Wed 4 Nov1-9Finished

⚽ UEFA Champions League

Lens vs Como Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Lens vs Como in the UEFA Champions League. Kick-off Wednesday 04 November 2026, 20:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Lens 1-9 Como

Lens vs Como finished 1-9. Como won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, Como or Draw at 1.40, landed.

Lens face Como in the upcoming UEFA Champions League tips, kicking off Wednesday 04 November 2026, 20:00 UTC. Recent form: Lens have 1 win from their last 3, while Como have 2 wins from their last 3. The bookmaker market makes a Como win the most likely result at 45%, implying a 1.4-1.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Lens vs Como with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Como or Draw @ 1.40

73%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.39 – 1.76 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.3%	7.5%	6.6%	3.9%	1.7%
1	6.0%	10.5%	9.2%	5.4%	2.4%
2	4.2%	7.3%	6.4%	3.8%	1.7%
3	1.9%	3.4%	3.0%	1.7%	0.8%
4	0.7%	1.2%	1.0%	0.6%	0.3%

Projected score: 1-1

Lens winDrawComo win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Lens vs Como comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is Como or Draw at odds 1.40, with a 73% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Como win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 49%. Goals lean over 2.5 (53%), both teams to score points yes (56%).

📊 Key numbers

Lens 29%Draw 22%Como 49%

29%22%49%

49%

Como Win

53%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Lens

Lens come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 15. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at Estac Troyes. Their most recent defeat was 1-9 at home to Como.

LLens 1-9 ComoUEFA Champions League
LLille 1-0 LensLigue 1
WLens 2-1 Paris FCLigue 1
LClub Brugge KV 3-0 LensUEFA Champions League
WEstac Troyes 1-3 LensLigue 1

Como

Como come into this game with 5 wins from their last 5, scoring 19 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 9-1 at Lens. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WLens 1-9 ComoUEFA Champions League
WComo 1-0 VeneziaSerie A
WTorino 1-3 ComoSerie A
WComo 2-0 SassuoloSerie A
WComo 4-1 Manchester UnitedUEFA Champions League

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 14 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Lens

J. ChavezCoach's decision
O. EdouardGroin Injury
I. GaniouKnee Injury
I. JourdrenOff the roster
M. NawrockiKnee Injury
A. SimaMuscle Injury

Como

J. AddaiMuscle Injury
T. ChalobahInjury
A. DiaoThigh Injury
E. GoldanigaOff the roster
W. KambwalaOff the roster
M. KeanLeg Injury
A. LahdoOff the roster
J. RodriguezInjury

🧩 Line-ups

Como 4-2-3-1

1Butez

27Couto

4Naveros

2Kempf

3Valle

6Milla

5Perrone

7da Cunha

10Paz

8Caqueret

9Douvikas

29Ivanović

9Hazard

10Thauvin

22Skóraś

21Haidara

27Cuisance

2Aguilar

14Udol

6Baidoo

32Antonio

40Risser

Lens 3-4-2-1

Como

Official starting XI (4-2-3-1)

Coach: Cesc Fàbregas

Substitutes13Dossena12Ginelli16Kaiki30Liberali21Ricci97Sánchez20Baturina28Smolčić54Papaccioli52Grilli

Lens

Official starting XI (3-4-2-1)

Coach: Yannick Cahuzac

Substitutes7Sotoca31Sagnan38Soares28Kadile1Gurtner24Gradit16Gorgelin4Äelik8Titraoui20Todibo23Abdulhamid5Bulatović

Official line-ups as announced by the clubs before kick-off.

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Lens at 29% to win and Como at 49%, with the draw at 22%. Our model makes a Como win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Como Win	49%	45%	@ 2.10
Lens Win	29%	29%	@ 3.25
Draw	22%	25%	@ 3.75

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Como or Draw at 1.36 (73% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Como or Draw	73%	71%	@ 1.36
Lens or Draw	52%	55%	@ 1.67

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-1.8 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 53% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	77%	81%	@ 1.17
Under 3.5	69%	59%	@ 1.62
Over 2.5	53%	60%	@ 1.57
Under 2.5	47%	40%	@ 2.38
Over 3.5	31%	41%	@ 2.30
Under 1.5	23%	19%	@ 5.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 56%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	56%	62%	@ 1.50
BTTS No	44%	38%	@ 2.50

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Lens or Como is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Como +1.5	90%	85%	@ 1.12
Como +1.25	86%	84%	1.13
Lens +2	83%	86%	1.10
Como +1	81%	83%	1.15
Lens +1.75	79%	80%	1.18
Como +0.75	77%	75%	1.26
Lens +1.5	76%	75%	1.26
Como +0.5	73%	70%	1.36
Lens +1.25	70%	72%	1.31
Como +0.25	67%	66%	1.44
Lens +1	64%	68%	1.39
Como 0	60%	60%	1.58
Lens +0.75	58%	60%	1.56
Como -0.25	54%	52%	1.85
Lens +0.5	52%	54%	1.74
Como -0.5	48%	46%	2.08
Lens +0.25	46%	48%	2.02
Como -0.75	42%	40%	2.40
Lens 0	40%	40%	2.37
Como -1	36%	32%	@ 3.00
Lens -0.25	33%	34%	2.75
Como -1.25	30%	28%	@ 3.42
Lens -0.5	27%	30%	3.11
Como -1.5	24%	25%	3.70
Lens -0.75	23%	25%	3.84
Como -1.75	21%	20%	4.65
Lens -1	19%	17%	@ 5.50
Como -2	17%	14%	@ 6.80
Lens -1.25	14%	16%	5.90
Lens -1.5	10%	15%	6.25

📈 How the market moved

Lens 30%Draw 25%Como 45%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lens vs Como?

Our model's pick is Como or Draw at odds 1.40, with a 73% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 71%.

Who is the favourite for Lens vs Como?

Our model makes a Como win the most likely result at 49%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.8 scoreline for Lens vs Como.

What is the predicted score for Lens vs Como?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.39 for Lens and 1.76 for Como. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Lens and Como play?

Kick-off is Wednesday 04 November 2026, 20:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.