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⚽ Jupiler Pro League

KVC Westerlo vs Charleroi Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for KVC Westerlo vs Charleroi in the Jupiler Pro League. Kick-off Saturday 07 November 2026, 15:00 UTC.

KVC Westerlo face Charleroi in the Jupiler Pro League, kicking off Saturday 07 November 2026, 15:00 UTC. Recent form: KVC Westerlo have 3 wins from their last 5, while Charleroi have 4 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, KVC Westerlo won 2, Charleroi won 2, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Charleroi win the most likely result at 40%, projecting a 1.6-1.7 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for KVC Westerlo vs Charleroi with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
BTTS Yes @ 1.50
66%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.63 – 1.72 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 3.5% 6.0% 5.2% 3.0% 1.3%
1 5.7% 9.8% 8.5% 4.8% 2.1%
2 4.7% 8.0% 6.9% 4.0% 1.7%
3 2.5% 4.4% 3.7% 2.1% 0.9%
4 1.0% 1.8% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4%
Projected score: 1-1
KVC Westerlo winDrawCharleroi win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for KVC Westerlo vs Charleroi comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is both teams to score at odds 1.50, with a 66% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Charleroi win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 40%. Goals lean over 2.5 (65%), both teams to score points yes (66%).

📊 Key numbers

KVC Westerlo 36%Draw 23%Charleroi 40%
36%23%40%
40%
Charleroi Win
65%
Over 2.5 goals
66%
BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between KVC Westerlo and Charleroi. Wins shown from KVC Westerlo’s perspective: KVC Westerlo 2 · 1 drawn · Charleroi 2.

Date Home Score Away Result
2026-05-16 Charleroi 0 – 1 KVC Westerlo W
2026-04-05 KVC Westerlo 2 – 0 Charleroi W
2025-05-09 Charleroi 4 – 3 KVC Westerlo L
2025-04-11 KVC Westerlo 2 – 2 Charleroi D
2025-02-22 KVC Westerlo 1 – 3 Charleroi L

📈 Recent form

KVC Westerlo

KVC Westerlo come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 14 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 5-1 at home to Antwerp. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-4 at Anderlecht.

  • LAnderlecht 4-1 KVC WesterloJupiler Pro League
  • DKVC Westerlo 4-4 SK BeverenJupiler Pro League
  • WKVC Westerlo 2-0 Patro EisdenCup
  • WKVC Westerlo 5-1 AntwerpJupiler Pro League
  • WSt. Truiden 0-2 KVC WesterloJupiler Pro League
Charleroi

Charleroi come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 5-2 at home to RAAL La Louvière. Their only defeat in that run was 0-3 at Antwerp.

  • WCharleroi 5-2 RAAL La LouvièreJupiler Pro League
  • LAntwerp 3-0 CharleroiJupiler Pro League
  • DAlbert Quévy-Mons 0-0 CharleroiCup
  • WStandard Liège 0-1 CharleroiJupiler Pro League
  • WCharleroi 3-2 Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro League

🧩 Likely line-ups & team news

Charleroi 4-2-3-1
30Koné
3Kerkhof
4Ousou
95Keita
2Rowe
18Khalifi
6Boukamir
14Pflücke
8Romsaas
20Mbemba
21Scheidler
9Bassette
7Saito
13Sakamoto
20Congreve
14Sandra
45Fofana
88Ferraro
4Lapage
5Kimura
2Flo
99Jungdal
KVC Westerlo 4-2-3-1

Charleroi

Last starting XI (4-2-3-1) vs RAAL La Louvière, 01/11

Unavailable: No reported absences

Coach: Mario Kohnen

Bench last match25Colassin13Nawata19Cissé51Kera23Dembaga1Delavallée33Solheid65Teugels83Mulumba

KVC Westerlo

Last starting XI (4-2-3-1) vs Anderlecht, 31/10

Unavailable: No reported absences

Coach: Issame Charai

Bench last match1Lathouwers23Mbamba-Muanda40Balogh6Munz39Van den Keybus26Diong10Storm22Tsimba47Min-Hyuk

Expected line-ups are based on each team's last starting XI and the reported absences. Official line-ups are released about an hour before kick-off.

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices KVC Westerlo at 36% to win and Charleroi at 40%, with the draw at 23%. Our model makes a Charleroi win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Charleroi Win 40% 42% @ 2.20
KVC Westerlo Win 36% 33% @ 2.80
Draw 23% 25% @ 3.60

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Charleroi or Draw at 1.40 (65% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Charleroi or Draw 65% 67% @ 1.40
KVC Westerlo or Draw 61% 58% @ 1.67

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.7 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 65% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Over 1.5 85% 81% @ 1.17
Over 2.5 65% 60% @ 1.57
Under 3.5 57% 61% @ 1.53
Over 3.5 43% 39% @ 2.38
Under 2.5 35% 40% @ 2.35
Under 1.5 15% 19% @ 5.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 66%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 66% 62% @ 1.50
BTTS No 34% 38% @ 2.50

📈 How the market moved

21%34%46%11/0311/0411/0511/06

KVC Westerlo 33%Draw 25%Charleroi 42%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for KVC Westerlo vs Charleroi?

Our model's pick is both teams to score at odds 1.50, with a 66% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 62%.

Who is the favourite for KVC Westerlo vs Charleroi?

Our model makes a Charleroi win the most likely result at 40%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.7 scoreline for KVC Westerlo vs Charleroi.

What is the predicted score for KVC Westerlo vs Charleroi?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.63 for KVC Westerlo and 1.72 for Charleroi. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do KVC Westerlo and Charleroi play?

Kick-off is Saturday 07 November 2026, 15:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.