Sun 8 Nov16:00Upcoming

⚽ Premiership

Celtic vs Kilmarnock Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Celtic vs Kilmarnock in the Premiership. Kick-off Sunday 08 November 2026, 16:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Celtic face Kilmarnock in the Premiership, kicking off Sunday 08 November 2026, 16:00 UTC. Recent form: Celtic have 3 wins from their last 5, while Kilmarnock have 1 win from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Celtic win the most likely result at 77%, projecting a 2.9-0.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Celtic vs Kilmarnock with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 2.5 @ 1.25

73%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.90 – 0.92 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	2.2%	2.0%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%
1	6.4%	5.9%	2.7%	0.8%	0.2%
2	9.2%	8.5%	3.9%	1.2%	0.3%
3	8.9%	8.2%	3.8%	1.2%	0.3%
4	6.5%	5.9%	2.7%	0.8%	0.2%

Projected score: 2-0

Celtic winDrawKilmarnock win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Celtic vs Kilmarnock comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.25, with a 73% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Celtic win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 77%. Goals lean over 2.5 (73%), both teams to score points yes (56%).

📊 Key numbers

Celtic 77%Draw 13%Kilmarnock 10%

77%13%10%

77%

Celtic Win

73%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Celtic

Celtic come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 7-1 at home to Heart Of Midlothian. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Falkirk.

LFalkirk 2-0 CelticPremiership
DCeltic 2-2 Dundee UtdPremiership
WHibernian 1-2 CelticPremiership
LCeltic 1-2 Celta VigoUEFA Europa League
WCeltic 7-1 Heart Of MidlothianPremiership

Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 13. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at home to Motherwell. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at Dundee.

DKilmarnock 2-2 St JohnstonePremiership
LDundee 3-1 KilmarnockPremiership
LFalkirk 3-0 KilmarnockPremiership
WKilmarnock 3-2 MotherwellPremiership
LRangers 3-1 KilmarnockPremiership

🧩 Likely line-ups & team news

Kilmarnock 4-3-3

58Mantl

2Brandon

4McCarthy

14Stanger

6Deas

18Lowery

36Tshibola

21Schjønning-Larsen

10John-Jules

9Hugill

11Kiltie

11Durán

19Osmand

22Baur

23Hassan

42McGregor

21Oxlade-Chamberlain

63Tierney

5Scales

20Carter-Vickers

51Donovan

26Johnstone

Celtic 4-2-3-1

Kilmarnock

Last starting XI (4-3-3) vs Dundee, 28/10

Coach: N. McCann

Bench last match29Daniels32Ellis3Kamson-Kamara23Mathurin7McKenzie19Meier8Ring12Ferrie27Owen

Celtic

Last starting XI (4-2-3-1) vs Falkirk, 01/11

Coach: M. O'Neill

Bench last match1Sinisalo8Nygren47Murray29Mheuka14McCowan9Høgh49Forrest12Emenalo17Tounekti

Expected line-ups are based on each team's last starting XI and the reported absences. Official line-ups are released about an hour before kick-off.

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Celtic at 77% to win and Kilmarnock at 10%, with the draw at 13%. Our model makes a Celtic win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Celtic Win	77%	79%	@ 1.17
Draw	13%	12%	@ 7.50
Kilmarnock Win	10%	8%	@ 11.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Celtic or Draw at 1.05 (91% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Celtic or Draw	91%	92%	@ 1.05
Kilmarnock or Draw	25%	21%	@ 5.00

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.9-0.9 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 73% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	89%	89%	@ 1.07
Over 2.5	73%	76%	@ 1.25
Over 3.5	53%	57%	@ 1.67
Under 3.5	47%	43%	@ 2.20
Under 2.5	27%	24%	@ 4.00
Under 1.5	11%	11%	@ 9.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 56%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	56%	55%	@ 1.70
BTTS No	44%	45%	@ 2.05

📈 How the market moved

Celtic 79%Draw 12%Kilmarnock 8%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Celtic vs Kilmarnock?

Our model's pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.25, with a 73% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 76%.

Who is the favourite for Celtic vs Kilmarnock?

Our model makes a Celtic win the most likely result at 77%. It projects an expected 2.9-0.9 scoreline for Celtic vs Kilmarnock.

What is the predicted score for Celtic vs Kilmarnock?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-0, based on expected goals of 2.90 for Celtic and 0.92 for Kilmarnock. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Celtic and Kilmarnock play?

Kick-off is Sunday 08 November 2026, 16:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.