Sat 19 Sep3-1Finished

⚽ Championship

Cardiff vs Charlton Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Cardiff vs Charlton in the Championship. Kick-off Saturday 19 September 2026, 11:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Cardiff 3-1 Charlton

Cardiff vs Charlton finished 3-1. Cardiff won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, under 3.5 goals at 1.50, did not land.

Cardiff face Charlton in the upcoming Championship tips, kicking off Saturday 19 September 2026, 11:30 UTC. Recent form: Cardiff have 0 wins from their last 5, while Charlton have 1 win from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Cardiff win the most likely result at 37%, projecting a 1.4-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Cardiff vs Charlton with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Charlton +1.75 @ 1.26

85%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.38 – 1.31 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.8%	8.9%	5.8%	2.5%	0.8%
1	9.4%	12.3%	8.0%	3.5%	1.1%
2	6.5%	8.5%	5.5%	2.4%	0.8%
3	3.0%	3.9%	2.6%	1.1%	0.4%
4	1.0%	1.3%	0.9%	0.4%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Cardiff winDrawCharlton win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Cardiff vs Charlton comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Charlton with a +1.75 start at odds 1.26, the selection our model is most confident in at 85%. On the match result, the model rates a Cardiff win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 37%. Goals lean over 2.5 (50%), both teams to score points yes (55%).

📊 Key numbers

Cardiff 37%Draw 32%Charlton 31%

37%32%31%

37%

Cardiff Win

50%

Over 2.5 goals

55%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Cardiff

Cardiff come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Charlton. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Bolton.

WCardiff 3-1 CharltonChampionship
LBolton 1-0 CardiffChampionship
DCardiff 1-1 Stoke CityChampionship
LPortsmouth 2-0 CardiffChampionship
LQPR 2-1 CardiffChampionship

Charlton

Charlton come into this game with 0 wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 2 and conceding 8. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at Cardiff.

LCardiff 3-1 CharltonChampionship
DCharlton 0-0 PortsmouthChampionship
DCharlton 0-0 QPRChampionship
LStoke City 4-0 CharltonChampionship
DWest Brom 1-1 CharltonChampionship

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 10 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Cardiff

C. ChambersKnee Injury
R. ColwillHealth problems
I. DaviesInjury
W. FishHernia

Charlton

N. ChalobahMuscle Injury
M. GoddenMuscle Injury
B. KoumetioMuscle Injury
W. MannionShoulder Injury
K. RamsayAnkle Injury
C. SichenjeKnee Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Cardiff at 37% to win and Charlton at 31%, with the draw at 32%. Our model makes a Cardiff win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Cardiff Win	37%	54%	@ 1.75
Draw	32%	24%	@ 3.90
Charlton Win	31%	22%	@ 4.20

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Cardiff or Draw at 1.22 (66% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Cardiff or Draw	66%	78%	@ 1.22
Charlton or Draw	60%	46%	@ 1.95

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 50% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	75%	79%	@ 1.20
Under 3.5	72%	64%	@ 1.50
Over 2.5	50%	57%	@ 1.67
Under 2.5	50%	43%	@ 2.20
Over 3.5	28%	36%	@ 2.62
Under 1.5	25%	21%	@ 4.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 55%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	55%	58%	@ 1.62
BTTS No	45%	42%	@ 2.20

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Cardiff or Charlton is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Charlton +2	88%	82%	@ 1.16
Charlton +1.75	85%	–	@ 1.26
Charlton +1.5	82%	69%	@ 1.38
Charlton +1.25	76%	66%	@ 1.46
Cardiff +1	76%	86%	1.10
Charlton +1	71%	60%	@ 1.58
Cardiff +0.75	71%	83%	1.15
Cardiff +0.5	66%	76%	1.25
Charlton +0.75	66%	52%	@ 1.85
Charlton +0.5	60%	46%	@ 2.07
Cardiff +0.25	59%	74%	1.28
Charlton +0.25	54%	39%	@ 2.44
Cardiff 0	53%	70%	1.35
Charlton 0	47%	30%	@ 3.17
Cardiff -0.25	46%	61%	1.56
Charlton -0.25	41%	26%	@ 3.63
Cardiff -0.5	40%	54%	1.78
Cardiff -0.75	34%	48%	2.02
Charlton -0.5	34%	24%	@ 4.03
Charlton -0.75	29%	17%	@ 5.50
Cardiff -1	29%	40%	2.40
Charlton -1	24%	14%	@ 7.00
Cardiff -1.25	24%	34%	2.77
Cardiff -1.5	18%	31%	3.12
Cardiff -2	12%	18%	5.25

📈 How the market moved

Cardiff 54%Draw 24%Charlton 23%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cardiff vs Charlton?

Our model's main pick is Charlton with a +1.75 start at odds 1.26, with a 85% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 79%.

Who is the favourite for Cardiff vs Charlton?

Our model makes a Cardiff win the most likely result at 37%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.3 scoreline for Cardiff vs Charlton.

What is the predicted score for Cardiff vs Charlton?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.38 for Cardiff and 1.31 for Charlton. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Cardiff and Charlton play?

Kick-off is Saturday 19 September 2026, 11:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.