⚽ Jupiler Pro League
Charleroi vs Cercle Brugge Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Charleroi vs Cercle Brugge in the Jupiler Pro League. Kick-off Saturday 19 September 2026, 16:15 UTC.
Result: Charleroi 3-2 Cercle Brugge
Charleroi vs Cercle Brugge finished 3-2. Charleroi won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
The model's best bet on this page, under 3.5 goals at 1.57, did not land.
Charleroi face Cercle Brugge in the upcoming Jupiler Pro League tips, kicking off Saturday 19 September 2026, 16:15 UTC. Recent form: Charleroi have 4 wins from their last 5, while Cercle Brugge have 0 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Charleroi won 1, Cercle Brugge won 2, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Charleroi win the most likely result at 50%, projecting a 1.7-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Charleroi vs Cercle Brugge with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.7% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 9.8% | 11.3% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| 2 | 8.4% | 9.6% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| 3 | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Charleroi vs Cercle Brugge comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Cercle Brugge with a +1.75 start at odds 1.27, the selection our model is most confident in at 78%. On the match result, the model rates a Charleroi win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 50%. Goals lean over 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points yes (56%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Charleroi and Cercle Brugge. Wins shown from Charleroi’s perspective: Charleroi 1 · 2 drawn · Cercle Brugge 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Charleroi | 3 – 2 | Cercle Brugge | W |
| 2025-01-25 | Charleroi | 1 – 1 | Cercle Brugge | D |
| 2024-11-03 | Cercle Brugge | 2 – 0 | Charleroi | L |
| 2024-03-09 | Charleroi | 0 – 0 | Cercle Brugge | D |
| 2023-08-05 | Cercle Brugge | 2 – 0 | Charleroi | L |
📈 Recent form
Charleroi come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at Kortrijk. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-3 at home to Union St. Gilloise.
- WCharleroi 3-2 Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro League
- WZulte Waregem 0-1 CharleroiJupiler Pro League
- LCharleroi 2-3 Union St. GilloiseJupiler Pro League
- WKortrijk 1-3 CharleroiJupiler Pro League
- WCharleroi 2-0 KV MechelenJupiler Pro League
Cercle Brugge come into this game with 0 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 9. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at Charleroi.
- LCharleroi 3-2 Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro League
- DOH Leuven 1-1 Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro League
- LCercle Brugge 0-3 GentJupiler Pro League
- LCercle Brugge 0-1 Lommel UnitedJupiler Pro League
- LClub Brugge KV 1-0 Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro League
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Charleroi at 50% to win and Cercle Brugge at 26%, with the draw at 24%. Our model makes a Charleroi win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charleroi Win | 50% | 52% | @ 1.75 |
| Cercle Brugge Win | 26% | 23% | @ 4.00 |
| Draw | 24% | 25% | @ 3.60 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Charleroi or Draw at 1.20 (75% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charleroi or Draw | 75% | 77% | @ 1.20 |
| Cercle Brugge or Draw | 50% | 48% | @ 1.91 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-1.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 54% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 81% | @ 1.17 |
| Under 3.5 | 68% | 61% | @ 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 | 54% | 60% | @ 1.57 |
| Under 2.5 | 46% | 40% | @ 2.35 |
| Over 3.5 | 32% | 39% | @ 2.38 |
| Under 1.5 | 22% | 19% | @ 5.00 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 56%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 59% | @ 1.57 |
| BTTS No | 44% | 41% | @ 2.25 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Charleroi or Cercle Brugge is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cercle Brugge +2 | 82% | 80% | 1.18 |
| Charleroi +0.75 | 79% | 82% | 1.16 |
| Cercle Brugge +1.75 | 78% | 75% | 1.27 |
| Charleroi +0.5 | 75% | 76% | 1.23 |
| Cercle Brugge +1.5 | 74% | 68% | @ 1.39 |
| Charleroi +0.25 | 68% | 74% | 1.29 |
| Cercle Brugge +1.25 | 68% | 65% | @ 1.48 |
| Cercle Brugge +1 | 62% | 60% | 1.60 |
| Charleroi 0 | 62% | 70% | 1.36 |
| Cercle Brugge +0.75 | 56% | 53% | @ 1.82 |
| Charleroi -0.25 | 56% | 60% | 1.57 |
| Cercle Brugge +0.5 | 50% | 46% | @ 2.06 |
| Charleroi -0.5 | 50% | 54% | 1.78 |
| Cercle Brugge +0.25 | 44% | 40% | @ 2.41 |
| Charleroi -0.75 | 44% | 47% | 2.02 |
| Charleroi -1 | 38% | 40% | 2.38 |
| Cercle Brugge 0 | 38% | 30% | @ 3.13 |
| Charleroi -1.25 | 32% | 35% | 2.71 |
| Cercle Brugge -0.25 | 32% | 26% | @ 3.58 |
| Charleroi -1.5 | 26% | 32% | 3.00 |
| Cercle Brugge -0.5 | 25% | 24% | @ 4.00 |
| Charleroi -1.75 | 22% | 25% | 3.73 |
| Cercle Brugge -0.75 | 21% | 18% | @ 5.25 |
| Charleroi -2 | 18% | 20% | 4.80 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Charleroi vs Cercle Brugge?
Our model's main pick is Cercle Brugge with a +1.75 start at odds 1.27, with a 78% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.
Who is the favourite for Charleroi vs Cercle Brugge?
Our model makes a Charleroi win the most likely result at 50%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.1 scoreline for Charleroi vs Cercle Brugge.
What is the predicted score for Charleroi vs Cercle Brugge?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.71 for Charleroi and 1.15 for Cercle Brugge. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Charleroi and Cercle Brugge play?
Kick-off is Saturday 19 September 2026, 16:15 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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