⚽ Jupiler Pro League
Lommel United vs KV Mechelen Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Lommel United vs KV Mechelen in the Jupiler Pro League. Kick-off Saturday 19 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.
Result: Lommel United 0-0 KV Mechelen
Lommel United vs KV Mechelen finished 0-0. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
The model's best bet on this page, under 3.5 goals at 1.42, landed.
Lommel United face KV Mechelen in the upcoming Jupiler Pro League tips, kicking off Saturday 19 September 2026, 18:45 UTC. Recent form: Lommel United have 2 wins from their last 5, while KV Mechelen have 0 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Lommel United win the most likely result at 65%, projecting a 2.0-0.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Lommel United vs KV Mechelen with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.7% | 9.9% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| 2 | 12.4% | 9.7% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 8.1% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Lommel United vs KV Mechelen comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Lommel United with a +0.75 start at odds 1.39, the selection our model is most confident in at 88%. On the match result, the model rates a Lommel United win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 65%. Goals lean over 2.5 (52%), both teams to score points no (54%).
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
Lommel United come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to KVC Westerlo. Their most recent defeat was 0-5 at Union St. Gilloise.
- DLommel United 0-0 KV MechelenJupiler Pro League
- LUnion St. Gilloise 5-0 Lommel UnitedJupiler Pro League
- LLommel United 0-1 Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro League
- WCercle Brugge 0-1 Lommel UnitedJupiler Pro League
- WLommel United 4-0 KVC WesterloJupiler Pro League
KV Mechelen come into this game with 0 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 2 and conceding 9. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Anderlecht.
- DLommel United 0-0 KV MechelenJupiler Pro League
- LKV Mechelen 0-1 AnderlechtJupiler Pro League
- LKV Mechelen 0-4 KVC WesterloJupiler Pro League
- DRAAL La Louvière 2-2 KV MechelenJupiler Pro League
- LCharleroi 2-0 KV MechelenJupiler Pro League
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Lommel United at 65% to win and KV Mechelen at 14%, with the draw at 21%. Our model makes a Lommel United win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lommel United Win | 65% | 35% | @ 2.60 |
| Draw | 21% | 28% | @ 3.30 |
| KV Mechelen Win | 14% | 37% | @ 2.50 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Lommel United or Draw at 1.50 (85% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lommel United or Draw | 85% | 63% | @ 1.50 |
| KV Mechelen or Draw | 35% | 65% | @ 1.50 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.0-0.8 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 52% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 76% | 77% | @ 1.22 |
| Under 3.5 | 70% | 66% | @ 1.40 |
| Over 2.5 | 52% | 54% | @ 1.75 |
| Under 2.5 | 48% | 46% | @ 2.05 |
| Over 3.5 | 30% | 34% | @ 2.75 |
| Under 1.5 | 24% | 23% | @ 4.00 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 54%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 54% | 42% | @ 2.20 |
| BTTS Yes | 46% | 58% | @ 1.62 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Lommel United or KV Mechelen is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lommel United +1.75 | 96% | 85% | @ 1.12 |
| Lommel United +1.5 | 96% | 80% | @ 1.18 |
| Lommel United +1.25 | 93% | 79% | @ 1.20 |
| Lommel United +1 | 90% | 77% | @ 1.24 |
| Lommel United +0.75 | 88% | 69% | @ 1.39 |
| Lommel United +0.5 | 85% | 62% | @ 1.53 |
| Lommel United +0.25 | 80% | 57% | @ 1.69 |
| Lommel United 0 | 75% | 49% | @ 1.98 |
| Lommel United -0.25 | 70% | 41% | @ 2.31 |
| Lommel United -0.5 | 65% | 36% | @ 2.66 |
| KV Mechelen +1.75 | 65% | 86% | 1.10 |
| KV Mechelen +1.5 | 60% | 82% | 1.16 |
| Lommel United -0.75 | 59% | 30% | @ 3.21 |
| KV Mechelen +1.25 | 54% | 80% | 1.18 |
| Lommel United -1 | 53% | 22% | @ 4.42 |
| KV Mechelen +1 | 47% | 78% | 1.22 |
| Lommel United -1.25 | 46% | 20% | @ 4.65 |
| KV Mechelen +0.75 | 41% | 70% | 1.35 |
| Lommel United -1.5 | 40% | 18% | @ 5.25 |
| Lommel United -1.75 | 35% | 14% | @ 6.80 |
| KV Mechelen +0.5 | 35% | 64% | 1.49 |
| KV Mechelen +0.25 | 30% | 59% | 1.62 |
| KV Mechelen 0 | 25% | 51% | 1.86 |
| KV Mechelen -0.25 | 20% | 43% | 2.21 |
| KV Mechelen -0.5 | 15% | 38% | 2.48 |
| KV Mechelen -0.75 | 12% | 31% | 3.04 |
| KV Mechelen -1 | 10% | 23% | 4.08 |
| KV Mechelen -1.25 | 7% | 21% | 4.40 |
| KV Mechelen -1.5 | 4% | 20% | 4.80 |
| KV Mechelen -1.75 | 4% | 15% | 6.40 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Lommel United vs KV Mechelen?
Our model's main pick is Lommel United with a +0.75 start at odds 1.39, with a 88% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 69%.
Who is the favourite for Lommel United vs KV Mechelen?
Our model makes a Lommel United win the most likely result at 65%. It projects an expected 2.0-0.8 scoreline for Lommel United vs KV Mechelen.
What is the predicted score for Lommel United vs KV Mechelen?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.96 for Lommel United and 0.78 for KV Mechelen. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Lommel United and KV Mechelen play?
Kick-off is Saturday 19 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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