⚽ Eredivisie
Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles in the Eredivisie. Kick-off Saturday 07 November 2026, 20:00 UTC.
Excelsior face Go Ahead Eagles in the Eredivisie, kicking off Saturday 07 November 2026, 20:00 UTC. Recent form: Excelsior have no wins from their last 5, while Go Ahead Eagles have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 4 meetings, Go Ahead Eagles won 3, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Excelsior win the most likely result at 37%, projecting a 1.7-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| 1 | 6.1% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 1.8% |
| 2 | 5.2% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| 3 | 2.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| 4 | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is both teams to score at odds 1.44, with a 66% model probability. On the match result, the model rates an Excelsior win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 37%. Goals lean over 2.5 (65%), both teams to score points yes (66%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 4 meetings between Excelsior and Go Ahead Eagles. Wins shown from Excelsior’s perspective: 1 drawn · Go Ahead Eagles 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-01 | Excelsior | 0 – 1 | Go Ahead Eagles | L |
| 2025-10-26 | Go Ahead Eagles | 2 – 0 | Excelsior | L |
| 2024-03-30 | Go Ahead Eagles | 3 – 0 | Excelsior | L |
| 2023-12-16 | Excelsior | 1 – 1 | Go Ahead Eagles | D |
📈 Recent form
Excelsior come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 19. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at MVV. Their most recent defeat was 0-9 at home to Twente.
- LExcelsior 0-9 TwenteEredivisie
- WMVV 0-3 ExcelsiorKNVB Beker
- LFortuna Sittard 1-0 ExcelsiorEredivisie
- LHeerenveen 4-0 ExcelsiorEredivisie
- LExcelsior 1-5 GroningenEredivisie
Go Ahead Eagles come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 13. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at Koninklijke HFC. Their most recent defeat was 0-4 at Cambuur.
- LCambuur 4-0 Go Ahead EaglesEredivisie
- WKoninklijke HFC 0-5 Go Ahead EaglesKNVB Beker
- WGo Ahead Eagles 3-2 TelstarEredivisie
- LPEC Zwolle 4-1 Go Ahead EaglesEredivisie
- DGo Ahead Eagles 3-3 Sparta RotterdamEredivisie
🧩 Likely line-ups & team news
GO Ahead Eagles
Unavailable: No reported absences
Coach: J. Oosting
Excelsior
Unavailable: No reported absences
Coach: R. den Uil
Expected line-ups are based on each team's last starting XI and the reported absences. Official line-ups are released about an hour before kick-off.
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Excelsior at 37% to win and Go Ahead Eagles at 37%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes an Excelsior win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Excelsior Win | 37% | 34% | @ 2.80 |
| Go Ahead Eagles Win | 37% | 40% | @ 2.35 |
| Draw | 26% | 26% | @ 3.60 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Excelsior or Draw at 1.57 (63% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Excelsior or Draw | 63% | 60% | @ 1.57 |
| Go Ahead Eagles or Draw | 63% | 66% | @ 1.40 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-1.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 65% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 84% | 83% | @ 1.14 |
| Over 2.5 | 65% | 62% | @ 1.50 |
| Under 3.5 | 57% | 58% | @ 1.62 |
| Over 3.5 | 43% | 42% | @ 2.20 |
| Under 2.5 | 35% | 38% | @ 2.50 |
| Under 1.5 | 16% | 17% | @ 5.50 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 66%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 66% | 65% | @ 1.44 |
| BTTS No | 34% | 35% | @ 2.62 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles?
Our model's pick is both teams to score at odds 1.44, with a 66% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 65%.
Who is the favourite for Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles?
Our model makes an Excelsior win the most likely result at 37%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.6 scoreline for Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles.
What is the predicted score for Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.70 for Excelsior and 1.63 for Go Ahead Eagles. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Excelsior and Go Ahead Eagles play?
Kick-off is Saturday 07 November 2026, 20:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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RodezAnalytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.