- LNapoli 3-0 FrosinoneSerie A
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 1 player listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- Riyad IdrissiJumpers Knee
No absentees reported.
🧩 Likely line-ups & team news
Frosinone
Coach: M. Alvini
Cagliari
Coach: F. Pisacane
Expected line-ups are based on each team's last starting XI and the reported absences. Official line-ups are released about an hour before kick-off.
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Cagliari at 38% to win and Frosinone at 36%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes a Cagliari win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari Win | 38% | 35% | @ 2.75 |
| Frosinone Win | 36% | 38% | @ 2.50 |
| Draw | 26% | 27% | @ 3.50 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Cagliari or Draw at 1.50 (64% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari or Draw | 64% | 62% | @ 1.50 |
| Frosinone or Draw | 62% | 65% | @ 1.40 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-2.0 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 69% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 87% | 81% | @ 1.17 |
| Over 2.5 | 69% | 62% | @ 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 | 53% | 59% | @ 1.62 |
| Over 3.5 | 47% | 41% | @ 2.30 |
| Under 2.5 | 31% | 38% | @ 2.50 |
| Under 1.5 | 13% | 19% | @ 5.00 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 64%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 64% | 65% | @ 1.44 |
| BTTS No | 36% | 35% | @ 2.62 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Cagliari vs Frosinone?
Our model's pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.53, with a 69% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 62%.
Who is the favourite for Cagliari vs Frosinone?
Our model makes a Cagliari win the most likely result at 38%. It projects an expected 1.6-2.0 scoreline for Cagliari vs Frosinone.
What is the predicted score for Cagliari vs Frosinone?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.55 for Cagliari and 1.99 for Frosinone. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Cagliari and Frosinone play?
Kick-off is Saturday 07 November 2026, 14:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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RodezAnalytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.