⚽ UEFA Europa League
Celtic vs Beşiktaş Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Celtic vs Beşiktaş in the UEFA Europa League. Kick-off Thursday 05 November 2026, 20:00 UTC.
Result: Celtic 3-2 Beşiktaş
Celtic vs Beşiktaş finished 3-2. Celtic won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
The model's best bet on this page, over 2.5 goals at 1.62, landed.
Celtic face Beşiktaş in the upcoming UEFA Europa League tips, kicking off Thursday 05 November 2026, 20:00 UTC. Recent form: Celtic have no wins from their last 3, while Beşiktaş have 3 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Beşiktaş win the most likely result at 42%, projecting a 1.3-2.7 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Celtic vs Beşiktaş with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.2% |
| 1 | 2.3% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 5.3% |
| 2 | 1.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.4% |
| 3 | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Celtic vs Beşiktaş comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.62, with a 76% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Beşiktaş win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 42%. Goals lean over 2.5 (76%), both teams to score points yes (66%).
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
Celtic come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at home to Beşiktaş. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Falkirk.
- WCeltic 3-2 BeşiktaşUEFA Europa League
- LFalkirk 2-0 CelticPremiership
- DCeltic 2-2 Dundee UtdPremiership
- WHibernian 1-2 CelticPremiership
- LCeltic 1-2 Celta VigoUEFA Europa League
Beşiktaş come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Başakşehir. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at Celtic.
- LCeltic 3-2 BeşiktaşUEFA Europa League
- DKasımpaşa 2-2 BeşiktaşSüper Lig
- WBeşiktaş 2-0 BaşakşehirSüper Lig
- DBeşiktaş 2-2 Crystal PalaceUEFA Europa League
- LTrabzonspor 2-0 BeşiktaşSüper Lig
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 12 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- L. EmenaloOff the roster
- A. JohnstonLeg Injury
- JotaOff the roster
- S. MheukaOff the roster
- A. TrustyNot in squad
- Yang Hyun-JunHamstring Injury
- J. van den BergOff the roster
- U. AkdagSuspended (red card)
- C. KelesOff the roster
- O. KokcuFoot Injury
- F. MirettiShoulder Injury
- M. RashicaOff the roster
🧩 Line-ups
Beşiktaş
Coach: V. Italiano
Celtic
Coach: M. O'Neill
Official line-ups as announced by the clubs before kick-off.
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Celtic at 34% to win and Beşiktaş at 42%, with the draw at 24%. Our model makes a Beşiktaş win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beşiktaş Win | 42% | 44% | @ 2.15 |
| Celtic Win | 34% | 30% | @ 3.10 |
| Draw | 24% | 26% | @ 3.70 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Beşiktaş or Draw at 1.36 (68% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beşiktaş or Draw | 68% | 70% | @ 1.36 |
| Celtic or Draw | 59% | 56% | @ 1.67 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.3-2.7 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 76% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 91% | 81% | @ 1.17 |
| Over 2.5 | 76% | 62% | @ 1.53 |
| Over 3.5 | 57% | 41% | @ 2.30 |
| Under 3.5 | 43% | 59% | @ 1.62 |
| Under 2.5 | 24% | 38% | @ 2.50 |
| Under 1.5 | 9% | 19% | @ 5.00 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 66%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 66% | 65% | @ 1.44 |
| BTTS No | 34% | 35% | @ 2.62 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Celtic vs Beşiktaş?
Our model's pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.62, with a 76% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 62%.
Who is the favourite for Celtic vs Beşiktaş?
Our model makes a Beşiktaş win the most likely result at 42%. It projects an expected 1.3-2.7 scoreline for Celtic vs Beşiktaş.
What is the predicted score for Celtic vs Beşiktaş?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-2, based on expected goals of 1.28 for Celtic and 2.72 for Beşiktaş. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Celtic and Beşiktaş play?
Kick-off is Thursday 05 November 2026, 20:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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