⚽ Major League Soccer
DC United vs New York City FC Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for DC United vs New York City FC in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Saturday 07 November 2026, 21:00 UTC.
DC United face New York City FC in the Major League Soccer, kicking off Saturday 07 November 2026, 21:00 UTC. Recent form: DC United have no wins from their last 5, while New York City FC have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, DC United won 2, New York City FC won 2, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a DC United win the most likely result at 36%, projecting a 1.3-1.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for DC United vs New York City FC with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.8% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| 1 | 7.6% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 4.6% | 1.8% |
| 2 | 5.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| 3 | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for DC United vs New York City FC comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.50, with a 68% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a DC United win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 36%. Goals lean over 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points yes (57%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between DC United and New York City FC. Wins shown from DC United’s perspective: DC United 2 · 1 drawn · New York City FC 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | New York City FC | 0 – 2 | DC United | W |
| 2024-09-14 | DC United | 1 – 1 | New York City FC | D |
| 2024-04-20 | New York City FC | 2 – 0 | DC United | L |
| 2023-10-07 | DC United | 2 – 0 | New York City FC | W |
| 2023-03-18 | New York City FC | 3 – 2 | DC United | L |
📈 Recent form
DC United come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 12. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to New York Red Bulls. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at Columbus Crew.
- LColumbus Crew 3-0 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
- LToronto FC 2-1 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
- LDC United 0-2 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
- LOrlando City SC 4-1 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
- WDC United 2-1 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
New York City FC come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Atlanta United FC. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at Inter Miami.
- DNew York City FC 1-1 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
- WNew York City FC 2-1 Atlanta United FCMajor League Soccer
- DOrlando City SC 2-2 New York City FCMajor League Soccer
- DNew York City FC 1-1 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
- LInter Miami 2-0 New York City FCMajor League Soccer
🧩 Likely line-ups & team news
New York City FC
Unavailable: No reported absences
Coach: P. Jansen
DC United
Unavailable: No reported absences
Coach: R. Weiler
Expected line-ups are based on each team's last starting XI and the reported absences. Official line-ups are released about an hour before kick-off.
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices DC United at 36% to win and New York City FC at 36%, with the draw at 29%. Our model makes a DC United win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| DC United Win | 36% | 31% | @ 3.10 |
| New York City FC Win | 36% | 42% | @ 2.25 |
| Draw | 29% | 27% | @ 3.50 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is DC United or Draw at 1.62 (63% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| DC United or Draw | 63% | 58% | @ 1.62 |
| New York City FC or Draw | 63% | 69% | @ 1.36 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.3-1.5 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 54% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 79% | @ 1.18 |
| Under 3.5 | 68% | 62% | @ 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 | 54% | 58% | @ 1.62 |
| Under 2.5 | 46% | 42% | @ 2.25 |
| Over 3.5 | 32% | 38% | @ 2.50 |
| Under 1.5 | 22% | 21% | @ 4.50 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 57%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 61% | @ 1.53 |
| BTTS No | 43% | 39% | @ 2.38 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for DC United vs New York City FC?
Our model's pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.50, with a 68% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 62%.
Who is the favourite for DC United vs New York City FC?
Our model makes a DC United win the most likely result at 36%. It projects an expected 1.3-1.5 scoreline for DC United vs New York City FC.
What is the predicted score for DC United vs New York City FC?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.31 for DC United and 1.54 for New York City FC. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do DC United and New York City FC play?
Kick-off is Saturday 07 November 2026, 21:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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RodezAnalytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.