Mon 2 Nov19:45Upcoming

⚽ Ligue 1

Lorient vs Brest Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Lorient vs Brest in the Ligue 1. Kick-off Monday 02 November 2026, 19:45 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Lorient face Brest in the Ligue 1, kicking off Monday 02 November 2026, 19:45 UTC. Recent form: Lorient have 2 wins from their last 5, while Brest have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 4 meetings, Brest won 3, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Lorient win the most likely result at 39%, projecting a 1.7-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find our best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Lorient vs Brest with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Market pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.33

71%Bookmaker odds imply 71%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.67 – 1.38 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.7%	6.5%	4.5%	2.1%	0.7%
1	7.9%	10.9%	7.5%	3.5%	1.2%
2	6.6%	9.1%	6.3%	2.9%	1.0%
3	3.7%	5.1%	3.5%	1.6%	0.6%
4	1.5%	2.1%	1.5%	0.7%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

Lorient winDrawBrest win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Lorient vs Brest comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.33, with a 71% probability implied by the bookmaker odds. On the match result, the model rates a Lorient win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 39%. Goals lean over 2.5 (59%), both teams to score points yes (61%).

📊 Key numbers

Lorient 39%Draw 33%Brest 29%

39%33%29%

39%

Lorient Win

59%

Over 2.5 goals

61%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 4 meetings between Lorient and Brest. Wins shown from Lorient’s perspective: 1 drawn · Brest 3.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-02-07	Brest	2 – 0	Lorient	L
2025-10-19	Lorient	3 – 3	Brest	D
2024-03-31	Lorient	0 – 1	Brest	L
2023-12-20	Brest	4 – 0	Lorient	L

📈 Recent form

Lorient

Lorient come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Monaco. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at Le Mans.

DAngers 0-0 LorientLigue 1
WLorient 1-0 MonacoLigue 1
WLorient 1-0 Paris FCLigue 1
LLe Mans 2-1 LorientLigue 1
DLorient 2-2 ToulouseLigue 1

Brest

Brest come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 5-1 at home to Angers. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Nice.

LBrest 1-2 NiceLigue 1
DLille 1-1 BrestLigue 1
WBrest 5-1 AngersLigue 1
DBrest 2-2 MonzaFriendlies Clubs
LAuxerre 2-1 BrestLigue 1

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 5 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Lorient

B. FadigaMuscle Injury
P. KatserisMuscle Injury

Brest

B. ChardonnetCalf Injury
R. Le GuenBroken Leg
G. VersiniLeg Injury

🧩 Line-ups

Stade Brestois 29 4-2-3-1

1Selvik

70Lala

29Tousart

4Lloris

2Locko

13Chotard

8Magnetti

17Baldé

23Doumbia

9Mboup

19Ajorque

18Baldé

19Faye

17Makengo

43Kouassi

62Avom

8Cadiou

20Sylla

95Touré

3Talbi

32Adjei

38Mvogo

Lorient 3-4-2-1

Stade Brestois 29

Official starting XI (4-2-3-1)

Coach: Julien Lachuer

Substitutes39N´Guessan21Kante11Edjouma6Diambou18Bourgault7Nonge Boende30Patouillet

Lorient

Official starting XI (3-4-2-1)

Coach: A. Dujeux

Substitutes15Tosin30Kuzmić11Le Bris72Mbamba55Obaretin10Jensen2Georgen33Bernardeau21Kamara

Official line-ups as announced by the clubs before kick-off.

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Lorient at 39% to win and Brest at 29%, with the draw at 33%. Our model makes a Lorient win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Lorient Win	39%	39%	@ 2.45
Draw	33%	30%	@ 3.20
Brest Win	29%	32%	@ 3.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Lorient or Draw at 1.36 (68% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Lorient or Draw	68%	68%	@ 1.36
Brest or Draw	58%	61%	@ 1.53

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 59% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	81%	72%	@ 1.33
Under 3.5	64%	75%	@ 1.28
Over 2.5	59%	45%	@ 2.10
Under 2.5	41%	55%	@ 1.73
Over 3.5	36%	25%	@ 3.75
Under 1.5	19%	28%	@ 3.40

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 61%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	61%	52%	@ 1.80
BTTS No	39%	48%	@ 1.95

📈 How the market moved

Lorient 39%Draw 30%Brest 32%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lorient vs Brest?

Our pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.33, with a 71% probability implied by the bookmaker odds.

Who is the favourite for Lorient vs Brest?

Our model makes a Lorient win the most likely result at 39%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.4 scoreline for Lorient vs Brest.

What is the predicted score for Lorient vs Brest?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.67 for Lorient and 1.38 for Brest. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Lorient and Brest play?

Kick-off is Monday 02 November 2026, 19:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.