⚽ Eredivisie
Fortuna Sittard vs Telstar Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Fortuna Sittard vs Telstar in the Eredivisie. Kick-off Saturday 07 November 2026, 15:30 UTC.
Fortuna Sittard face Telstar in the Eredivisie, kicking off Saturday 07 November 2026, 15:30 UTC. Recent form: Fortuna Sittard have 2 wins from their last 5, while Telstar have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, Fortuna Sittard won 1, Telstar won 1. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Fortuna Sittard win the most likely result at 37%, projecting a 1.5-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Fortuna Sittard vs Telstar with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.1% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 8.9% | 11.9% | 8.0% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| 2 | 6.5% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| 3 | 3.2% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Fortuna Sittard vs Telstar comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.50, with a 69% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Fortuna Sittard win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 37%. Goals lean over 2.5 (53%), both teams to score points yes (57%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 2 meetings between Fortuna Sittard and Telstar. Wins shown from Fortuna Sittard’s perspective: Fortuna Sittard 1 · Telstar 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-08 | Fortuna Sittard | 1 – 4 | Telstar | L |
| 2025-09-14 | Telstar | 1 – 3 | Fortuna Sittard | W |
📈 Recent form
Fortuna Sittard come into this game with 1 win and 4 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Excelsior. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.
- DFeyenoord 1-1 Fortuna SittardEredivisie
- DSparta Rotterdam 2-2 Fortuna SittardKNVB Beker
- WFortuna Sittard 1-0 ExcelsiorEredivisie
- DNEC Nijmegen 2-2 Fortuna SittardEredivisie
- DFortuna Sittard 1-1 TwenteEredivisie
Telstar come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 13. Their biggest win in that run was 4-2 at home to Utrecht. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at home to Almere City FC.
- WTelstar 4-2 UtrechtEredivisie
- LTelstar 0-2 Almere City FCKNVB Beker
- LGo Ahead Eagles 3-2 TelstarEredivisie
- LTelstar 3-4 FeyenoordEredivisie
- DTelstar 2-2 ADO Den HaagEredivisie
🧩 Likely line-ups & team news
Telstar
Unavailable: No reported absences
Coach: H. Brugge
Fortuna Sittard
Unavailable: No reported absences
Coach: D. Buijs
Expected line-ups are based on each team's last starting XI and the reported absences. Official line-ups are released about an hour before kick-off.
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Fortuna Sittard at 37% to win and Telstar at 31%, with the draw at 32%. Our model makes a Fortuna Sittard win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Sittard Win | 37% | 46% | @ 2.05 |
| Draw | 32% | 26% | @ 3.60 |
| Telstar Win | 31% | 27% | @ 3.50 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Fortuna Sittard or Draw at 1.28 (66% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Sittard or Draw | 66% | 73% | @ 1.28 |
| Telstar or Draw | 60% | 54% | @ 1.73 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 53% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 77% | 79% | @ 1.18 |
| Under 3.5 | 69% | 62% | @ 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 58% | @ 1.62 |
| Under 2.5 | 47% | 42% | @ 2.25 |
| Over 3.5 | 31% | 38% | @ 2.50 |
| Under 1.5 | 23% | 21% | @ 4.50 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 57%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 61% | @ 1.53 |
| BTTS No | 43% | 39% | @ 2.38 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Fortuna Sittard vs Telstar?
Our model's pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.50, with a 69% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 62%.
Who is the favourite for Fortuna Sittard vs Telstar?
Our model makes a Fortuna Sittard win the most likely result at 37%. It projects an expected 1.5-1.3 scoreline for Fortuna Sittard vs Telstar.
What is the predicted score for Fortuna Sittard vs Telstar?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.46 for Fortuna Sittard and 1.34 for Telstar. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Fortuna Sittard and Telstar play?
Kick-off is Saturday 07 November 2026, 15:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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