Sun 8 Nov16:15Upcoming

⚽ Ligue 1

Le Havre vs Lorient Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Le Havre vs Lorient in the Ligue 1. Kick-off Sunday 08 November 2026, 16:15 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Le Havre face Lorient in the Ligue 1, kicking off Sunday 08 November 2026, 16:15 UTC. Recent form: Le Havre have no wins from their last 5, while Lorient have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 4 meetings, Le Havre won 2, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Lorient win the most likely result at 38%, projecting a 1.1-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find our best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Le Havre vs Lorient with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Market pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.30

73%Bookmaker odds imply 73%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.13 – 1.36 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.3%	11.3%	7.7%	3.5%	1.2%
1	9.4%	12.7%	8.7%	3.9%	1.3%
2	5.3%	7.2%	4.9%	2.2%	0.8%
3	2.0%	2.7%	1.8%	0.8%	0.3%
4	0.6%	0.8%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Le Havre winDrawLorient win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Le Havre vs Lorient comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.30, with a 73% probability implied by the bookmaker odds. On the match result, the model rates a Lorient win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 38%. Goals lean under 2.5 (55%), both teams to score points yes (50%).

📊 Key numbers

Le Havre 33%Draw 29%Lorient 38%

33%29%38%

38%

Lorient Win

55%

Under 2.5 goals

50%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 4 meetings between Le Havre and Lorient. Wins shown from Le Havre’s perspective: Le Havre 2 · 2 drawn.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-05-17	Lorient	0 – 2	Le Havre	W
2025-09-21	Le Havre	1 – 1	Lorient	D
2024-01-28	Lorient	3 – 3	Le Havre	D
2023-09-03	Le Havre	3 – 0	Lorient	W

📈 Recent form

Le Havre

Le Havre come into this game with 5 defeats from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 16. Their most recent defeat was 1-5 at home to Paris Saint-Germain.

LLe Havre 1-5 Paris Saint-GermainLigue 1
LMarseille 4-3 Le HavreLigue 1
LLe Havre 1-3 AuxerreLigue 1
LLille 1-0 Le HavreLigue 1
LToulouse 3-2 Le HavreLigue 1

Lorient

Lorient come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Monaco. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at home to Brest.

LLorient 0-2 BrestLigue 1
DAngers 0-0 LorientLigue 1
WLorient 1-0 MonacoLigue 1
WLorient 1-0 Paris FCLigue 1
LLe Mans 2-1 LorientLigue 1

🧩 Likely line-ups & team news

Le Havre

Last starting XI (-) vs Marseille, 25/10

G. Gallon, S. Ebonog, R. Fofana, J. Mwanga, R. Ndiaye, D. Ouziad, A. Richardson, M. Samatta, A. Seko, E. Koffi Vinette, A. Touba

Coach: D. Digard

Bench last match33Dongopandji9Maja17Mizuta78Mosengo97N'Diaye30Nakamura23Sasso24Zohouri16Bodart

Lorient

Last starting XI (3-4-2-1) vs Angers, 25/10

Coach: A. Dujeux

Bench last match55Obaretin11Le Bris30Kuzmić42Kone21Kamara2Georgen33Bernardeau15Tosin10Jensen

Expected line-ups are based on each team's last starting XI and the reported absences. Official line-ups are released about an hour before kick-off.

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Le Havre at 33% to win and Lorient at 38%, with the draw at 29%. Our model makes a Lorient win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Lorient Win	38%	37%	@ 2.55
Le Havre Win	33%	34%	@ 2.80
Draw	29%	29%	@ 3.30

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Lorient or Draw at 1.40 (66% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Lorient or Draw	66%	66%	@ 1.40
Le Havre or Draw	61%	63%	@ 1.50

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.1-1.4 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 55% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	76%	73%	@ 1.30
Over 1.5	71%	73%	@ 1.30
Under 2.5	55%	53%	@ 1.80
Over 2.5	45%	47%	@ 2.00
Under 1.5	29%	27%	@ 3.50
Over 3.5	24%	27%	@ 3.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 50%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	50%	53%	@ 1.75
BTTS No	50%	47%	@ 2.00

📈 How the market moved

Le Havre 34%Draw 29%Lorient 37%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Le Havre vs Lorient?

Our pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.30, with a 73% probability implied by the bookmaker odds.

Who is the favourite for Le Havre vs Lorient?

Our model makes a Lorient win the most likely result at 38%. It projects an expected 1.1-1.4 scoreline for Le Havre vs Lorient.

What is the predicted score for Le Havre vs Lorient?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.13 for Le Havre and 1.36 for Lorient. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Le Havre and Lorient play?

Kick-off is Sunday 08 November 2026, 16:15 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.