Sun 8 Nov16:15Upcoming

⚽ Ligue 1

Le Mans vs Monaco Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Le Mans vs Monaco in the Ligue 1. Kick-off Sunday 08 November 2026, 16:15 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Le Mans face Monaco in the Ligue 1, kicking off Sunday 08 November 2026, 16:15 UTC. Recent form: Le Mans have 1 win from their last 5, while Monaco have 1 win from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Monaco win the most likely result at 47%, projecting a 1.6-2.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Le Mans vs Monaco with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 2.5 @ 1.62

74%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.56 – 2.33 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	2.0%	4.8%	5.5%	4.3%	2.5%
1	3.2%	7.4%	8.7%	6.7%	3.9%
2	2.5%	5.8%	6.8%	5.2%	3.1%
3	1.3%	3.0%	3.5%	2.7%	1.6%
4	0.5%	1.2%	1.4%	1.1%	0.6%

Projected score: 1-2

Le Mans winDrawMonaco win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Le Mans vs Monaco comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.62, with a 74% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Monaco win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 47%. Goals lean over 2.5 (74%), both teams to score points yes (72%).

📊 Key numbers

Le Mans 26%Draw 27%Monaco 47%

26%27%47%

47%

Monaco Win

74%

Over 2.5 goals

72%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Le Mans

Le Mans come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Lorient. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Estac Troyes.

LEstac Troyes 2-0 Le MansLigue 1
DAuxerre 1-1 Le MansLigue 1
LLe Mans 0-3 ToulouseLigue 1
LParis Saint-Germain 3-1 Le MansLigue 1
WLe Mans 2-1 LorientLigue 1

Monaco

Monaco come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to SC Freiburg. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at Paris FC.

LParis FC 3-1 MonacoLigue 1
DMonaco 1-1 LilleLigue 1
WMonaco 3-0 SC FreiburgUEFA Europa Conference
LLorient 1-0 MonacoLigue 1
WCSKA Sofia 1-2 MonacoUEFA Europa Conference

🧩 Likely line-ups & team news

Monaco 4-2-3-1

1Hrádecký

2Vanderson

72Sané

15Dier

20Nazinho

8Camara

6Zakaria

37Diop

10Golovin

11Abline

29Brunner

13Diallo

14Mafouta

22Calodat

8Lauray

29Bretelle

9Rabillard

18Buadés

16Torrente

17Yohou

19Sidibé

98Kocik

Le Mans 3-5-2

Monaco

Last starting XI (4-2-3-1) vs Paris FC, 01/11

Coach: Filipe Luís

Bench last match9Balogun19Cabral49Touré18Minamino28Coulibaly7Detourbet4Teze13Mawissa Elebi16Köhn

Le Mans

Last starting XI (3-5-2) vs Auxerre, 25/10

Coach: P. Videira

Bench last match26Bamba15Boissé7Brahimi25Guèye20Harhouz1Hatfout23Traoré10Vercruysse36Videira

Expected line-ups are based on each team's last starting XI and the reported absences. Official line-ups are released about an hour before kick-off.

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Le Mans at 26% to win and Monaco at 47%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes a Monaco win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Monaco Win	47%	55%	@ 1.73
Draw	27%	24%	@ 4.00
Le Mans Win	26%	21%	@ 4.50

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Monaco or Draw at 1.18 (73% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Monaco or Draw	73%	79%	@ 1.18
Le Mans or Draw	52%	45%	@ 2.05

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-2.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 74% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	90%	81%	@ 1.17
Over 2.5	74%	59%	@ 1.62
Over 3.5	54%	40%	@ 2.38
Under 3.5	46%	60%	@ 1.57
Under 2.5	26%	41%	@ 2.30
Under 1.5	10%	19%	@ 5.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 72%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	72%	59%	@ 1.57
BTTS No	28%	41%	@ 2.25

📈 How the market moved

Le Mans 21%Draw 24%Monaco 55%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Le Mans vs Monaco?

Our model's pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.62, with a 74% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 59%.

Who is the favourite for Le Mans vs Monaco?

Our model makes a Monaco win the most likely result at 47%. It projects an expected 1.6-2.3 scoreline for Le Mans vs Monaco.

What is the predicted score for Le Mans vs Monaco?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-2, based on expected goals of 1.56 for Le Mans and 2.33 for Monaco. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Le Mans and Monaco play?

Kick-off is Sunday 08 November 2026, 16:15 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.