Sat 31 Oct19:00Upcoming

⚽ Brazilian Série A

Coritiba vs Vitória Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Coritiba vs Vitória in the Brazilian Série A. Kick-off Saturday 31 October 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Coritiba face Vitória in the Brazilian Série A, kicking off Saturday 31 October 2026, 19:00 UTC. Recent form: Coritiba have no wins from their last 5, while Vitória have 1 win from their last 5. The bookmaker market makes a Coritiba win the most likely result at 43%, implying a 1.4-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find our best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Coritiba vs Vitória with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Market pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.30

73%Bookmaker odds imply 73%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.40 – 1.21 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.4%	8.9%	5.4%	2.2%	0.7%
1	10.3%	12.5%	7.5%	3.0%	0.9%
2	7.2%	8.7%	5.3%	2.1%	0.6%
3	3.4%	4.1%	2.4%	1.0%	0.3%
4	1.2%	1.4%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Coritiba winDrawVitória win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Coritiba vs Vitória comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.30, with a 73% probability implied by the bookmaker odds. On the match result, the model rates a Vitória win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 37%. Goals lean over 2.5 (56%), both teams to score points yes (60%).

📊 Key numbers

Coritiba 36%Draw 27%Vitória 37%

36%27%37%

37%

Vitória Win

56%

Over 2.5 goals

60%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Coritiba

Coritiba come into this game with no wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 1 and conceding 12. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Grêmio.

LCoritiba 0-1 GrêmioBrazilian Série A
LAtlético Mineiro 1-0 CoritibaBrazilian Série A
DCoritiba 1-1 BotafogoBrazilian Série A
LFluminense 4-0 CoritibaBrazilian Série A
LVasco da Gama 5-0 CoritibaBrazilian Série A

Vitória

Vitória come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Chapecoense. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at São Paulo.

DVitória 1-1 Athletico ParanaenseBrazilian Série A
DCorinthians 1-1 VitóriaBrazilian Série A
LSão Paulo 2-1 VitóriaBrazilian Série A
WVitória 4-0 ChapecoenseBrazilian Série A
LVitória 1-3 CruzeiroBrazilian Série A

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 12 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Coritiba

Lucas RonierKnee Injury
Lucas TavernaNot in squad

Vitória

BaralhasBroken Leg
CamutangaBroken Leg
DuduBack Injury
EduAchilles Tendon Injury
FabianoKnee Injury
Luan CandidoSuspended (cards)
MarinhoSuspended (red card)
Nathan MendesKnee Injury

🧩 Line-ups

Vitoria 4-1-4-1

1Arcanjo

26Edenilson

25Cacá

2Brítez

59Soares

95Gonçalves

33Erick

88Vitor

6Martínez

12Tarzia

91Sousa

32Rocha

77Lopes

10Josué

5Fonseca

19Gómez

21Santos

26Melo

55Maranhão

23Cóser

2Tinga

1Morisco

Coritiba 4-2-3-1

Vitoria

Official starting XI (4-1-4-1)

Substitutes71Sena69Oliveira3Darlan16Ismael77Laquintana44Baralhas20Silva8Pochettino10Matheuzinho23Santos9Bruno79Kayzer

Coritiba

Official starting XI (4-2-3-1)

Substitutes22Rangel3Maicon66Gelado14Bustos4Moledo7Lavega50Tissi36Paulista17Ocampo25Richard18Roberto99Rodrigues

Official line-ups as announced by the clubs before kick-off.

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Coritiba at 36% to win and Vitória at 37%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes a Vitória win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Vitória Win	37%	29%	@ 3.30
Coritiba Win	36%	43%	@ 2.20
Draw	27%	29%	@ 3.30

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Vitória or Draw at 1.53 (64% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Vitória or Draw	64%	57%	@ 1.53
Coritiba or Draw	62%	71%	@ 1.36

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 56% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	79%	73%	@ 1.30
Under 3.5	66%	72%	@ 1.33
Over 2.5	56%	47%	@ 2.00
Under 2.5	44%	53%	@ 1.80
Over 3.5	34%	28%	@ 3.40
Under 1.5	21%	27%	@ 3.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 60%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	60%	53%	@ 1.75
BTTS No	40%	47%	@ 2.00

📈 How the market moved

Coritiba 43%Draw 28%Vitória 29%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Coritiba vs Vitória?

Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.30, with a 73% probability implied by the bookmaker odds.

Who is the favourite for Coritiba vs Vitória?

Our model makes a Vitória win the most likely result at 37%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.2 scoreline for Coritiba vs Vitória.

What is the predicted score for Coritiba vs Vitória?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.40 for Coritiba and 1.21 for Vitória. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Coritiba and Vitória play?

Kick-off is Saturday 31 October 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.