⚽ Major League Soccer
Chicago Fire vs Columbus Crew Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Chicago Fire vs Columbus Crew in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Saturday 07 November 2026, 21:00 UTC.
Chicago Fire face Columbus Crew in the Major League Soccer, kicking off Saturday 07 November 2026, 21:00 UTC. Recent form: Chicago Fire have 2 wins from their last 5, while Columbus Crew have 5 wins from their last 5. In their last 4 meetings, Columbus Crew won 4. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Columbus Crew win the most likely result at 49%, projecting a 1.6-1.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Chicago Fire vs Columbus Crew with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| 1 | 5.0% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 2.6% |
| 2 | 3.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 2.0% |
| 3 | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Chicago Fire vs Columbus Crew comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is Columbus Crew or Draw at odds 1.80, with a 74% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Columbus Crew win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 49%. Goals lean over 2.5 (67%), both teams to score points yes (67%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 4 meetings between Chicago Fire and Columbus Crew. Wins shown from Chicago Fire’s perspective: Columbus Crew 4.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-05-19 | Chicago Fire | 1 – 3 | Columbus Crew | L |
| 2024-03-10 | Columbus Crew | 2 – 1 | Chicago Fire | L |
| 2023-09-20 | Columbus Crew | 3 – 0 | Chicago Fire | L |
| 2023-06-11 | Chicago Fire | 1 – 2 | Columbus Crew | L |
📈 Recent form
Chicago Fire come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 10. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 4-2 at Colorado Rapids. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at New England Revolution.
- WColorado Rapids 2-4 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
- DChicago Fire 2-2 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
- WAtlanta United FC 2-3 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
- LNew England Revolution 1-0 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
- LChicago Fire 1-3 Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer
Columbus Crew come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 2. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to DC United.
- WColumbus Crew 3-0 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
- WFC Dallas 0-2 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
- WColumbus Crew 4-2 Toronto FCMajor League Soccer
- DColumbus Crew 0-0 St. Louis CityUS Open Cup
- WFC Cincinnati 0-2 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
🧩 Likely line-ups & team news
Columbus Crew
Unavailable: No reported absences
Coach: L. Courtois
Chicago Fire
Unavailable: No reported absences
Coach: G. Berhalter
Expected line-ups are based on each team's last starting XI and the reported absences. Official line-ups are released about an hour before kick-off.
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Chicago Fire at 27% to win and Columbus Crew at 49%, with the draw at 24%. Our model makes a Columbus Crew win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Columbus Crew Win | 49% | 29% | @ 3.25 |
| Chicago Fire Win | 27% | 47% | @ 2.00 |
| Draw | 24% | 24% | @ 4.00 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Columbus Crew or Draw at 1.80 (74% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Columbus Crew or Draw | 74% | 53% | @ 1.80 |
| Chicago Fire or Draw | 52% | 71% | @ 1.33 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.9 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 67% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 84% | @ 1.12 |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 65% | @ 1.44 |
| Under 3.5 | 55% | 56% | @ 1.67 |
| Over 3.5 | 45% | 44% | @ 2.10 |
| Under 2.5 | 33% | 35% | @ 2.70 |
| Under 1.5 | 14% | 16% | @ 6.00 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 67%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 67% | 65% | @ 1.44 |
| BTTS No | 33% | 35% | @ 2.62 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Chicago Fire vs Columbus Crew?
Our model's pick is Columbus Crew or Draw at odds 1.80, with a 74% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 53%.
Who is the favourite for Chicago Fire vs Columbus Crew?
Our model makes a Columbus Crew win the most likely result at 49%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.9 scoreline for Chicago Fire vs Columbus Crew.
What is the predicted score for Chicago Fire vs Columbus Crew?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.57 for Chicago Fire and 1.88 for Columbus Crew. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Chicago Fire and Columbus Crew play?
Kick-off is Saturday 07 November 2026, 21:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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RodezAnalytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.