⚽ Eredivisie
Heerenveen vs Feyenoord Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Heerenveen vs Feyenoord in the Eredivisie. Kick-off Sunday 08 November 2026, 11:15 UTC.
Heerenveen face Feyenoord in the Eredivisie, kicking off Sunday 08 November 2026, 11:15 UTC. Recent form: Heerenveen have 4 wins from their last 5, while Feyenoord have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Heerenveen won 1, Feyenoord won 3, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Feyenoord win the most likely result at 48%, projecting a 1.3-2.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Heerenveen vs Feyenoord with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 2.7% |
| 1 | 4.2% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 3.6% |
| 2 | 2.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| 3 | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Heerenveen vs Feyenoord comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.40, with a 67% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Feyenoord win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 48%. Goals lean over 2.5 (67%), both teams to score points yes (65%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Heerenveen and Feyenoord. Wins shown from Heerenveen’s perspective: Heerenveen 1 · 1 drawn · Feyenoord 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-11 | Heerenveen | 2 – 2 | Feyenoord | D |
| 2025-09-13 | Feyenoord | 1 – 0 | Heerenveen | L |
| 2025-05-18 | Heerenveen | 2 – 0 | Feyenoord | W |
| 2024-11-23 | Feyenoord | 3 – 0 | Heerenveen | L |
| 2024-03-17 | Heerenveen | 2 – 3 | Feyenoord | L |
📈 Recent form
Heerenveen come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Excelsior. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at PSV Eindhoven.
- WHeerenveen 1-0 NEC NijmegenEredivisie
- WExcelsior Maassluis 0-2 HeerenveenKNVB Beker
- WADO Den Haag 2-3 HeerenveenEredivisie
- WHeerenveen 4-0 ExcelsiorEredivisie
- LPSV Eindhoven 2-0 HeerenveenEredivisie
Feyenoord come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 4-3 at Telstar. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at home to Inter.
- LFeyenoord 0-3 InterUEFA Champions League
- DFeyenoord 1-1 Fortuna SittardEredivisie
- DPSV Eindhoven 1-1 FeyenoordEredivisie
- LReal Betis 1-0 FeyenoordUEFA Champions League
- WTelstar 3-4 FeyenoordEredivisie
🧩 Likely line-ups & team news
Feyenoord
Unavailable: No reported absences
Coach: Giovanni van Bronckhorst
Heerenveen
Unavailable: No reported absences
Coach: R. Veldeman
Expected line-ups are based on each team's last starting XI and the reported absences. Official line-ups are released about an hour before kick-off.
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Heerenveen at 28% to win and Feyenoord at 48%, with the draw at 24%. Our model makes a Feyenoord win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord Win | 48% | 55% | @ 1.73 |
| Heerenveen Win | 28% | 23% | @ 4.20 |
| Draw | 24% | 22% | @ 4.33 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Feyenoord or Draw at 1.22 (72% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord or Draw | 72% | 77% | @ 1.22 |
| Heerenveen or Draw | 53% | 45% | @ 2.05 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.3-2.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 67% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 86% | @ 1.10 |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 67% | @ 1.40 |
| Under 3.5 | 54% | 51% | @ 1.80 |
| Over 3.5 | 46% | 49% | @ 1.91 |
| Under 2.5 | 33% | 33% | @ 2.88 |
| Under 1.5 | 14% | 14% | @ 7.00 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 65%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 65% | 66% | @ 1.40 |
| BTTS No | 35% | 34% | @ 2.75 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Heerenveen vs Feyenoord?
Our model's pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.40, with a 67% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 67%.
Who is the favourite for Heerenveen vs Feyenoord?
Our model makes a Feyenoord win the most likely result at 48%. It projects an expected 1.3-2.1 scoreline for Heerenveen vs Feyenoord.
What is the predicted score for Heerenveen vs Feyenoord?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-2, based on expected goals of 1.33 for Heerenveen and 2.13 for Feyenoord. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Heerenveen and Feyenoord play?
Kick-off is Sunday 08 November 2026, 11:15 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.


