Thu 5 Nov0-1Finished

⚽ UEFA Europa Conference League

Getafe vs Brighton Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Getafe vs Brighton in the UEFA Europa Conference League. Kick-off Thursday 05 November 2026, 20:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Getafe 0-1 Brighton

Getafe vs Brighton finished 0-1. Brighton won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The best bet on this page, under 3.5 goals at 1.30, landed.

Getafe face Brighton in the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League tips, kicking off Thursday 05 November 2026, 20:00 UTC. Recent form: Getafe have 1 win from their last 4, while Brighton have 2 wins from their last 4. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Getafe win the most likely result at 43%, projecting a 1.7-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find our best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Getafe vs Brighton with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Market pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.30

72%Bookmaker odds imply 72%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.67 – 1.17 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.8%	6.8%	4.0%	1.6%	0.5%
1	9.8%	11.4%	6.7%	2.6%	0.8%
2	8.1%	9.5%	5.6%	2.2%	0.6%
3	4.5%	5.3%	3.1%	1.2%	0.4%
4	1.9%	2.2%	1.3%	0.5%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Getafe winDrawBrighton win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Getafe vs Brighton comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.30, with a 72% probability implied by the bookmaker odds. On the match result, the model rates a Getafe win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 43%. Goals lean over 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points yes (56%).

📊 Key numbers

Getafe 43%Draw 27%Brighton 31%

43%27%31%

43%

Getafe Win

54%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Getafe

Getafe come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 13. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Sevilla. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Brighton.

LGetafe 0-1 BrightonUEFA Europa Conference
WGetafe 3-1 SevillaLa Liga
WLebrijana 2-3 GetafeCopa del Rey
LAthletic Club 4-0 GetafeLa Liga
LGetafe 2-5 FC LuganoUEFA Europa Conference

Brighton

Brighton come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Getafe. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at Liverpool.

WGetafe 0-1 BrightonUEFA Europa Conference
WManchester City 0-1 BrightonPremier League
DManchester City 2-2 BrightonLeague Cup
LLiverpool 2-0 BrightonPremier League
DFK Jablonec 0-0 BrightonUEFA Europa Conference

🧩 Line-ups

Brighton 4-3-3

1Verbruggen

20Costinha

30Svoboda

5Dunk

3Hadjam

13Groß

21Boscagli

26Ayari

35Yalcouyé

10Rutter

8Hinshelwood

20Azón

11Terrats

10Satriano

21García

8Gudelj

23Mangala

22Mojica

2Djené

15Boselli

17Femenía

13Soria

Getafe 4-2-3-1

Brighton

Official starting XI (4-3-3)

Substitutes38McGill23Steele29Cuyper44Vušković33O'Riley25Gómez50Nti15Osman59Ibrahim19Kostoulas

Getafe

Official starting XI (4-2-3-1)

Substitutes35Ferrer1Letáček3Davinchi26Valou4Sazonov5Abqar28Risco6Martín16Serrano9Mayoral19Ünal

Official line-ups as announced by the clubs before kick-off.

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Getafe at 43% to win and Brighton at 31%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes a Getafe win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Getafe Win	43%	15%	@ 6.25
Brighton Win	31%	60%	@ 1.57
Draw	27%	25%	@ 3.80

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Getafe or Draw at 2.30 (69% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Getafe or Draw	69%	40%	@ 2.30
Brighton or Draw	57%	85%	@ 1.12

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 54% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	78%	73%	@ 1.28
Under 3.5	68%	71%	@ 1.33
Over 2.5	54%	49%	@ 1.95
Under 2.5	46%	51%	@ 1.85
Over 3.5	32%	29%	@ 3.25
Under 1.5	22%	27%	@ 3.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 56%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	56%	49%	@ 1.91
BTTS No	44%	51%	@ 1.80

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Getafe or Brighton is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Getafe +2	92%	–	@ 1.22
Getafe +1.75	89%	70%	@ 1.36
Getafe +1.5	87%	63%	@ 1.50
Getafe +1.25	83%	58%	@ 1.62
Getafe +1	78%	52%	@ 1.85
Getafe +0.75	74%	44%	@ 2.15
Getafe +0.5	69%	39%	@ 2.42
Brighton +0.75	63%	86%	1.10
Getafe +0.25	62%	31%	@ 3.04
Brighton +0.5	57%	84%	1.12
Getafe 0	56%	20%	@ 4.66
Brighton +0.25	51%	83%	1.15
Getafe -0.25	49%	17%	@ 5.50
Brighton 0	44%	80%	1.19
Getafe -0.5	43%	16%	@ 6.00
Brighton -0.25	38%	69%	1.38
Getafe -0.75	37%	14%	@ 7.00
Brighton -0.5	31%	61%	1.56
Brighton -0.75	26%	56%	1.70
Brighton -1	22%	48%	1.98
Brighton -1.25	17%	42%	2.29
Brighton -1.5	13%	37%	2.58
Brighton -1.75	11%	30%	3.13

📈 How the market moved

Getafe 15%Draw 24%Brighton 60%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Getafe vs Brighton?

Our pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.30, with a 72% probability implied by the bookmaker odds.

Who is the favourite for Getafe vs Brighton?

Our model makes a Getafe win the most likely result at 43%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.2 scoreline for Getafe vs Brighton.

What is the predicted score for Getafe vs Brighton?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.67 for Getafe and 1.17 for Brighton. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Getafe and Brighton play?

Kick-off is Thursday 05 November 2026, 20:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.