⚽ Major League Soccer
FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Saturday 31 October 2026, 18:00 UTC.
Result: FC Cincinnati 1-0 Philadelphia Union
FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union finished 1-0. FC Cincinnati won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
The model's best bet on this page, over 2.5 goals at 1.40, did not land.
FC Cincinnati face Philadelphia Union in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Saturday 31 October 2026, 18:00 UTC. Recent form: FC Cincinnati have 3 wins from their last 5, while Philadelphia Union have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, FC Cincinnati won 4, Philadelphia Union won 1. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a FC Cincinnati win the most likely result at 45%, projecting a 2.0-2.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% |
| 1 | 1.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.8% |
| 2 | 2.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.9% |
| 3 | 1.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.40, with a 84% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a FC Cincinnati win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 45%. Goals lean over 2.5 (84%), both teams to score points yes (78%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between FC Cincinnati and Philadelphia Union. Wins shown from FC Cincinnati’s perspective: FC Cincinnati 4 · Philadelphia Union 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-31 | FC Cincinnati | 1 – 0 | Philadelphia Union | W |
| 2026-09-09 | Philadelphia Union | 5 – 0 | FC Cincinnati | L |
| 2024-10-20 | Philadelphia Union | 1 – 2 | FC Cincinnati | W |
| 2024-06-19 | FC Cincinnati | 4 – 3 | Philadelphia Union | W |
| 2023-11-26 | FC Cincinnati | 1 – 0 | Philadelphia Union | W |
📈 Recent form
FC Cincinnati come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at DC United. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at home to Columbus Crew.
- WFC Cincinnati 1-0 Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer
- DInter Miami 2-2 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
- WDC United 0-2 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
- LFC Cincinnati 0-2 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
- LFC Cincinnati 2-3 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
Philadelphia Union come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at Chicago Fire. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at FC Cincinnati.
- LFC Cincinnati 1-0 Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer
- DNashville SC 0-0 Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer
- LPhiladelphia Union 1-2 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
- DPhiladelphia Union 2-2 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
- WChicago Fire 1-3 Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 7 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- T. MalaciaAnkle Injury
- J. MalatiniThigh Injury
- M. RobinsonLeg Injury
- A. BedoyaEye injury
- M. IloskiMuscle Injury
- D. Jean JacquesSuspended (cards)
- J. Sery LarsenConcussion
🧩 Line-ups
Philadelphia Union
Coach: Ryan Richter
FC Cincinnati
Coach: Pat Noonan
Official line-ups as announced by the clubs before kick-off.
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices FC Cincinnati at 45% to win and Philadelphia Union at 28%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes a FC Cincinnati win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Cincinnati Win | 45% | 40% | @ 2.40 |
| Philadelphia Union Win | 28% | 36% | @ 2.62 |
| Draw | 26% | 24% | @ 3.90 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is FC Cincinnati or Draw at 1.44 (71% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Cincinnati or Draw | 71% | 64% | @ 1.44 |
| Philadelphia Union or Draw | 54% | 60% | @ 1.53 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.0-2.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 84% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 95% | 86% | @ 1.10 |
| Over 2.5 | 84% | 67% | @ 1.40 |
| Over 3.5 | 68% | 49% | @ 1.91 |
| Under 3.5 | 32% | 51% | @ 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 | 16% | 33% | @ 2.88 |
| Under 1.5 | 5% | 14% | @ 7.00 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 78%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 78% | 69% | @ 1.36 |
| BTTS No | 22% | 31% | @ 3.00 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when FC Cincinnati or Philadelphia Union is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Cincinnati +2 | 93% | 86% | @ 1.10 |
| FC Cincinnati +1.75 | 91% | 85% | @ 1.12 |
| FC Cincinnati +1.5 | 89% | 80% | @ 1.18 |
| FC Cincinnati +1.25 | 84% | – | @ 1.24 |
| Philadelphia Union +1.75 | 81% | 83% | 1.15 |
| FC Cincinnati +1 | 80% | 77% | 1.24 |
| Philadelphia Union +1.5 | 77% | 78% | 1.21 |
| FC Cincinnati +0.75 | 76% | 70% | @ 1.35 |
| Philadelphia Union +1.25 | 72% | 75% | 1.25 |
| FC Cincinnati +0.5 | 71% | 64% | @ 1.49 |
| Philadelphia Union +1 | 66% | 73% | 1.29 |
| FC Cincinnati +0.25 | 65% | 59% | @ 1.61 |
| Philadelphia Union +0.75 | 60% | 66% | 1.44 |
| FC Cincinnati 0 | 58% | 53% | @ 1.80 |
| Philadelphia Union +0.5 | 54% | 60% | 1.60 |
| FC Cincinnati -0.25 | 52% | 46% | @ 2.08 |
| Philadelphia Union +0.25 | 48% | 54% | 1.75 |
| FC Cincinnati -0.5 | 46% | 40% | @ 2.35 |
| Philadelphia Union 0 | 42% | 47% | 2.04 |
| FC Cincinnati -0.75 | 40% | 34% | @ 2.77 |
| Philadelphia Union -0.25 | 35% | 41% | 2.34 |
| FC Cincinnati -1 | 34% | 27% | @ 3.56 |
| Philadelphia Union -0.5 | 29% | 36% | 2.65 |
| FC Cincinnati -1.25 | 28% | 25% | @ 3.80 |
| Philadelphia Union -0.75 | 24% | 30% | 3.15 |
| FC Cincinnati -1.5 | 23% | 22% | 4.25 |
| Philadelphia Union -1 | 20% | 23% | 4.09 |
| FC Cincinnati -1.75 | 19% | 17% | @ 5.50 |
| Philadelphia Union -1.5 | 11% | 20% | 4.65 |
| Philadelphia Union -1.75 | 9% | 15% | 6.25 |
| Philadelphia Union -2 | 7% | 14% | 7.00 |
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union?
Our model's pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.40, with a 84% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 67%.
Who is the favourite for FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union?
Our model makes a FC Cincinnati win the most likely result at 45%. It projects an expected 2.0-2.6 scoreline for FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union.
What is the predicted score for FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-2, based on expected goals of 2.04 for FC Cincinnati and 2.62 for Philadelphia Union. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do FC Cincinnati and Philadelphia Union play?
Kick-off is Saturday 31 October 2026, 18:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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