⚽ Serie A
Fiorentina vs Juventus Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Fiorentina vs Juventus in the Serie A. Kick-off Sunday 08 November 2026, 19:45 UTC.
Fiorentina face Juventus in the Serie A, kicking off Sunday 08 November 2026, 19:45 UTC. Recent form: Fiorentina have 1 win from their last 5, while Juventus have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Fiorentina won 2, Juventus won 1, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Juventus win the most likely result at 43%, projecting a 1.1-1.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Fiorentina vs Juventus with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.5% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| 1 | 8.4% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 4.4% | 1.6% |
| 2 | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| 3 | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Fiorentina vs Juventus comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.40, with a 74% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Juventus win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 43%. Goals lean under 2.5 (52%), both teams to score points yes (51%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Fiorentina and Juventus. Wins shown from Fiorentina’s perspective: Fiorentina 2 · 2 drawn · Juventus 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Juventus | 0 – 2 | Fiorentina | W |
| 2025-11-22 | Fiorentina | 1 – 1 | Juventus | D |
| 2025-03-16 | Fiorentina | 3 – 0 | Juventus | W |
| 2024-12-29 | Juventus | 2 – 2 | Fiorentina | D |
| 2024-04-07 | Juventus | 1 – 0 | Fiorentina | L |
📈 Recent form
Fiorentina come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 4-2 at Sassuolo. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Inter.
- WSassuolo 2-4 FiorentinaSerie A
- DFiorentina 2-2 AtalantaSerie A
- LInter 2-1 FiorentinaSerie A
- LFiorentina 1-3 ComoSerie A
- LGenoa 2-1 FiorentinaSerie A
Juventus come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Napoli. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Genoa.
- WJuventus 2-0 NapoliSerie A
- LGenoa 2-0 JuventusSerie A
- WLecce 0-2 JuventusSerie A
- DJuventus 2-2 RennesUEFA Europa League
- LJuventus 0-3 LazioSerie A
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 1 player listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- R. SottilBack Injury
No absentees reported.
🧩 Likely line-ups & team news
Juventus
Coach: L. Spalletti
Fiorentina
Coach: P. Vanoli
Expected line-ups are based on each team's last starting XI and the reported absences. Official line-ups are released about an hour before kick-off.
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Fiorentina at 29% to win and Juventus at 43%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Juventus win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Juventus Win | 43% | 46% | @ 2.05 |
| Fiorentina Win | 29% | 27% | @ 3.50 |
| Draw | 28% | 26% | @ 3.60 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Juventus or Draw at 1.30 (70% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Juventus or Draw | 70% | 73% | @ 1.30 |
| Fiorentina or Draw | 56% | 54% | @ 1.80 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.1-1.5 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 52% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 74% | 68% | @ 1.40 |
| Over 1.5 | 73% | 76% | @ 1.25 |
| Under 2.5 | 52% | 47% | @ 2.00 |
| Over 2.5 | 48% | 53% | @ 1.80 |
| Under 1.5 | 27% | 24% | @ 4.00 |
| Over 3.5 | 26% | 32% | @ 3.00 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 51%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 56% | @ 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 49% | 44% | @ 2.10 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Fiorentina vs Juventus?
Our model's pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.40, with a 74% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 68%.
Who is the favourite for Fiorentina vs Juventus?
Our model makes a Juventus win the most likely result at 43%. It projects an expected 1.1-1.5 scoreline for Fiorentina vs Juventus.
What is the predicted score for Fiorentina vs Juventus?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.12 for Fiorentina and 1.47 for Juventus. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Fiorentina and Juventus play?
Kick-off is Sunday 08 November 2026, 19:45 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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RodezAnalytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.