⚽ Major League Soccer
Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Sunday 08 November 2026, 00:00 UTC.
Houston Dynamo face St. Louis City in the Major League Soccer, kicking off Sunday 08 November 2026, 00:00 UTC. Recent form: Houston Dynamo have 1 win from their last 5, while St. Louis City have no wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, St. Louis City won 3, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Houston Dynamo win the most likely result at 50%, projecting a 1.5-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.1% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 9.2% | 11.8% | 7.6% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| 2 | 6.9% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| 3 | 3.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is Houston Dynamo or Draw at odds 1.50, with a 77% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Houston Dynamo win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 50%. Goals lean over 2.5 (53%), both teams to score points yes (55%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Houston Dynamo and St. Louis City. Wins shown from Houston Dynamo’s perspective: 2 drawn · St. Louis City 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | St. Louis City | 2 – 1 | Houston Dynamo | L |
| 2024-10-06 | St. Louis City | 3 – 0 | Houston Dynamo | L |
| 2024-05-05 | Houston Dynamo | 0 – 0 | St. Louis City | D |
| 2023-09-17 | Houston Dynamo | 1 – 1 | St. Louis City | D |
| 2023-06-04 | St. Louis City | 3 – 0 | Houston Dynamo | L |
📈 Recent form
Houston Dynamo come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Seattle Sounders. Their only defeat in that run was 1-3 at Portland Timbers.
- LPortland Timbers 3-1 Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer
- WSeattle Sounders 0-1 Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer
- DHouston Dynamo 0-0 Minnesota United FCMajor League Soccer
- DHouston Dynamo 2-2 FC DallasMajor League Soccer
- DSan Diego 3-3 Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer
St. Louis City come into this game with no wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 10. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to San Diego.
- LSt. Louis City 0-1 San DiegoMajor League Soccer
- LSt. Louis City 2-3 Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer
- LReal Salt Lake 3-0 St. Louis CityMajor League Soccer
- DColumbus Crew 0-0 St. Louis CityUS Open Cup
- LMinnesota United FC 3-2 St. Louis CityMajor League Soccer
🧩 Likely line-ups & team news
St. Louis City
Unavailable: No reported absences
Coach: Y. Damet
Houston Dynamo
Unavailable: No reported absences
Coach: Ben Olsen
Expected line-ups are based on each team's last starting XI and the reported absences. Official line-ups are released about an hour before kick-off.
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Houston Dynamo at 50% to win and St. Louis City at 21%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Houston Dynamo win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Dynamo Win | 50% | 37% | @ 2.50 |
| Draw | 28% | 26% | @ 3.60 |
| St. Louis City Win | 21% | 37% | @ 2.55 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Houston Dynamo or Draw at 1.50 (77% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Dynamo or Draw | 77% | 63% | @ 1.50 |
| St. Louis City or Draw | 48% | 63% | @ 1.50 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 53% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 77% | 78% | @ 1.20 |
| Under 3.5 | 69% | 65% | @ 1.44 |
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 57% | @ 1.65 |
| Under 2.5 | 47% | 43% | @ 2.20 |
| Over 3.5 | 31% | 35% | @ 2.62 |
| Under 1.5 | 23% | 22% | @ 4.33 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 55%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 61% | @ 1.53 |
| BTTS No | 45% | 39% | @ 2.38 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City?
Our model's pick is Houston Dynamo or Draw at odds 1.50, with a 77% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 63%.
Who is the favourite for Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City?
Our model makes a Houston Dynamo win the most likely result at 50%. It projects an expected 1.5-1.3 scoreline for Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City.
What is the predicted score for Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.51 for Houston Dynamo and 1.29 for St. Louis City. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Houston Dynamo and St. Louis City play?
Kick-off is Sunday 08 November 2026, 00:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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RodezAnalytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.