Sat 19 Sep2-1Finished

⚽ Ligue 1

Le Mans vs Lorient Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Le Mans vs Lorient in the Ligue 1. Kick-off Saturday 19 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Le Mans 2-1 Lorient

Le Mans vs Lorient finished 2-1. Le Mans won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, Le Mans or Draw at 1.53, landed.

Le Mans face Lorient in the upcoming Ligue 1 tips, kicking off Saturday 19 September 2026, 18:45 UTC. Recent form: Le Mans have 0 wins from their last 4, while Lorient have 1 win from their last 4. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Le Mans win the most likely result at 42%, projecting a 1.7-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Le Mans vs Lorient with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Le Mans +0.75 @ 1.37

75%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.71 – 1.10 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.0%	6.6%	3.6%	1.3%	0.4%
1	10.3%	11.3%	6.2%	2.3%	0.6%
2	8.8%	9.7%	5.3%	2.0%	0.5%
3	5.0%	5.5%	3.0%	1.1%	0.3%
4	2.1%	2.4%	1.3%	0.5%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Le Mans winDrawLorient win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Le Mans vs Lorient comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Le Mans with a +0.75 start at odds 1.37, the selection our model is most confident in at 75%. On the match result, the model rates a Le Mans win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 42%. Goals lean over 2.5 (53%), both teams to score points yes (55%).

📊 Key numbers

Le Mans 42%Draw 30%Lorient 28%

42%30%28%

42%

Le Mans Win

53%

Over 2.5 goals

55%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Le Mans

Le Mans come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 9. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Lorient. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-3 at Rennes.

WLe Mans 2-1 LorientLigue 1
DLe Mans 2-2 LensLigue 1
DNice 1-1 Le MansLigue 1
LRennes 3-2 Le MansLigue 1
DLe Mans 2-2 BrestLigue 1

Lorient

Lorient come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Lens. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Le Mans.

LLe Mans 2-1 LorientLigue 1
DLorient 2-2 ToulouseLigue 1
WLens 0-1 LorientLigue 1
LLorient 1-2 Estac TroyesLigue 1
DNice 0-0 LorientLigue 1

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 7 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Le Mans

L. BuadesKnock
E. ColasInjury
T. EyoumCoach's decision
E. QuarshieCoach's decision
M. RossignolCoach's decision

Lorient

B. FadigaInjury
N. MbambaMuscle Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Le Mans at 42% to win and Lorient at 28%, with the draw at 30%. Our model makes a Le Mans win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Le Mans Win	42%	35%	@ 2.70
Draw	30%	29%	@ 3.30
Lorient Win	28%	36%	@ 2.60

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Le Mans or Draw at 1.50 (70% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Le Mans or Draw	70%	64%	@ 1.50
Lorient or Draw	56%	65%	@ 1.44

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-1.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 53% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	77%	78%	@ 1.22
Under 3.5	69%	66%	@ 1.44
Over 2.5	53%	55%	@ 1.73
Under 2.5	47%	45%	@ 2.10
Over 3.5	31%	34%	@ 2.75
Under 1.5	23%	22%	@ 4.33

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 55%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	55%	59%	@ 1.57
BTTS No	45%	41%	@ 2.25

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Le Mans or Lorient is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Le Mans +1.75	90%	86%	1.11
Le Mans +1.5	88%	81%	@ 1.17
Le Mans +1.25	84%	79%	@ 1.21
Lorient +1.75	82%	86%	1.10
Le Mans +1	79%	77%	1.24
Lorient +1.5	78%	82%	1.16
Le Mans +0.75	75%	70%	@ 1.37
Lorient +1.25	73%	80%	1.18
Le Mans +0.5	70%	63%	@ 1.52
Lorient +1	67%	79%	1.21
Le Mans +0.25	64%	57%	@ 1.68
Lorient +0.75	61%	72%	1.33
Le Mans 0	57%	49%	@ 2.00
Lorient +0.5	56%	65%	1.47
Le Mans -0.25	51%	41%	@ 2.35
Lorient +0.25	49%	59%	1.61
Le Mans -0.5	44%	35%	@ 2.73
Lorient 0	43%	51%	1.89
Le Mans -0.75	39%	28%	@ 3.35
Lorient -0.25	36%	43%	2.22
Le Mans -1	33%	21%	@ 4.58
Lorient -0.5	30%	37%	2.55
Le Mans -1.25	27%	20%	@ 4.80
Lorient -0.75	25%	30%	3.12
Le Mans -1.5	22%	18%	@ 5.25
Lorient -1	21%	23%	4.21
Le Mans -1.75	18%	14%	@ 7.00
Lorient -1.25	16%	21%	4.50
Lorient -1.5	12%	19%	5.00
Lorient -1.75	10%	14%	6.60

📈 How the market moved

Le Mans 35%Draw 28%Lorient 37%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Le Mans vs Lorient?

Our model's main pick is Le Mans with a +0.75 start at odds 1.37, with a 75% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 70%.

Who is the favourite for Le Mans vs Lorient?

Our model makes a Le Mans win the most likely result at 42%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.1 scoreline for Le Mans vs Lorient.

What is the predicted score for Le Mans vs Lorient?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.71 for Le Mans and 1.10 for Lorient. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Le Mans and Lorient play?

Kick-off is Saturday 19 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.