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⚽ Bundesliga

Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach in the Bundesliga. Kick-off Friday 06 November 2026, 19:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Hamburger SV face Borussia Mönchengladbach in the Bundesliga, kicking off Friday 06 November 2026, 19:30 UTC. Recent form: Hamburger SV have 3 wins from their last 5, while Borussia Mönchengladbach have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Hamburger SV win the most likely result at 39%, projecting a 1.7-1.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Hamburger SV or Draw @ 1.40

67%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.66 – 1.54 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.1%	6.3%	4.8%	2.5%	1.0%
1	6.8%	10.4%	8.0%	4.1%	1.6%
2	5.6%	8.6%	6.7%	3.4%	1.3%
3	3.1%	4.8%	3.7%	1.9%	0.7%
4	1.3%	2.0%	1.5%	0.8%	0.3%

Projected score: 1-1

Hamburger SV winDrawBorussia Mönchengladbach win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is Hamburger SV or Draw at odds 1.40, with a 67% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Hamburger SV win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 39%. Goals lean over 2.5 (62%), both teams to score points yes (64%).

📊 Key numbers

Hamburger SV 39%Draw 28%Borussia Mönchengladbach 32%

39%28%32%

39%

Hamburger SV Win

62%

Over 2.5 goals

64%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Hamburger SV and Borussia Mönchengladbach. Wins shown from Hamburger SV’s perspective: 2 drawn.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-01-17	Hamburger SV	0 – 0	Borussia Mönchengladbach	D
2025-08-24	Borussia Mönchengladbach	0 – 0	Hamburger SV	D

📈 Recent form

Hamburger SV

Hamburger SV come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to VfB Stuttgart. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at Eintracht Frankfurt.

LEintracht Frankfurt 3-1 Hamburger SVBundesliga
LHamburger SV 1-3 Eintracht FrankfurtDFB Pokal
LSC Paderborn 07 1-0 Hamburger SVBundesliga
WHamburger SV 1-0 VfB StuttgartBundesliga
WHoffenheim 2-3 Hamburger SVBundesliga

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Borussia Mönchengladbach come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Karlsruher SC. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Hoffenheim.

DBorussia Mönchengladbach 0-0 SC Paderborn 07Bundesliga
WBorussia Mönchengladbach 2-0 Karlsruher SCDFB Pokal
WVfB Stuttgart 2-3 Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga
LBorussia Mönchengladbach 1-2 HoffenheimBundesliga
L1. FC Köln 2-1 Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 15 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Hamburger SV

B. NadirMuscle Injury
N. RembergKnee Injury
F. VieiraThigh Injury
M. VuskovicDoping
N. CapaldoMuscle Injury
Y. PoulsenHip Injury

Borussia Mönchengladbach

H. BolinMuscle Injury
N. KuhnMuscle Injury
E. LeopoldKnee Injury
J. LeszczynskiKnee Injury
K. DiksPersonal Reasons
F. FleckMuscle Injury
F. HonoratMuscle Injury
T. KleindienstMuscle Injury

🧩 Likely line-ups & team news

Borussia Mönchengladbach 3-4-2-1

33Batz

14Hashioka

16Sander

2Chiarodia

29Scally

47Uno

10Neuhaus

26Ullrich

25Hack

36Mohya

18Machino

9Moffi

11Grønbæk

5Adeline

37Lemke

28Muheim

6Sambi Lokonga

3Møller Wolfe

17Omari

23Torunarigha

43Nandja

1Fernandes

Hamburger SV 3-4-2-1

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Last starting XI (3-4-2-1) vs SC Paderborn 07, 31/10

Coach: A. Blessin

Bench last match22Konoplya23Olschowsky7Stöger19Kühn34Nguefack3Lidberg17Castrop20Herold6Itakura

Hamburger SV

Last starting XI (3-4-2-1) vs Eintracht Frankfurt, 01/11

Coach: M. Polzin

Bench last match19Stange38Røssing-Lelesiit10Pherai18Jatta7El Ouahdi27Daka48Bissi Mouelle22Amoako12Tangvik

Expected line-ups are based on each team's last starting XI and the reported absences. Official line-ups are released about an hour before kick-off.

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Hamburger SV at 39% to win and Borussia Mönchengladbach at 32%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Hamburger SV win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Hamburger SV Win	39%	41%	@ 2.35
Borussia Mönchengladbach Win	32%	33%	@ 2.88
Draw	28%	26%	@ 3.60

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Hamburger SV or Draw at 1.40 (67% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Hamburger SV or Draw	67%	67%	@ 1.40
Borussia Mönchengladbach or Draw	60%	59%	@ 1.57

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-1.5 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 62% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	83%	79%	@ 1.20
Over 2.5	62%	57%	@ 1.67
Under 3.5	60%	64%	@ 1.50
Over 3.5	40%	36%	@ 2.62
Under 2.5	38%	43%	@ 2.20
Under 1.5	17%	21%	@ 4.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 64%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	64%	61%	@ 1.53
BTTS No	36%	39%	@ 2.38

📈 How the market moved

Hamburger SV 40%Draw 26%Borussia Mönchengladbach 34%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

🔬 What our models say about this match

🔍 What our models say about this match

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	45%
Dixon-Coles	Away	40%
GradientBoosting	Home	38%

Two of our three models agree on the match result; the third sees it differently.

Expected goals: 1.37 for the home side, 1.23 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?

Our model's pick is Hamburger SV or Draw at odds 1.40, with a 67% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 67%.

Who is the favourite for Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?

Our model makes a Hamburger SV win the most likely result at 39%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.5 scoreline for Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach.

What is the predicted score for Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.66 for Hamburger SV and 1.54 for Borussia Mönchengladbach. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Hamburger SV and Borussia Mönchengladbach play?

Kick-off is Friday 06 November 2026, 19:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.