⚽ UEFA Europa League
Crystal Palace vs Hoffenheim Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Crystal Palace vs Hoffenheim in the UEFA Europa League. Kick-off Thursday 05 November 2026, 17:45 UTC.
Result: Crystal Palace 1-1 Hoffenheim
Crystal Palace vs Hoffenheim finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
The model's best bet on this page, Crystal Palace or Draw at 1.25, landed.
Crystal Palace face Hoffenheim in the upcoming UEFA Europa League tips, kicking off Thursday 05 November 2026, 17:45 UTC. Recent form: Crystal Palace have 1 win from their last 3, while Hoffenheim have 1 win from their last 3. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Crystal Palace win the most likely result at 46%, projecting a 2.0-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Crystal Palace vs Hoffenheim with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.5% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 9.2% | 9.7% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| 2 | 9.4% | 9.9% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| 3 | 6.4% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 3.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Crystal Palace vs Hoffenheim comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is Crystal Palace or Draw at odds 1.25, with a 72% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Crystal Palace win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 46%. Goals lean over 2.5 (60%), both teams to score points yes (57%).
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
Crystal Palace come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Fulham. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Tottenham.
- DCrystal Palace 1-1 HoffenheimUEFA Europa League
- LTottenham 2-0 Crystal PalacePremier League
- WFulham 0-1 Crystal PalaceLeague Cup
- LCrystal Palace 0-2 NewcastlePremier League
- DBeşiktaş 2-2 Crystal PalaceUEFA Europa League
Hoffenheim come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Bayer Leverkusen. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at Werder Bremen.
- DCrystal Palace 1-1 HoffenheimUEFA Europa League
- LWerder Bremen 2-0 HoffenheimBundesliga
- DHolstein Kiel 1-1 HoffenheimDFB Pokal
- WHoffenheim 3-0 Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga
- WHoffenheim 3-0 LyonUEFA Europa League
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 17 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- C. DoucoureOff the roster
- Z. GozoOff the roster
- E. GuessandOff the roster
- J. LermaOff the roster
- C. RiadKnee Injury
- T. TomiyasuCalf Injury
- J. LarsenAnkle Injury
- I. SarrGroin Injury
- B. ConteGroin Injury
- N. De CatKnee Injury
- L. EngelnsOff the roster
- V. GendreyAnkle Injury
- A. HajdariFoot Injury
- R. HranacKnee Injury
- P. WimmerThigh Injury
- V. CoufalMuscle Injury
🧩 Line-ups
1899 Hoffenheim
Coach: C. Ilzer
Crystal Palace
Coach: P. Sage
Official line-ups as announced by the clubs before kick-off.
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Crystal Palace at 46% to win and Hoffenheim at 28%, with the draw at 25%. Our model makes a Crystal Palace win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace Win | 46% | 51% | @ 1.85 |
| Hoffenheim Win | 28% | 25% | @ 3.75 |
| Draw | 25% | 24% | @ 4.00 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Crystal Palace or Draw at 1.25 (72% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace or Draw | 72% | 75% | @ 1.25 |
| Hoffenheim or Draw | 54% | 49% | @ 1.91 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.0-1.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 60% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 82% | 81% | @ 1.17 |
| Under 3.5 | 62% | 59% | @ 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 62% | @ 1.53 |
| Under 2.5 | 40% | 38% | @ 2.50 |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 41% | @ 2.30 |
| Under 1.5 | 18% | 19% | @ 5.00 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 57%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 62% | @ 1.50 |
| BTTS No | 43% | 38% | @ 2.50 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Crystal Palace or Hoffenheim is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace +1.25 | 85% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Hoffenheim +2 | 84% | 82% | 1.16 |
| Hoffenheim +1.75 | 80% | 75% | @ 1.26 |
| Crystal Palace +1 | 80% | 86% | 1.11 |
| Hoffenheim +1.5 | 77% | 70% | @ 1.36 |
| Crystal Palace +0.75 | 76% | 79% | 1.19 |
| Crystal Palace +0.5 | 72% | 74% | 1.28 |
| Hoffenheim +1.25 | 71% | 66% | @ 1.44 |
| Hoffenheim +1 | 65% | 62% | @ 1.54 |
| Crystal Palace +0.25 | 65% | 71% | 1.34 |
| Hoffenheim +0.75 | 60% | 55% | @ 1.75 |
| Crystal Palace 0 | 59% | 66% | 1.44 |
| Hoffenheim +0.5 | 54% | 49% | @ 1.99 |
| Crystal Palace -0.25 | 53% | 58% | 1.65 |
| Hoffenheim +0.25 | 47% | 42% | @ 2.27 |
| Crystal Palace -0.5 | 46% | 51% | 1.90 |
| Hoffenheim 0 | 41% | 34% | @ 2.83 |
| Crystal Palace -0.75 | 40% | 45% | 2.11 |
| Crystal Palace -1 | 35% | 38% | 2.48 |
| Hoffenheim -0.25 | 35% | 29% | @ 3.31 |
| Crystal Palace -1.25 | 29% | 34% | 2.81 |
| Hoffenheim -0.5 | 28% | 26% | @ 3.65 |
| Hoffenheim -0.75 | 24% | 21% | @ 4.50 |
| Crystal Palace -1.5 | 23% | 30% | 3.14 |
| Crystal Palace -1.75 | 20% | 25% | 3.70 |
| Hoffenheim -1 | 20% | 14% | @ 6.60 |
| Crystal Palace -2 | 16% | 18% | 5.25 |
| Hoffenheim -1.25 | 15% | 14% | @ 7.00 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Crystal Palace vs Hoffenheim?
Our model's pick is Crystal Palace or Draw at odds 1.25, with a 72% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.
Who is the favourite for Crystal Palace vs Hoffenheim?
Our model makes a Crystal Palace win the most likely result at 46%. It projects an expected 2.0-1.1 scoreline for Crystal Palace vs Hoffenheim.
What is the predicted score for Crystal Palace vs Hoffenheim?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.04 for Crystal Palace and 1.06 for Hoffenheim. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Crystal Palace and Hoffenheim play?
Kick-off is Thursday 05 November 2026, 17:45 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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