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⚽ Eredivisie

Heerenveen vs Feyenoord Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Heerenveen vs Feyenoord in the Eredivisie. Kick-off Sunday 08 November 2026, 11:15 UTC.

Heerenveen face Feyenoord in the Eredivisie, kicking off Sunday 08 November 2026, 11:15 UTC. Recent form: Heerenveen have 4 wins from their last 5, while Feyenoord have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Heerenveen won 1, Feyenoord won 3, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Feyenoord win the most likely result at 48%, projecting a 1.3-2.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Heerenveen vs Feyenoord with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Over 2.5 @ 1.40
67%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.33 – 2.13 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 3.1% 6.7% 7.1% 5.1% 2.7%
1 4.2% 8.9% 9.5% 6.7% 3.6%
2 2.8% 5.9% 6.3% 4.5% 2.4%
3 1.2% 2.6% 2.8% 2.0% 1.1%
4 0.4% 0.9% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4%
Projected score: 1-2
Heerenveen winDrawFeyenoord win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Heerenveen vs Feyenoord comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.40, with a 67% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Feyenoord win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 48%. Goals lean over 2.5 (67%), both teams to score points yes (65%).

📊 Key numbers

Heerenveen 28%Draw 24%Feyenoord 48%
28%24%48%
48%
Feyenoord Win
67%
Over 2.5 goals
65%
BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Heerenveen and Feyenoord. Wins shown from Heerenveen’s perspective: Heerenveen 1 · 1 drawn · Feyenoord 3.

Date Home Score Away Result
2026-01-11 Heerenveen 2 – 2 Feyenoord D
2025-09-13 Feyenoord 1 – 0 Heerenveen L
2025-05-18 Heerenveen 2 – 0 Feyenoord W
2024-11-23 Feyenoord 3 – 0 Heerenveen L
2024-03-17 Heerenveen 2 – 3 Feyenoord L

📈 Recent form

Heerenveen

Heerenveen come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Excelsior. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at PSV Eindhoven.

  • WHeerenveen 1-0 NEC NijmegenEredivisie
  • WExcelsior Maassluis 0-2 HeerenveenKNVB Beker
  • WADO Den Haag 2-3 HeerenveenEredivisie
  • WHeerenveen 4-0 ExcelsiorEredivisie
  • LPSV Eindhoven 2-0 HeerenveenEredivisie
Feyenoord

Feyenoord come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 4-3 at Telstar. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at home to Inter.

  • LFeyenoord 0-3 InterUEFA Champions League
  • DFeyenoord 1-1 Fortuna SittardEredivisie
  • DPSV Eindhoven 1-1 FeyenoordEredivisie
  • LReal Betis 1-0 FeyenoordUEFA Champions League
  • WTelstar 3-4 FeyenoordEredivisie

🧩 Likely line-ups & team news

Feyenoord 4-3-3
1Ernst
26Read
24Kraaijeveld
35Marmol
16Lopez
8Zechiel
34Vanhoutte
28Targhalline
23Hadj Moussa
19Nacho
10Valente
9Vente
7Rivera
14Smans
20Trenskow
8Courtens
16Linday
19Zagaritis
3Willemsen
4Kersten
45Braude
1Klaverboer
Heerenveen 4-2-3-1

Feyenoord

Last starting XI (4-3-3) vs Inter, 03/11

Unavailable: No reported absences

Coach: Giovanni van Bronckhorst

Bench last match39Bossin33Kastenmeier20Deijl65Slory4Watanabe14Steijn22van den Elshout11Borges17Nelson49van Persie27Diarra57Schaken

Heerenveen

Last starting XI (4-2-3-1) vs NEC Nijmegen, 31/10

Unavailable: No reported absences

Coach: R. Veldeman

Bench last match28Petrov6Proper17Uldriķis44Noppert11Oyen23Bladi15Egbring21Farji2Hilgers29Machine10Meerveld30Schreuder

Expected line-ups are based on each team's last starting XI and the reported absences. Official line-ups are released about an hour before kick-off.

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Heerenveen at 28% to win and Feyenoord at 48%, with the draw at 24%. Our model makes a Feyenoord win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Feyenoord Win 48% 55% @ 1.73
Heerenveen Win 28% 23% @ 4.20
Draw 24% 22% @ 4.33

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Feyenoord or Draw at 1.22 (72% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Feyenoord or Draw 72% 77% @ 1.22
Heerenveen or Draw 53% 45% @ 2.05

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.3-2.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 67% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Over 1.5 86% 86% @ 1.10
Over 2.5 67% 67% @ 1.40
Under 3.5 54% 51% @ 1.80
Over 3.5 46% 49% @ 1.91
Under 2.5 33% 33% @ 2.88
Under 1.5 14% 14% @ 7.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 65%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 65% 66% @ 1.40
BTTS No 35% 34% @ 2.75

📈 How the market moved

18%39%60%11/0311/0411/0511/06

Heerenveen 23%Draw 22%Feyenoord 56%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Heerenveen vs Feyenoord?

Our model's pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.40, with a 67% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 67%.

Who is the favourite for Heerenveen vs Feyenoord?

Our model makes a Feyenoord win the most likely result at 48%. It projects an expected 1.3-2.1 scoreline for Heerenveen vs Feyenoord.

What is the predicted score for Heerenveen vs Feyenoord?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-2, based on expected goals of 1.33 for Heerenveen and 2.13 for Feyenoord. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Heerenveen and Feyenoord play?

Kick-off is Sunday 08 November 2026, 11:15 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.