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⚽ La Liga

Celta Vigo vs Levante Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Celta Vigo vs Levante in the La Liga. Kick-off Sunday 08 November 2026, 17:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Celta Vigo face Levante in the La Liga, kicking off Sunday 08 November 2026, 17:30 UTC. Recent form: Celta Vigo have 2 wins from their last 5, while Levante have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, Celta Vigo won 1, Levante won 1. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Celta Vigo win the most likely result at 48%, projecting a 1.7-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find our best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Celta Vigo vs Levante with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Market pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.36

71%Bookmaker odds imply 71%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.67 – 1.12 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.1%	6.9%	3.9%	1.4%	0.4%
1	10.3%	11.5%	6.4%	2.4%	0.7%
2	8.6%	9.6%	5.4%	2.0%	0.6%
3	4.8%	5.3%	3.0%	1.1%	0.3%
4	2.0%	2.2%	1.2%	0.5%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Celta Vigo winDrawLevante win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Celta Vigo vs Levante comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.36, with a 71% probability implied by the bookmaker odds. On the match result, the model rates a Celta Vigo win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 48%. Goals lean over 2.5 (53%), both teams to score points yes (55%).

📊 Key numbers

Celta Vigo 48%Draw 30%Levante 22%

48%30%22%

48%

Celta Vigo Win

53%

Over 2.5 goals

55%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Celta Vigo and Levante. Wins shown from Celta Vigo’s perspective: Celta Vigo 1 · Levante 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-05-12	Celta Vigo	2 – 3	Levante	L
2025-11-02	Levante	1 – 2	Celta Vigo	W

📈 Recent form

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Celtic. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at Rayo Vallecano.

LRayo Vallecano 3-0 Celta VigoLa Liga
DCelta Vigo 0-0 Real BetisLa Liga
WCeltic 1-2 Celta VigoUEFA Europa League
WCelta Vigo 2-1 AlavésLa Liga
LCelta Vigo 1-2 JuventusUEFA Europa League

Levante

Levante come into this game with no wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 11. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at home to Atlético Madrid.

LLevante 0-2 Atlético MadridLa Liga
LReal Sociedad 2-1 LevanteLa Liga
DDeportivo La Coruña 1-1 LevanteLa Liga
DLevante 3-3 SevillaLa Liga
LVillarreal 3-1 LevanteLa Liga

🧩 Likely line-ups & team news

Levante 4-4-2

13Ryan

29Perez

2Mandi

3Ndukwe

23Sanchez

7Brugue

8Olasagasti

6Requena

24Fernandez

9Romero

10Ratkov

16González

9Jutglà

23Álvarez

22Galán

14Febas

6Moriba

17Rueda

21Cáceres

18Lago

20Rodríguez

13Radu

Celta Vigo 3-4-3

Levante

Last starting XI (4-4-2) vs Real Sociedad, 25/10

Coach: Luis Castro

Bench last match1Cunat32Primo22Toljan14Cabello20Rey27Cortes5Sotelo16Tape17Garcia11Musuayi21Etta Eyong33Santos

Celta Vigo

Last starting XI (3-4-3) vs Rayo Vallecano, 31/10

Coach: Claudio Giráldez

Bench last match3Alonso28Antañón10Aspas1Bayındır30Burcio5Carreira24Driouech11Durán4Faye19Swedberg25Villar

Expected line-ups are based on each team's last starting XI and the reported absences. Official line-ups are released about an hour before kick-off.

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Celta Vigo at 48% to win and Levante at 22%, with the draw at 30%. Our model makes a Celta Vigo win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Celta Vigo Win	48%	53%	@ 1.80
Draw	30%	26%	@ 3.60
Levante Win	22%	21%	@ 4.50

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Celta Vigo or Draw at 1.18 (76% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Celta Vigo or Draw	76%	79%	@ 1.18
Levante or Draw	49%	47%	@ 1.95

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-1.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 53% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	77%	75%	@ 1.28
Under 3.5	69%	70%	@ 1.36
Over 2.5	53%	50%	@ 1.91
Under 2.5	47%	50%	@ 1.91
Over 3.5	31%	30%	@ 3.20
Under 1.5	23%	25%	@ 3.75

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 55%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	55%	52%	@ 1.80
BTTS No	45%	48%	@ 1.95

📈 How the market moved

Celta Vigo 52%Draw 26%Levante 22%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Celta Vigo vs Levante?

Our pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.36, with a 71% probability implied by the bookmaker odds.

Who is the favourite for Celta Vigo vs Levante?

Our model makes a Celta Vigo win the most likely result at 48%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.1 scoreline for Celta Vigo vs Levante.

What is the predicted score for Celta Vigo vs Levante?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.67 for Celta Vigo and 1.12 for Levante. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Celta Vigo and Levante play?

Kick-off is Sunday 08 November 2026, 17:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.