β½ Premiership
Dundee Utd vs Motherwell Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Dundee Utd vs Motherwell in the Premiership. Kick-off Saturday 07 November 2026, 15:00 UTC.
Dundee Utd face Motherwell in the Premiership, kicking off Saturday 07 November 2026, 15:00 UTC. Recent form: Dundee Utd have 3 wins from their last 5, while Motherwell have 1 win from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Dundee Utd win the most likely result at 46%, projecting a 1.7-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Dundee Utd vs Motherwell with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
π₯ Best Bet
π― Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.2% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 8.6% | 11.2% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| 2 | 7.1% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| 3 | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| 4 | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
π§ Model summary
Our prediction for Dundee Utd vs Motherwell comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is Dundee Utd or Draw at odds 1.33, with a 71% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Dundee Utd win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 46%. Goals lean over 2.5 (57%), both teams to score points yes (59%).
π Key numbers
π Recent form
Dundee Utd come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at St Mirren. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.
- DCeltic 2-2 Dundee UtdPremiership
- WDundee Utd 3-2 AberdeenPremiership
- DSt Johnstone 1-1 Dundee UtdPremiership
- WDundee Utd 1-0 HibernianPremiership
- WSt Mirren 0-3 Dundee UtdPremiership
Motherwell come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to St Mirren. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at home to Heart Of Midlothian.
- WMotherwell 1-0 St MirrenPremiership
- DSt Johnstone 2-2 MotherwellPremiership
- LMotherwell 0-2 Heart Of MidlothianPremiership
- LKilmarnock 3-2 MotherwellPremiership
- LMotherwell 0-2 CelticPremiership
β½ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Dundee Utd at 46% to win and Motherwell at 30%, with the draw at 23%. Our model makes a Dundee Utd win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dundee Utd Win | 46% | 47% | @ 1.95 |
| Motherwell Win | 30% | 28% | @ 3.25 |
| Draw | 23% | 25% | @ 3.70 |
π Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Dundee Utd or Draw at 1.33 (71% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dundee Utd or Draw | 71% | 72% | @ 1.33 |
| Motherwell or Draw | 55% | 53% | @ 1.80 |
π Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 57% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 81% | @ 1.17 |
| Under 3.5 | 66% | 60% | @ 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 | 57% | 60% | @ 1.57 |
| Under 2.5 | 43% | 40% | @ 2.38 |
| Over 3.5 | 34% | 40% | @ 2.38 |
| Under 1.5 | 20% | 19% | @ 5.00 |
π₯ Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 59%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 61% | @ 1.53 |
| BTTS No | 41% | 39% | @ 2.38 |
π How the market moved
β Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Dundee Utd vs Motherwell?
Our model's pick is Dundee Utd or Draw at odds 1.33, with a 71% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 72%.
Who is the favourite for Dundee Utd vs Motherwell?
Our model makes a Dundee Utd win the most likely result at 46%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.3 scoreline for Dundee Utd vs Motherwell.
What is the predicted score for Dundee Utd vs Motherwell?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.66 for Dundee Utd and 1.30 for Motherwell. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Dundee Utd and Motherwell play?
Kick-off is Saturday 07 November 2026, 15:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.


