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⚽ Premiership

Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk in the Premiership. Kick-off Sunday 08 November 2026, 15:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Heart Of Midlothian face Falkirk in the Premiership, kicking off Sunday 08 November 2026, 15:00 UTC. Recent form: Heart Of Midlothian have 2 wins from their last 5, while Falkirk have 4 wins from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, Heart Of Midlothian won 1, Falkirk won 1. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Heart Of Midlothian win the most likely result at 63%, projecting a 2.3-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 2.5 @ 1.53

67%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.28 – 1.15 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.2%	3.7%	2.1%	0.8%	0.2%
1	7.4%	8.5%	4.9%	1.9%	0.5%
2	8.4%	9.7%	5.6%	2.1%	0.6%
3	6.4%	7.4%	4.2%	1.6%	0.5%
4	3.6%	4.2%	2.4%	0.9%	0.3%

Projected score: 2-1

Heart Of Midlothian winDrawFalkirk win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.53, with a 67% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Heart Of Midlothian win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 63%. Goals lean over 2.5 (67%), both teams to score points yes (60%).

📊 Key numbers

Heart Of Midlothian 63%Draw 18%Falkirk 18%

63%18%18%

63%

Heart Of Midlothian Win

67%

Over 2.5 goals

60%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Heart Of Midlothian and Falkirk. Wins shown from Heart Of Midlothian’s perspective: Heart Of Midlothian 1 · Falkirk 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-09-15	Falkirk	2 – 1	Heart Of Midlothian	L
2026-05-13	Heart Of Midlothian	3 – 0	Falkirk	W

📈 Recent form

Heart Of Midlothian

Heart Of Midlothian come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 13. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Motherwell. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Hibernian.

LHeart Of Midlothian 1-2 HibernianLeague Cup
DHeart Of Midlothian 2-2 RangersPremiership
WMotherwell 0-2 Heart Of MidlothianPremiership
LTrabzonspor 2-0 Heart Of MidlothianUEFA Europa Conference
LCeltic 7-1 Heart Of MidlothianPremiership

Falkirk

Falkirk come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Kilmarnock. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at home to Dundee.

WFalkirk 2-0 CelticPremiership
WAberdeen 0-1 FalkirkPremiership
WFalkirk 3-0 KilmarnockPremiership
WHibernian 1-2 FalkirkPremiership
LFalkirk 1-2 DundeePremiership

🧩 Likely line-ups & team news

Heart Of Midlothian

Last starting XI (-) vs Hibernian, 01/11

B. Reus, J. Altena, M. Fagan-Walcott, J. McCart, S. Kingsley, L. Mendy, T. Magnusson, S. Kerjota, C. Miller, J. McPake, C. Braga

Coach: Wouter Vrancken

Bench last match30Fulton9Williams11Kabore17Findlay19Guendouz21Wilson27Benjaminsen31Dhanda33Pollock

Falkirk

Last starting XI (4-2-3-1) vs Aberdeen, 28/10

Coach: J. McGlynn

Bench last match17Tanser7Parkinson27McLeod10Sibbald9MacIver28Krauhaus1Hogarth99Fodrey14Yeats

Expected line-ups are based on each team's last starting XI and the reported absences. Official line-ups are released about an hour before kick-off.

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Heart Of Midlothian at 63% to win and Falkirk at 18%, with the draw at 18%. Our model makes a Heart Of Midlothian win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Heart Of Midlothian Win	63%	61%	@ 1.50
Falkirk Win	18%	19%	@ 4.75
Draw	18%	19%	@ 4.75

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Heart Of Midlothian or Draw at 1.18 (83% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Heart Of Midlothian or Draw	83%	81%	@ 1.18
Falkirk or Draw	39%	39%	@ 2.50

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.3-1.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 67% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	86%	81%	@ 1.17
Over 2.5	67%	62%	@ 1.53
Under 3.5	55%	59%	@ 1.62
Over 3.5	45%	41%	@ 2.30
Under 2.5	33%	38%	@ 2.50
Under 1.5	14%	19%	@ 5.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 60%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	60%	56%	@ 1.67
BTTS No	40%	44%	@ 2.10

📈 How the market moved

Heart Of Midlothian 61%Draw 19%Falkirk 19%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk?

Our model's pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.53, with a 67% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 62%.

Who is the favourite for Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk?

Our model makes a Heart Of Midlothian win the most likely result at 63%. It projects an expected 2.3-1.1 scoreline for Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk.

What is the predicted score for Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.28 for Heart Of Midlothian and 1.15 for Falkirk. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Heart Of Midlothian and Falkirk play?

Kick-off is Sunday 08 November 2026, 15:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.